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Stade Brestois 29 v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 16:15 BST, Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

Stade Brestois 29 and their boss Eric Roy will be looking to get one over on Rolf Landerl and his Montpellier side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Stade Francis-Le Ble in the Ligue 1. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


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Best Tip: Brest to win

We are predicting Brest will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when that final whistle blows at Stade Francis-Le Ble.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brest
62%
1.38-
Draw
21%
5.00-
Montpellier
16%
7.00-
Brest 1-0
11%
8.00-
Brest 2-0
11%
7.00-
Draw 1-1
10%
9.50-
Brest 2-1
10%
8.50-
Brest 3-0
7%
9.50-
Brest 3-1
6%
11.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
15.00-
Montpellier 1-0
5%
19.00-
Montpellier 2-1
4%
21.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00-
Brest 4-0
4%
15.00-
Brest 4-1
3%
19.00-
Brest 3-2
3%
23.00-
Montpellier 2-0
2%
41.00-
Brest 4-2
1%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.57
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
2.38
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.29-
Away 1st Goal
39%
3.75-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.91-
BTTS - No
49%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.00-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.50-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
12.00-
Home/draw
84%
1.10-
Away/draw
38%
3.00-
Home/away
79%
1.17-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.53-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.33-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.22-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15.00-
Home DNB
77%
1.14-
Away DNB
31%
5.50-
Brest win to nil
35%
2.38-
Montpellier win to nil
8%
13.00-
Brest / Brest
41%
2.05-
Brest / Montpellier
2%
41.00-
Brest / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Brest
21%
4.00-
Draw / Montpellier
6%
15.00-
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50-
Montpellier / Brest
4%
19.00-
Montpellier / Montpellier
6%
13.00-
Montpellier / Draw
4%
19.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Brest have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Brest have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Brest have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Montpellier are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 15 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

14 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 11 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 71 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 17 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brest
Montpellier
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3024605578 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-1F
May 11
l
 
6-0A
2
Marseille3017492055 
l
 
1-5A
Apr 27
l
 
0-5A
l
 
5-1A
3
Monaco3016682254 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
4
Lille3015871553 
May 11
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Nice3014971851 
l
 
0-1A
May 18
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Lyon3015691751 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
7
Strasbourg3014971151 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Lens3013611245 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
9
Brest Home3013512-144 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
May 4
10
Rennes3012216538 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
11
Auxerre3010812-438 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Toulouse309714-134 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-4F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
13
Reims308814-1032 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
Apr 27
l
 
4-2A
14
Nantes3071013-1531 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 18
15
Angers308616-1930 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
16
Le Havre308319-3127 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
17
St Etienne307617-3527 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
18
Montpellier A304323-4915 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
-
-
Win / draw / win form
6
Montpellier have lost 6 consecutive away league games
6
Montpellier have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Brest 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest1 - 3Lens
Brest2 - 1Monaco
Brest0 - 0Reims
Brest2 - 0Angers
Brest2 - 2Auxerre
Brest2 - 5PSG
Brest2 - 1Lyon
Brest4 - 1Nantes
Brest3 - 1Strasbourg
Brest0 - 1Nice
Brest1 - 1Rennes
Brest2 - 0Le Havre
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Brest4 - 0St Etienne
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 1Reims
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Brest0 - 2Monaco
Brest4 - 3Metz
Brest1 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest3 - 3St Etienne
HBrest2 - 1Monaco
ABrest4 - 2Toulouse
HBrest0 - 0Reims
HBrest2 - 0Angers
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
ABrest0 - 0Strasbourg
HBrest2 - 2Auxerre
ABrest2 - 0Nantes
HBrest2 - 5PSG
ABrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest2 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 1Lyon
ABrest0 - 2Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nantes
ABrest1 - 3Lille
HBrest3 - 1Strasbourg
ABrest2 - 3Monaco
ABrest1 - 3Montpellier
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Angers2 - 0Montpellier
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Nice2 - 0Montpellier
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 0Montpellier
St Etienne1 - 0Montpellier
Le Havre1 - 0Montpellier
Reims4 - 2Montpellier
Monaco2 - 1Montpellier
Rennes3 - 0Montpellier
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Reims1 - 2Montpellier
Clermont1 - 1Montpellier
Le Havre0 - 2Montpellier
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontpellier1 - 5Marseille
AMontpellier0 - 2Angers
HMontpellier0 - 2Le Havre
AMontpellier0 - 1Auxerre
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier0 - 1Lille
HMontpellier0 - 4Rennes
AMontpellier0 - 2Nice
HMontpellier1 - 4Lyon
AMontpellier0 - 2Strasbourg
HMontpellier0 - 2Lens
AMontpellier2 - 1Toulouse
HMontpellier2 - 1Monaco
HMontpellier1 - 3Angers
AMontpellier0 - 1Lyon
HMontpellier2 - 2Nice
AMontpellier0 - 2Lens
HMontpellier2 - 2Lille
AMontpellier0 - 1St Etienne
HMontpellier3 - 1Brest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
4
13
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
SBR
1
D
1
MTP
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
Brest2 - 0
0 - 7Montpellier
0 - 4Montpellier
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Montpellier since 2019
Montpellier
Brest
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
SBR
2
D
1
MTP
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
Montpellier3 - 1
1 - 3Brest
Montpellier3 - 0
1 - 2Brest
Draw0 - 0Draw
Montpellier4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Stade Brestois 29's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Montpellier have conceded in each of their last 36 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.8 for E. Roy's side suggests that run should continue.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Montpellier fans, as should a 11 Ligue 1 games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Brest 9th Montpellier 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Brest will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Brest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Montpellier have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279228/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brest
PG (predicted goals)
Montpellier
2
0.9
Attack rating
53%
better
SBR
MTP
view stats
Games scored24
13
Failed to score6
17
Scored first18
2
Goals scored48
22
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
12
Conversion rate for16
9
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
35%
better
SBR
MTP
view stats
Games conceded22
30
Clean sheets8
0
Conceded first10
28
Goals conceded49
71
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
19%
Avg. XG against1.6
2
KickOff rating
+35%

Brest v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271045
M BizotL AjorqueM LageM Camara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Camara MID2852
5
-
M Bizot GLK27
3
-
H Magnetti MID261
4
-
K Lala DEF2531
5
-
L Ajorque FWD25101
4
-
K Doumbia MID2422
1
-
B Chardonnet DEF231
4
-
M Lage FWD2324
3
-
M Baldé FWD2223
2
-
A Sima FWD2142
2
-
R Castillo FWD2053
-
R Faivre MID1932
2
-
N Ndiaye DEF171
3
-
E Fernandes DEF161
1
-
M Haidara DEF16
2
2
P Lees-Melou MID1512
3
-
J Cardinal DEF141
2
-
T. Zogbe DEF13
2
-
J Martin MID131
2
-
I Salah FWD1211
-
J Amavi DEF11
2
-
S Coulibaly DEF7
1
-
J. Bourgault DEF21
-
G Coudert GLK1
-
Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262510
T SavanierT SavanierT SavanierR. Nzingoula
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Khazri FWD2711
4
-
T Savanier MID2625
4
1
B Lecomte GLK25
-
M Sagnan DEF252
8
-
R. Nzingoula MID221
10
-
J Chotard MID201
5
-
J Ferri MID191
5
1
T Coulibaly FWD192
2
2
I Sylla DEF181
2
-
B Omeragic DEF17
1
-
F Sacko DEF151
1
-
K Fayad MID15
2
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF121
3
-
O. Maamma FWD1111
1
-
K Kouyaté DEF10
5
1
A Delort FWD9
1
-
N Maksimović DEF7
2
-
N. Pays MID7
-
B Meïté DEF6
2
1
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF4
-
D Bertaud GLK3
-