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Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Parc des Princes, Paris

Marseille pay Ligue 1 counterparts Paris Saint-Germain a visit on Sunday evening, as Roberto De Zerbi leads his team into an away clash with Luis Enrique Martínez García & co. at the Parc des Princes. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Paris Saint-Germain's next match is v St Etienne at 18:00 on Saturday 29th March
Marseille's next match is v Reims at 16:00 on Saturday 29th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between PSG and Marseille was on Sunday 16th March 2025
French Ligue 1
March 16th 2025
PSG 3
1 Marseille
 
O. Dembélé 17'51' A. Gouiri
N. Mendes 42'
P. Lirola Kosok (OG) 76'
 
PSG
MAR
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
5
5
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
PSGMarseille
 
G. Donnarumma
A. Hakimi Mouh
W. Pacho Tenorio
L. Lopes Beraldo
N. Mendesfootball icon
V. Machado Ferreira
F. Ruiz Peña
W. Zaire Emery (B. Barcola 64')
D. Doue (J. Gonçalves Neves 72')
O. Dembéléfootball icon (K. Lee 80')
K. Kvaratskhelia (L. Hernández Pi 80')
G. Rulli
D. Cornelius
(Q. Merlin 63') A. Dedić
L. Balerdi Rossa
(P. Lirola Kosok 63') L. Ramos Marchi
(D. Bakola 89') G. Kondogbia
(N. Maupay 84') V. Rongier
A. Rabiot
(M. Greenwood 63') B. Nadir
football iconA. Gouiri
L. Tomaz de Lima

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Marseille get ready for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After reviewing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both clubs know they way to goal and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
56%
1/3
8%
7/20
9%
Draw
21%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
Marseille
23%
7/1
45%
15/2
48%
PSG 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
10/18/1
PSG 2-0
8%
7/1
20%
6/1
22%
PSG 1-0
8%
17/2
21%
7/1
16%
PSG 3-1
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
Marseille 2-1
6%
22/1
35%
18/1
27%
PSG 3-0
5%
17/2
21%
15/2
15%
Marseille 1-0
5%
22/118/1
12%
PSG 3-2
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
17%
14/1
12%
PSG 4-1
3%
16/112/1
Marseille 2-0
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
PSG 4-0
3%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Marseille 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1/2
7%
10/21
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
13/8
13%
6/4
13%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
3/1
23%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
3/4
14%
3/4
14%
BTTS - No
38%
1/1
16%
19/20
18%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
13/8
5%
8/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
11/2
18%
5/1
14%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/1
50%
10/1
47%
Home/draw
77%
1/12
5%
1/14
5%
Away/draw
44%
9/4
24%
11/5
22%
Home/away
79%
1/7
3%
2/13
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
1/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/2
15%
4/1
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/5
10%
23/20
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/6
7%
13/20
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/1
25%
5/2
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4
8%
1/4
7%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
27%
5/1
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
4%
1/10
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/66
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
26%
14/1
12%
Home DNB
71%
1/9
8%
1/10
7%
Away DNB
37%
11/2
50%
5/1
36%
PSG win to nil
25%
6/4
23%
-
Marseille win to nil
9%
14/1
15%
-
PSG / PSG
42%
20/21
11%
10/11
9%
PSG / Marseille
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
17%
PSG / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Draw / PSG
20%
3/1
11%
16/5
5%
Draw / Marseille
5%
16/1
31%
14/1
36%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Marseille / PSG
5%
16/116/1
13%
Marseille / Marseille
7%
12/1
37%
10/1
29%
Marseille / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 25 games. PSG are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. PSG have outscored their opponents by 70 goals to 52 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 12 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 35 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Marseille are in 2nd position in the Ligue 1 on 49 points having played 25 matches so far this season. Marseille have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Marseille have conceded 3 goals, scored 0, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Home2621504868 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Marseille Away2615472049 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
3
Monaco2614571947 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
4
Nice2613851947 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
5
Lyon2613671745 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
6
Lille2612861244 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
May 4
7
Strasbourg261277843 
w
 
4-2F
May 4
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Lens261169239 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
9
Brest2611411-237 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
10
Toulouse269710434 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
11
Auxerre268810-232 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
12
Rennes269215-229 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
May 18
w
 
1-2A
13
Nantes266911-1427 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
14
Angers267613-1627 
Apr 5
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Reims265813-1423 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 29
16
Le Havre266317-2921 
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
w
 
5-1F
May 11
17
St Etienne255515-3220 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 29
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
Montpellier254318-3815 
w
 
6-0F
May 11
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
4
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
PSG have beaten Marseille in 6 consecutive league meetings
8
PSG have not lost to Marseille in 8 consecutive league meetings
5
PSG have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive league meetings with Marseille
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Marseille
Goals: Scored
23
4
Games: Scored
9 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
2 / 11
PSG
9
D
1
MAR
1
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
21
Games: Scored
4 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
6 / 10
PSG
8
D
2
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Paris Saint-Germain's defensive record is very strong, L. Martínez García's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Marseille makes sense in this context.

PSG 1st Marseille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
PSG have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Marseille have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279173/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
26%
better
PSG
MAR
view stats
Games scored24
20
Failed to score1
5
Scored first20
14
Goals scored70
52
Avg. goals scored2.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game15
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for2.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
21%
better
PSG
MAR
view stats
Games conceded19
20
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first4
11
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

PSG v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
222185
B BarcolaO DembéléJ NevesL Beraldo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK20
2
-
A Hakimi DEF2146
4
-
L Beraldo DEF181
5
-
W Pacho DEF231
2
-
N Mendes  DEF1822
2
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2111
2
-
Vitinha MID2342
1
-
F Ruiz MID2433
-
D Doué FWD2326
1
-
O Dembélé FWD24215
1
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD812
-
Subs
M Safonov GLK7
-
P Kimpembe DEF
-
Marquinhos DEF181
3
-
L Hernández  DEF11
2
-
K Lee MID2665
1
-
S. Mayulu MID131
1
-
J Neves MID2228
-
B Barcola FWD26137
2
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261548
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK26
1
-
L Balerdi DEF22
7
1
L Felipe DEF2
-
D Cornelius DEF17
6
2
L Henrique MID2674
-
V Rongier MID1821
4
-
G Kondogbia MID19
1
-
A Dedic MID61
-
B Nadir FWD131
1
-
A Rabiot FWD2152
3
-
A Gouiri FWD743
-
Subs
J Lange GLK
-
P Lirola DEF1412
1
1
Q Merlin DEF1913
1
-
U Garcia DEF1321
1
-
I Bennacer MID5
1
-
D. Bakola MID2
1
-
N Maupay FWD1944
2
1
M Greenwood  FWD26153
1
-
J Rowe FWD2022
1
-