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Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 19:45 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Roberto De Zerbi pays counterpart Luis Enrique Martínez García a visit on Sunday evening in the Ligue 1, as their Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain charges face each other at the Parc des Princes. All of the key statistics for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Marseille get ready for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After reviewing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both clubs know they way to goal and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
55%
21/50
2%
4/9
3%
Draw
21%
17/4
5%
4/1
Marseille
24%
21/4
14%
5/1
4%
PSG 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
PSG 2-0
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
PSG 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
PSG 3-1
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Marseille 2-1
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
PSG 3-0
5%
10/1
8%
9/1
Marseille 1-0
5%
22/116/1
PSG 3-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw 0-0
3%
22/116/1
PSG 4-1
3%
16/112/1
Marseille 2-0
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
Marseille 3-1
3%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
2/52/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2/17/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
3/10
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
12/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1-
BTTS - Yes
64%
4/7
3%
4/7
3%
BTTS - No
36%
5/4
5%
13/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
6/429/20
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
15%
17/2
19%
7/1
7%
Home/draw
76%
1/8
2%
1/8
1%
Away/draw
45%
7/4
5%
17/10
3%
Home/away
79%
1/61/6
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
1/8
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
1/11/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
4/53/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
12/5
6%
11/5
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/3
2%
1/3
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9/29/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/71/8
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/801/150
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/116/1
Home DNB
69%
1/6
3%
1/6
1%
Away DNB
39%
4/1
15%
18/5
5%
PSG win to nil
23%
2/1
8%
-
Marseille win to nil
9%
14/1
15%
-
PSG / PSG
39%
21/20
7%
11/10
PSG / Marseille
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
PSG / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / PSG
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
2%
Draw / Marseille
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Marseille / PSG
5%
16/114/1
Marseille / Marseille
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
6%
Marseille / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 25 games. PSG are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. PSG have outscored their opponents by 70 goals to 52 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 12 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 35 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Marseille are in 2nd position in the Ligue 1 on 49 points having played 25 matches so far this season. Marseille have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Marseille have conceded 3 goals, scored 0, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Home2520504665 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
2
Marseille Away2515462249 
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
-
-
3
Nice2613851947 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Monaco2513571744 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
5
Lille2512851344 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
May 4
6
Lyon2512671542 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
7
Strasbourg251177740 
w
 
4-2F
May 4
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Lens251069136 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
9
Brest2511311-236 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
10
Toulouse25979534 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
11
Auxerre268810-232 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
12
Rennes259214-129 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
May 18
w
 
1-2A
13
Angers257612-1427 
Apr 5
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Nantes255911-1524 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
Reims255713-1422 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 29
16
Le Havre256316-2721 
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
w
 
5-1F
May 11
17
St Etienne255515-3220 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 29
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
Montpellier254318-3815 
w
 
6-0F
May 11
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
6
PSG have won 6 consecutive league games
27
PSG have not lost in 27 consecutive league games
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG4 - 1Lille
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
PSG2 - 1St Etienne
PSG3 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Nantes
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
PSG1 - 0Lens
PSG4 - 2Strasbourg
PSG3 - 1Rennes
PSG3 - 1Brest
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
PSG3 - 3Le Havre
PSG4 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Clermont
PSG2 - 2Reims
PSG1 - 1Rennes
PSG3 - 1Lille
PSG2 - 2Brest
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG4 - 1Rennes
HPSG4 - 1Lille
APSG3 - 2Lyon
APSG1 - 0Toulouse
HPSG4 - 1Monaco
APSG5 - 2Brest
HPSG1 - 1Reims
APSG2 - 1Lens
HPSG2 - 1St Etienne
APSG4 - 2Monaco
HPSG3 - 1Lyon
APSG0 - 0Auxerre
HPSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG3 - 0Toulouse
APSG4 - 2Angers
HPSG1 - 0Lens
APSG3 - 0Marseille
HPSG4 - 2Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Nice
HPSG3 - 1Rennes
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Le Havre1 - 2Marseille
Reims1 - 0Marseille
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Lille3 - 1Marseille
Rennes2 - 0Marseille
Clermont1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 0Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
HMarseille1 - 1Angers
AMarseille0 - 1Strasbourg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
PSG have beaten Marseille in 6 consecutive league meetings
8
PSG have not lost to Marseille in 8 consecutive league meetings
5
PSG have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive league meetings with Marseille
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Marseille
Goals: Scored
23
4
Games: Scored
9 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
2 / 11
PSG
9
D
1
MAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG2 - 1
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 0
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
21
Games: Scored
4 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
6 / 10
PSG
8
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
0 - 3PSG
0 - 2PSG
0 - 3PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
0 - 2PSG
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2PSG
2 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Paris Saint-Germain's defensive record is very strong, L. Martínez García's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Marseille makes sense in this context.

PSG 1st Marseille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
PSG have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Marseille have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279173/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
26%
better
PSG
MAR
view stats
Games scored24
20
Failed to score1
5
Scored first20
14
Goals scored70
52
Avg. goals scored2.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game15
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for2.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
21%
better
PSG
MAR
view stats
Games conceded19
20
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first4
11
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

PSG v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
222085
B BarcolaO DembéléJ NevesL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lee FWD2565
1
-
B Barcola FWD25137
2
-
F Ruiz MID2331
-
O Dembélé FWD23205
1
-
W Pacho DEF221
2
-
Vitinha MID2242
1
-
D Doué FWD2226
1
-
J Neves MID2128
-
A Hakimi DEF2046
4
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2011
2
-
G Donnarumma GLK19
2
-
Marquinhos DEF181
3
-
N Mendes  DEF1712
1
-
L Beraldo DEF171
5
-
G Ramos FWD1452
-
S. Mayulu MID131
1
-
L Hernández  DEF10
2
-
M Safonov GLK7
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD712
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251549
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK25
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD25153
1
-
L Henrique FWD2574
-
P Höjbjerg MID2423
5
-
M Murillo DEF2312
1
-
L Balerdi DEF21
8
1
A Rabiot MID2051
3
-
J Rowe FWD2022
1
-
Q Merlin DEF1813
1
-
G Kondogbia MID18
1
-
N Maupay FWD1844
2
1
V Rongier MID1721
4
-
D Cornelius DEF16
6
2
P Lirola DEF1312
1
1
U Garcia DEF1321
1
-
B Nadir MID121
1
-
A Harit  MID923
1
A Gouiri FWD633
-
A Dedic DEF51
-
I Bennacer MID5
1
-
R. Vaz FWD2
1
-
L Felipe DEF1
-
E. Koum Mbondo DEF1
-
D. Bakola MID1
1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-