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Paris Saint-Germain v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Mar, 20:05 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Saturday night sees Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain and Bruno Genesio’s Lille go up against one another in a Ligue 1 battle at the Parc des Princes. Analysing both teams' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both PSG and Lille's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
55%
1/21/2
7%
Draw
22%
15/419/5
9%
Lille
22%
17/49/2
15%
Draw 1-1
10%
17/215/2
11%
PSG 2-1
10%
15/213/2
PSG 1-0
9%
10/18/1
PSG 2-0
9%
17/215/2
6%
PSG 3-1
6%
10/117/2
6%
Lille 2-1
6%
16/112/1
13%
Lille 1-0
6%
20/116/1
11%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
8%
PSG 3-0
6%
11/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
5%
20/116/1
PSG 3-2
3%
18/114/1
Lille 2-0
3%
33/122/1
21%
PSG 4-1
3%
18/114/1
15%
PSG 4-0
3%
18/114/1
15%
Lille 3-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/92/5
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
7/417/10
4%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/74/7
2%
BTTS - No
43%
5/413/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
13/88/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/217/4
9%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/113/2
17%
Home/draw
78%
1/61/7
4%
Away/draw
45%
6/46/4
14%
Home/away
78%
2/112/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/71/8
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/29/2
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
11/1021/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
8/117/10
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5/223/10
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
3/103/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
5/119/4
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/81/9
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/501/150
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/116/1
Home DNB
71%
2/91/5
5%
Away DNB
38%
3/116/5
16%
PSG win to nil
28%
9/4-
Lille win to nil
10%
10/1-
PSG / PSG
37%
5/423/20
8%
PSG / Lille
3%
33/128/1
PSG / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Draw / PSG
18%
7/27/2
4%
Draw / Lille
7%
11/110/1
15%
Draw / Draw
11%
13/213/2
Lille / PSG
5%
16/114/1
Lille / Lille
9%
17/27/1
16%
Lille / Draw
5%
16/112/1
13%
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten in 22 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 22 games. PSG are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. PSG have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Lille are in 5th position in the Ligue 1 on 38 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Lille have conceded 7 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Home2217503956 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
Mar 1
2
Marseille2214442446 
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
May 4
d
 
1-1A
3
Nice2211741740 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
4
Monaco2212461540 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
5
Lille Away2210841438 
Mar 1
w
 
1-3F
-
-
6
Lyon2210661336 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
7
Strasbourg22967533 
w
 
4-2F
May 4
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1F
8
Lens22967333 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Mar 30
w
 
0-2F
9
Brest2210210-332 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
w
 
3-1F
May 11
10
Toulouse22769-227 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
11
Angers227510-826 
Apr 6
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
12
Auxerre22679-625 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 20
d
 
0-00-0
13
Rennes227213-323 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 9
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Reims225710-822 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 18
w
 
0-2F
15
Nantes22499-1421 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
16
St Etienne225314-3018 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 30
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
Le Havre225215-2517 
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
18
Montpellier224315-3115 
w
 
6-0F
May 11
Mar 9
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
11
PSG have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
PSG2 - 1St Etienne
PSG3 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Nantes
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
PSG1 - 0Lens
PSG4 - 2Strasbourg
PSG3 - 1Rennes
PSG3 - 1Brest
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
PSG3 - 3Le Havre
PSG4 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Clermont
PSG2 - 2Reims
PSG1 - 1Rennes
PSG3 - 1Lille
PSG2 - 2Brest
PSG3 - 1Metz
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG1 - 0Toulouse
HPSG4 - 1Monaco
APSG5 - 2Brest
HPSG1 - 1Reims
APSG2 - 1Lens
HPSG2 - 1St Etienne
APSG4 - 2Monaco
HPSG3 - 1Lyon
APSG0 - 0Auxerre
HPSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG3 - 0Toulouse
APSG4 - 2Angers
HPSG1 - 0Lens
APSG3 - 0Marseille
HPSG4 - 2Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Nice
HPSG3 - 1Rennes
APSG1 - 1Reims
HPSG3 - 1Brest
APSG3 - 1Lille
Lille 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rennes0 - 2Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Auxerre0 - 0Lille
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Nice2 - 2Lille
Lens0 - 2Lille
Monaco0 - 0Lille
Le Havre0 - 3Lille
St Etienne1 - 0Lille
Reims0 - 2Lille
Nantes1 - 2Lille
Metz1 - 2Lille
Monaco1 - 0Lille
Brest1 - 1Lille
Reims0 - 1Lille
Toulouse3 - 1Lille
PSG3 - 1Lille
Montpellier0 - 0Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALille2 - 0Rennes
HLille1 - 2Le Havre
HLille4 - 1St Etienne
ALille1 - 2Strasbourg
HLille2 - 1Nice
ALille0 - 0Auxerre
HLille1 - 1Nantes
ALille1 - 1Marseille
HLille3 - 1Brest
ALille2 - 2Montpellier
HLille1 - 0Rennes
ALille2 - 2Nice
HLille1 - 1Lyon
ALille2 - 0Lens
ALille0 - 0Monaco
HLille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille3 - 0Le Havre
HLille3 - 3Strasbourg
ALille0 - 1St Etienne
HLille1 - 3PSG
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
PSG have beaten Lille in 3 consecutive home league meetings
7
PSG have not lost to Lille in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Lille
Goals: Scored
26
12
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
PSG
8
D
2
LIL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG3 - 1
PSG4 - 3
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Lille
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 1
PSG3 - 1
PSG2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG6 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Lille since 2014
Lille
PSG
Goals: Scored
11
28
Games: Scored
7 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
5 / 12
PSG
8
D
3
LIL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
1 - 3PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 7PSG
1 - 5PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
Lille5 - 1
0 - 3PSG
0 - 1PSG
0 - 1PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3PSG
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.9 against Lille on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

PSG 1st Lille 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 70% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Lille have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279161/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
28%
better
PSG
LIL
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score1
3
Scored first17
13
Goals scored59
36
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game15
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for2.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
3%
better
PSG
LIL
view stats
Games conceded16
14
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded20
22
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

PSG v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191675
B BarcolaO DembéléJ NevesL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lee FWD2264
1
-
B Barcola FWD22115
1
-
F Ruiz MID2131
-
W Pacho DEF201
2
-
O Dembélé FWD20164
1
-
Vitinha MID194
1
-
D Doué FWD1914
1
-
J Neves MID1827
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID1811
2
-
G Donnarumma GLK17
2
-
A Hakimi DEF1725
2
-
Marquinhos DEF16
3
-
N Mendes  DEF1412
1
-
L Beraldo DEF141
5
-
S. Mayulu MID121
1
-
G Ramos FWD1142
-
L Hernández  DEF8
1
-
M Safonov GLK6
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD411
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221247
L ChevalierJ DavidJ DavidB André
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK22
-
B Diakité DEF2131
3
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF212
3
-
O Sahraoui FWD2133
1
-
J David FWD20124
4
-
Alexsandro DEF192
6
-
T Meunier DEF191
2
-
R Cabella MID192
1
-
B André MID191
7
-
A Mandi DEF17
2
-
A. Bouaddi MID171
1
-
M Bakker DEF1522
2
1
N Mukau MID14
4
-
H Haraldsson MID1422
2
-
A Gomes MID13
3
-
A Gomes MID1311
1
-
E Zhegrova FWD1241
1
-
M Fernandez FWD1111
2
-
T Santos DEF7
1
-
Ismaily DEF6
2
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID61
2
-
C Akpom FWD22
-
N Bentaleb MID11
-