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Lyon v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 20:05 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ligue 1, and Pierre Sage’s Lyon will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Carles Martínez Novell’s Toulouse are their visitors to the Groupama Stadium. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Lyon and Toulouse will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Pierre Sage or Carles Martínez Novell has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to about a 80% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lyon 49%	1.80	1.75 1%
Draw 24%	3.90	3.60
Toulouse 27%	4.00	3.75
Draw 1-1 11%	7.50	7.00
Lyon 1-0 10%	8.50	7.50
Lyon 2-1 10%	8.50	7.50
Lyon 2-0 8%	9.50	8.50
Toulouse 1-0 7%	13.00	11.00
Toulouse 2-1 7%	13.00	11.00
Draw 0-0 6%	13.00	11.00
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00
Lyon 3-1 5%	13.00	11.00
Lyon 3-0 5%	15.00	12.00
Toulouse 2-0 4%	21.00 9%	17.00
Lyon 3-2 3%	21.00	17.00
Toulouse 3-1 3%	29.00	23.00
Lyon 4-1 2%	26.00	19.00
Toulouse 3-2 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	1.67 3%	1.67
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	2.20 5%	2.10
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.53 2%	1.60
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.60 1%	2.50
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00	11.00
BTTS - Yes 57%	1.67	1.67
BTTS - No 43%	2.10	2.10
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3.50 3%	3.25
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 14%	7.00	6.50
Home/draw 73%	1.22	1.22
Away/draw 51%	1.95	2.00
Home/away 76%	1.25	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1.22	1.22
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	4.33	4.00
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	2.75	2.62
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	1.44	1.44
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	5.00	4.60
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1.17	1.17
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10.00	8.50
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.06	1.06
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.04	1.03
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	13.00	11.00
Home DNB 66%	1.36	1.35
Away DNB 43%	3.00	3.00
Lyon win to nil 25%	3.40	-
Toulouse win to nil 13%	8.00	-
Lyon / Lyon 28%	2.88	2.75 2%
Lyon / Toulouse 3%	29.00	26.00
Lyon / Draw 6%	13.00	13.00
Draw / Lyon 17%	4.75	4.60
Draw / Toulouse 9%	9.00	8.50
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00	5.50 4%
Toulouse / Lyon 4%	21.00	17.00
Toulouse / Toulouse 13%	6.50 7%	6.00
Toulouse / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Lyon have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Lyon have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 8th position in the Ligue 1 on 24 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Toulouse have conceded 13 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lyon Toulouse
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	17	13	4	0	31	43	Feb 23	l 3-1A	Feb 16	l 3-0A
2	Marseille	17	11	3	3	19	36	l 2-3F	Feb 2	l 1-3A	Apr 6
3	Monaco	17	9	4	4	10	31	l 0-2A	May 11	Mar 9	l 2-0A
4	Nice	17	8	6	3	12	30	w 4-1F	Mar 9	Feb 2	d 1-1A
5	Lille	17	7	8	2	10	29	Apr 6	d 1-1A	Apr 13	l 2-1F
6	Lyon Home	17	8	4	5	7	28	-	-	l 1-2F	Jan 18
7	Lens	17	7	6	4	5	27	May 4	d 0-00-0	May 11	w 0-1F
8	Toulouse Away	17	7	3	7	0	24	Jan 18	w 1-2A	-	-
9	Strasbourg	17	6	5	6	1	23	w 4-3A	Mar 30	l 1-2A	Mar 16
10	Auxerre	17	6	4	7	-2	22	d 2-2F	Apr 13	w 2-0F	Feb 9
11	Brest	17	7	1	9	-4	22	Mar 2	l 2-1A	Mar 30	l 2-0A
12	Reims	17	5	5	7	-2	20	Feb 9	d 1-1F	w 1-0F	Apr 20
13	Angers	17	5	4	8	-8	19	May 18	w 0-3F	d 1-1A	Mar 2
14	Rennes	17	5	2	10	-2	17	Apr 27	l 3-0A	May 4	w 0-2F
15	Nantes	17	3	7	7	-7	16	w 2-0F	Jan 26	d 0-00-0	Apr 27
16	St Etienne	17	5	1	11	-21	16	w 1-0F	Apr 20	w 2-1A	May 18
17	Le Havre	17	4	0	13	-23	12	Mar 16	w 0-4F	w 2-0F	Feb 23
18	Montpellier	17	2	3	12	-26	9	w 1-0F	Feb 16	Jan 26	w 0-3F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Lyon have won 3 consecutive home league games

Lyon have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon	1 - 0	Montpellier
Lyon	4 - 1	Nice
Lyon	1 - 0	St Etienne
Lyon	2 - 2	Auxerre
Lyon	2 - 0	Nantes
Lyon	2 - 3	Marseille
Lyon	4 - 3	Strasbourg
Lyon	0 - 2	Monaco
Lyon	2 - 1	Strasbourg
Lyon	3 - 2	Monaco
Lyon	4 - 3	Brest
Lyon	1 - 1	Reims
Lyon	0 - 3	Lens
Lyon	1 - 0	Nice
Lyon	1 - 0	Marseille
Lyon	2 - 3	Rennes
Lyon	1 - 0	Nantes
Lyon	3 - 0	Toulouse
Lyon	0 - 2	Lille
Lyon	1 - 1	Metz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lyon	1 - 2	Brest
H	Lyon	1 - 0	Montpellier
A	Lyon	1 - 3	PSG
A	Lyon	3 - 0	Angers
H	Lyon	4 - 1	Nice
A	Lyon	1 - 1	Reims
H	Lyon	1 - 0	St Etienne
A	Lyon	1 - 1	Lille
H	Lyon	2 - 2	Auxerre
A	Lyon	4 - 0	Le Havre
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Nantes
A	Lyon	2 - 1	Toulouse
H	Lyon	2 - 3	Marseille
A	Lyon	0 - 0	Lens
H	Lyon	4 - 3	Strasbourg
H	Lyon	0 - 2	Monaco
A	Lyon	0 - 3	Rennes
H	Lyon	2 - 1	Strasbourg
A	Lyon	1 - 0	Clermont
A	Lyon	4 - 3	Lille

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens	0 - 1	Toulouse
Monaco	2 - 0	Toulouse
PSG	3 - 0	Toulouse
Rennes	0 - 2	Toulouse
Montpellier	0 - 3	Toulouse
Lille	2 - 1	Toulouse
Brest	2 - 0	Toulouse
Nice	1 - 1	Toulouse
PSG	1 - 3	Toulouse
Lorient	1 - 2	Toulouse
Rennes	1 - 2	Toulouse
Clermont	0 - 3	Toulouse
Le Havre	1 - 0	Toulouse
Monaco	1 - 2	Toulouse
Reims	2 - 3	Toulouse
Metz	0 - 1	Toulouse
Lyon	3 - 0	Toulouse
Nice	1 - 0	Toulouse
Lille	1 - 1	Toulouse
Montpellier	3 - 0	Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toulouse	1 - 2	Strasbourg
A	Toulouse	1 - 0	Lens
H	Toulouse	2 - 1	St Etienne
A	Toulouse	0 - 2	Monaco
H	Toulouse	2 - 0	Auxerre
A	Toulouse	0 - 3	PSG
A	Toulouse	2 - 0	Rennes
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Reims
A	Toulouse	3 - 0	Montpellier
H	Toulouse	1 - 1	Angers
A	Toulouse	1 - 2	Lille
H	Toulouse	1 - 2	Lyon
A	Toulouse	0 - 2	Brest
H	Toulouse	2 - 0	Le Havre
H	Toulouse	1 - 3	Marseille
A	Toulouse	1 - 1	Nice
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Nantes
H	Toulouse	0 - 3	Brest
A	Toulouse	3 - 1	PSG
H	Toulouse	1 - 2	Montpellier

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lyon have beaten Toulouse in 4 consecutive league meetings

Lyon have not lost to Toulouse in 16 consecutive league meetings

Lyon

Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 9

3 / 9

Clean sheets

6 / 9

0 / 9

LYN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
Lyon	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lyon	3 - 0
Lyon	5 - 1
Lyon	2 - 0
Lyon	4 - 0
Lyon	3 - 0
Lyon	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Toulouse

Lyon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

LYN

TOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
	1 - 2	Lyon
	2 - 3	Lyon
	1 - 2	Lyon
	2 - 3	Lyon
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Lyon
	1 - 2	Lyon
	2 - 3	Lyon
Toulouse	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Lyon have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Toulouse on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Lyon 6th	Toulouse 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+9 Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season

19%

better

LYN

TOU

view stats

Games scored	14		13
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	9		8
Goals scored	29		19
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	18		13
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+19%

LYN

TOU

better

view stats

Games conceded	11		10
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	7		8
Goals conceded	22		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	12%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+1%

Lyon v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	5	3	7
L Perri	A Lacazette	M Fofana	D Caleta-Car

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Perri GLK	17			1 -
A Maitland-Niles DEF	17	1	2	-
M Fofana FWD	17	3	3	1 -
G Mikautadze FWD	17	4	1	1 -
A Lacazette FWD	16	5	2	1 -
M Niakhaté DEF	14			-
C Mata DEF	14		3	2 -
D Caleta-Car DEF	14	1		7 -
C Tolisso MID	14	1	2	2 -
N Matić MID	13			-
R Cherki MID	13	3	3	2 -
Abner DEF	12	1		1 -
S Benrahma FWD	12	1	3	-
E Nuamah FWD	11			1 -
T Tessmann MID	10			1 -
N Tagliafico DEF	9	2		3 -
M Caqueret MID	9			1 -
W Zaha FWD	4			-
S Kumbedi DEF	3			-
G Orban FWD	3	2		1 -
M. Diawara MID	2			-
Adryelson DEF	1			1 -
W Omari DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	20	3	16
A Lacazette	A Lacazette	M Fofana	A Lacazette

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Lacazette FWD	5	20	2	16
G Mikautadze FWD	4	13	1	4
M Fofana FWD	3	11	3	7
R Cherki MID	3	7	3	11
N Tagliafico DEF	2	5		1
G Orban FWD	2	3		1
Abner DEF	1	3		4
D Caleta-Car DEF	1	1		2
C Tolisso MID	1	9	2	9
A Maitland-Niles DEF	1	4	2	9
S Benrahma FWD	1	4	3	9
S Kumbedi DEF				1
W Zaha FWD		1
M Caqueret MID		1		7
T Tessmann MID				2
E Nuamah FWD		2		5
N Matić MID		1		7
C Mata DEF			3	4
M Niakhaté DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
810	36	78
D Caleta-Car	A Maitland-Niles	C Tolisso

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Caleta-Car DEF	810	16	52
M Niakhaté DEF	772	27	55
C Mata DEF	680	23	64
N Matić MID	677	21	37
C Tolisso MID	627	29	78
A Maitland-Niles DEF	529	36	56
N Tagliafico DEF	503	27	55
L Perri GLK	447		10
R Cherki MID	412	6	51
Abner DEF	390	19	32
M Fofana FWD	335	15	54
M Caqueret MID	332	21	34
A Lacazette FWD	288	7	43
S Benrahma FWD	277	8	21
G Mikautadze FWD	196	5	35
T Tessmann MID	181	11	18
E Nuamah FWD	174	10	27
S Kumbedi DEF	72	5	8
W Zaha FWD	33	1	5
G Orban FWD	31		4
M. Diawara MID	7	1	1
W Omari DEF	6
Adryelson DEF	3		1

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	6	3	7
G. Restes	Z Aboukhlal	G Suazo	C Yepes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G. Restes GLK	17			-
Y Gboho FWD	17	2	2	1 -
Z Aboukhlal FWD	17	6	2	3 -
D Sidibé DEF	16		2	1 -
C Cresswell DEF	16			1 -
C Yepes MID	16		1	7 -
S Babicka FWD	16	4		1 -
A Dönnum FWD	16	1		3 -
M McKenzie DEF	15			1 -
W Kamanzi DEF	15			1 -
V Sierro MID	15	1	1	2 -
J King FWD	15	4	1	2 -
F Magri FWD	15			1 1
G Suazo DEF	14		3	-
M Zajc MID	9			1 -
N Schmidt MID	8		1	-
R Nicolaisen DEF	7		1	-
D Genreau MID	6			-
U Akdag DEF	4			1 -
Álex Domínguez GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	3	16
Z Aboukhlal	Z Aboukhlal	G Suazo	V Sierro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Aboukhlal FWD	6	22	2	9
S Babicka FWD	4	5		6
J King FWD	4	11	1	10
Y Gboho FWD	2	13	2	8
V Sierro MID	1	1	1	16
A Dönnum FWD	1	3		8
G Suazo DEF		2	3	9
U Akdag DEF				1
D Genreau MID				4
R Nicolaisen DEF		1	1	1
N Schmidt MID		1	1	2
M Zajc MID		1		2
F Magri FWD		3		1
W Kamanzi DEF				4
M McKenzie DEF				1
C Yepes MID		1	1	6
C Cresswell DEF		4		2
D Sidibé DEF			2	9

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
746	56	104
C Cresswell	C Yepes	Y Gboho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Cresswell DEF	746	16	74
V Sierro MID	731	26	66
M McKenzie DEF	637	28	58
D Sidibé DEF	590	35	66
C Yepes MID	566	56	96
G. Restes GLK	448	2	4
A Dönnum FWD	435	21	78
G Suazo DEF	392	27	60
R Nicolaisen DEF	384	6	36
Y Gboho FWD	310	23	104
W Kamanzi DEF	260	23	38
Z Aboukhlal FWD	232	16	59
J King FWD	197	6	60
U Akdag DEF	191	4	19
N Schmidt MID	163	5	8
S Babicka FWD	125	13	34
M Zajc MID	94	2	4
F Magri FWD	70	2	25
D Genreau MID	35	1	3
Álex Domínguez GLK	10

French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Marseille v Strasbourg

Toulouse v Montpellier

Sun 26th Jan, 16:15

Nice v Marseille

Sun 26th Jan, 19:45

Lyon v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Lyon have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Toulouse are in 8th position in the Ligue 1 on 24 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Lyon v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

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