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Lyon v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 2nd Mar, 14:00 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Lyon and Stade Brestois 29 meet at the Groupama Stadium on Sunday afternoon, with both Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and Eric Roy seeking a win in the Ligue 1. All the odds are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lyon or Brest are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 82% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
57%
4/64/6
3%
Draw
22%
14/516/5
Brest
22%
4/118/5
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/213/2
Lyon 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Lyon 1-0
9%
8/113/2
6%
Lyon 2-0
9%
8/17/1
6%
Lyon 3-1
6%
11/19/1
9%
Brest 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Lyon 3-0
6%
12/110/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
9%
Brest 1-0
5%
16/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/111/1
Lyon 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Lyon 4-1
3%
22/116/1
Brest 2-0
3%
25/118/1
Lyon 4-0
3%
25/116/1
11%
Brest 3-1
2%
33/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/68/13
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/56/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/64/6
3%
BTTS - No
42%
11/1011/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/521/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/16/1
8%
Home/draw
78%
1/61/5
Away/draw
43%
23/2023/20
2%
Home/away
78%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/51/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/216/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/86/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/210/21
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/210/3
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/52/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/17/1
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/141/16
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
11/1
Home DNB
72%
2/72/7
1%
Away DNB
37%
5/212/5
6%
Lyon win to nil
28%
9/4-
Brest win to nil
10%
9/1-
Lyon / Lyon
31%
13/86/4
Lyon / Brest
3%
33/125/1
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Lyon
17%
15/47/2
2%
Draw / Brest
8%
9/18/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Brest / Lyon
4%
18/116/1
Brest / Brest
11%
13/26/1
8%
Brest / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lyon have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

Lyon have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Brest are in 9th position in the Ligue 1 on 32 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Brest have conceded 24 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Brest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2217503956 
Feb 23
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-1F
2
Marseille2214442446 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-5A
Apr 27
3
Nice2211741740 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 9
l
 
0-1A
May 18
4
Monaco2212461540 
l
 
0-2A
May 11
Apr 6
l
 
3-2A
5
Lille2210841438 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
May 11
l
 
3-1A
6
Lyon Home2210661336 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
7
Strasbourg22967533 
w
 
4-3A
Mar 30
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
8
Lens22967333 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
9
Brest Away2210210-332 
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
-
-
10
Toulouse22769-227 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
11
Angers227510-826 
May 18
w
 
0-3F
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
12
Auxerre22679-625 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 13
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
13
Rennes227213-323 
Apr 27
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
14
Reims225710-822 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
w
 
1-2F
15
Nantes22499-1421 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
16
St Etienne225314-3018 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
17
Le Havre225215-2517 
Mar 16
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Montpellier224315-3115 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
May 4
l
 
3-1A
Win / draw / win form
Lyon 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon4 - 0Reims
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lyon4 - 1Nice
Lyon1 - 0St Etienne
Lyon2 - 2Auxerre
Lyon2 - 0Nantes
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Lyon4 - 3Strasbourg
Lyon0 - 2Monaco
Lyon2 - 1Strasbourg
Lyon3 - 2Monaco
Lyon4 - 3Brest
Lyon1 - 1Reims
Lyon0 - 3Lens
Lyon1 - 0Nice
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Lyon2 - 3Rennes
Lyon1 - 0Nantes
Lyon3 - 0Toulouse
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALyon4 - 1Montpellier
HLyon4 - 0Reims
ALyon2 - 3Marseille
ALyon1 - 1Nantes
HLyon0 - 0Toulouse
ALyon1 - 2Brest
HLyon1 - 0Montpellier
ALyon1 - 3PSG
ALyon3 - 0Angers
HLyon4 - 1Nice
ALyon1 - 1Reims
HLyon1 - 0St Etienne
ALyon1 - 1Lille
HLyon2 - 2Auxerre
ALyon4 - 0Le Havre
HLyon2 - 0Nantes
ALyon2 - 1Toulouse
HLyon2 - 3Marseille
ALyon0 - 0Lens
HLyon4 - 3Strasbourg
Brest 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Le Havre0 - 1Brest
Rennes1 - 2Brest
Angers2 - 0Brest
Lille3 - 1Brest
Monaco3 - 2Brest
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
Reims1 - 2Brest
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
PSG3 - 1Brest
Lens2 - 0Brest
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Rennes4 - 5Brest
Lyon4 - 3Brest
Lorient0 - 1Brest
Lens1 - 0Brest
Strasbourg0 - 3Brest
Clermont1 - 1Brest
PSG2 - 2Brest
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrest2 - 2Auxerre
ABrest2 - 0Nantes
HBrest2 - 5PSG
ABrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest2 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 1Lyon
ABrest0 - 2Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nantes
ABrest1 - 3Lille
HBrest3 - 1Strasbourg
ABrest2 - 3Monaco
ABrest1 - 3Montpellier
HBrest0 - 1Nice
ABrest2 - 1Reims
HBrest1 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 0Le Havre
ABrest0 - 3Auxerre
HBrest2 - 0Toulouse
ABrest1 - 3PSG
HBrest4 - 0St Etienne
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lyon since 2020
Lyon
Brest
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
LYN
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
Lyon4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Brest since 2019
Brest
Lyon
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
LYN
2
D
1
SBR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
Brest2 - 1
Brest1 - 0
2 - 4Lyon
Brest2 - 1
2 - 3Lyon
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Stade Brestois 29 have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. This run could continue, with Lyon's PG an impressive 2.0.

Goals have been an issue for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Lyon.

Lyon 6th Brest 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Brest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Lyon have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+30
Brest have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279163/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
2
1.1
Attack rating
7%
better
LYN
SBR
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score4
4
Scored first13
12
Goals scored40
35
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
25%
better
LYN
SBR
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded27
38
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+25%

Lyon v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22777
L PerriA LacazetteR CherkiD Caleta-Car
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK22
1
-
G Mikautadze FWD2261
1
-
C Tolisso MID2143
2
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF2012
-
M Fofana FWD2034
1
-
M Niakhaté DEF19
-
C Mata DEF193
4
-
A Lacazette FWD1972
1
-
J Veretout MID182
4
-
N Matić MID181
-
R Cherki MID1847
2
-
E Nuamah FWD1721
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF151
7
-
Abner DEF1411
1
-
N Tagliafico DEF1431
6
-
T Tessmann MID13
1
-
S Kumbedi DEF8
-
T Almada MID4
-
W Omari DEF1
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211034
M BizotL AjorqueM BaldéM Camara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Camara MID2232
4
-
M Bizot GLK21
2
-
H Magnetti MID211
3
-
L Ajorque FWD20101
4
-
B Chardonnet DEF191
3
-
K Lala DEF1921
2
-
K Doumbia MID1911
-
M Baldé FWD1923
2
-
R Castillo FWD1853
-
A Sima FWD1732
2
-
M Lage FWD1712
2
-
R Faivre MID1622
2
-
E Fernandes DEF131
1
-
N Ndiaye DEF121
3
-
T. Zogbe DEF12
1
-
J Martin MID121
2
-
I Salah FWD1211
-
M Haidara DEF11
2
1
J Amavi DEF11
2
-
J Cardinal DEF101
2
-
P Lees-Melou MID911
2
-
S Coulibaly DEF6
-
G Coudert GLK1
-
J. Bourgault DEF1
-