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Lyon v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Feb, 19:45 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Sunday evening sees Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca’s Lyon and Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain go up against one another in a Ligue 1 clash at the Groupama Stadium. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As followers of PSG prepare themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both teams know they way to goal and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of PSG coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
30%
4.00
11%
3.60
Draw
22%
4.10
3%
4.20
5%
PSG
49%
1.75
5%
1.83
4%
Draw 1-1
9%
8.508.00
PSG 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Lyon 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
7%
12.00
9%
10.00
PSG 1-0
6%
13.0010.00
9%
PSG 2-0
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
PSG 3-1
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
Lyon 1-0
5%
19.0015.00
PSG 3-2
4%
17.0013.00
PSG 3-0
4%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Lyon 2-0
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
Lyon 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
Lyon 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
13%
PSG 4-1
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1.441.40
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
2.752.75
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.50
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.50
2%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
23.00
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.441.44
3%
BTTS - No
33%
2.622.62
5%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5.505.00
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.50
4%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
2.88
4%
2.80
Home/draw
51%
2.00
5%
1.95
2%
Away/draw
70%
1.22
5%
1.29
Home/away
78%
1.221.22
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.121.12
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
6.005.75
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
2.002.00
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
1.801.75
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
3.40
3%
3.20
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.33
2%
1.30
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
6.005.50
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.121.12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.011.01
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
13%
Home DNB
45%
3.00
15%
2.75
5%
Away DNB
64%
1.36
6%
1.40
3%
Lyon win to nil
11%
10.00
11%
-
PSG win to nil
19%
4.00
8%
-
Lyon / Lyon
13%
6.50
18%
5.50
Lyon / PSG
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
Lyon / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Lyon
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Draw / PSG
16%
5.00
9%
5.00
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
7%
6.50
PSG / Lyon
3%
26.0021.00
PSG / PSG
29%
2.75
5%
2.70
6%
PSG / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Lyon have conceded 13 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lyon have played 10 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

PSG lay in 1st place on 53 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 21 matches. PSG are unbeaten in 21 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 21 games. PSG are unbeaten away after 10 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. PSG have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

PSG have played 10 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Away2116503853 
Feb 23
l
 
3-1A
-
-
2
Marseille2113442043 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-2F
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
3
Nice2110741537 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 9
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
4
Monaco211146937 
l
 
0-2A
May 11
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
5
Lille219841235 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
Mar 1
w
 
1-3F
6
Lyon Home219661033 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
7
Lens21966533 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
8
Brest2210210-332 
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
9
Strasbourg21867330 
w
 
4-3A
Mar 30
w
 
4-2F
May 4
10
Toulouse21768-127 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 15
11
Auxerre22679-625 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 13
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Rennes217212-123 
Apr 27
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 9
13
Angers216510-923 
May 18
w
 
0-3F
Apr 6
w
 
2-4F
14
Reims21579-722 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
Nantes21498-821 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
16
St Etienne215313-2618 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
w
 
2-1F
Mar 30
17
Le Havre215214-2317 
Mar 16
w
 
0-4F
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
18
Montpellier214314-2815 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
w
 
6-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
Lyon 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
PSG have beaten Lyon in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
PSG have not lost to Lyon in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Lyon since 2014
Lyon
PSG
Goals: Scored
13
17
Games: Scored
9 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
2 / 11
LYN
4
D
2
PSG
5
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Lyon
Goals: Scored
32
10
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
LYN
2
D
1
PSG
9
Goal Statistics

Lyon's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Paris Saint-Germain have conceded in each of their last 7 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.5 for P. Rodrigues Fonseca's side suggests that run should continue.

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Lyon 6th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Lyon have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+31
PSG have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279152/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.5
2
Attack rating
LYN
PSG
28%
better
view stats
Games scored17
20
Failed to score4
1
Scored first12
16
Goals scored36
58
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.8
Avg. shots per game9
15
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.7
2.5
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
LYN
PSG
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
16
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded26
20
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+2%

Lyon v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21667
L PerriA LacazetteR CherkiD Caleta-Car
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK21
1
-
G Mikautadze FWD2151
1
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF2012
-
C Tolisso MID2033
2
-
M Fofana FWD1934
1
-
C Mata DEF183
4
-
M Niakhaté DEF18
-
A Lacazette FWD1862
1
-
J Veretout MID172
4
-
N Matić MID17
-
R Cherki MID1746
2
-
E Nuamah FWD161
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF151
7
-
Abner DEF131
1
-
N Tagliafico DEF1331
5
-
T Tessmann MID12
1
-
S Kumbedi DEF7
-
T Almada MID3
-
W Omari DEF1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181675
B BarcolaO DembéléJ NevesL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lee FWD2164
1
-
B Barcola FWD21115
1
-
F Ruiz MID2021
-
W Pacho DEF191
2
-
O Dembélé FWD19164
1
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID1811
2
-
Vitinha MID184
1
-
D Doué FWD1814
1
-
G Donnarumma GLK17
2
-
J Neves MID1727
-
A Hakimi DEF1625
2
-
Marquinhos DEF15
3
-
N Mendes  DEF1412
1
-
L Beraldo DEF131
5
-
S. Mayulu MID111
1
-
G Ramos FWD1042
-
L Hernández  DEF7
1
-
M Safonov GLK5
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD311
-