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Nantes v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 16:15 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Home advantage can be vital in the Ligue 1, and Antoine Kombouare’s Nantes will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Carles Martínez Novell’s Toulouse are their opponents at the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Nantes and Toulouse a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Ligue 1 match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
31%
11/5
3%
-
Draw
26%
23/10-
Toulouse
43%
5/4-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Toulouse 1-0
11%
7/1-
Toulouse 2-1
9%
17/2-
Nantes 1-0
9%
9/1-
Toulouse 2-0
8%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1-
Nantes 2-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Nantes 2-0
5%
14/1-
Toulouse 3-1
4%
18/1-
Toulouse 3-0
4%
20/1-
Nantes 3-1
3%
25/1-
Toulouse 3-2
2%
28/1-
Nantes 3-2
2%
33/1-
Nantes 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
3/4-
BTTS - No
48%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7/2-
Home/draw
57%
8/13-
Away/draw
69%
4/11-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
12/5
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/3
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
50%
6/5-
Away DNB
61%
8/13-
Nantes win to nil
17%
9/2-
Toulouse win to nil
23%
3/1-
Nantes / Nantes
17%
4/1-
Nantes / Toulouse
3%
25/1-
Nantes / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nantes
12%
6/1-
Draw / Toulouse
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Toulouse / Nantes
3%
28/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
22%
11/4-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Nantes have conceded 34 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 12th place on 34 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 14 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2823505474 
Apr 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Monaco2916582253 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
7-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
3
Marseille2916491652 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
4
Lyon2915681851 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
5
Lille2914871350 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
6
Strasbourg2914871150 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
7
Nice2913971748 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
8
Brest2913511144 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
2-0A
9
Lens2912611042 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-2A
May 11
w
 
0-1F
10
Auxerre2910811-238 
w
 
2-0F
May 11
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Rennes2911216435 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
May 4
w
 
0-2F
12
Toulouse Away299713034 
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
13
Nantes Home287912-1430 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
14
Angers298615-1830 
May 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
15
Reims297814-1129 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
16
Le Havre298318-3027 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
17
St Etienne296617-3624 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
May 18
18
Montpellier294322-4515 
May 18
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Nantes 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes1 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 1Strasbourg
Nantes3 - 1Lens
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Nantes1 - 1Lyon
Nantes2 - 2Monaco
Nantes1 - 0Rennes
Nantes0 - 2Le Havre
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Nantes1 - 1Nice
Nantes2 - 2St Etienne
Nantes1 - 2Reims
Nantes2 - 0Auxerre
Nantes1 - 2Lille
Nantes0 - 3Rennes
Nantes1 - 3Lyon
Nantes1 - 3Strasbourg
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Nantes0 - 2PSG
Nantes0 - 1Lens
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes2 - 1Nice
ANantes2 - 3Le Havre
HNantes1 - 0Lille
HNantes0 - 1Strasbourg
ANantes0 - 2Marseille
HNantes3 - 1Lens
ANantes1 - 7Monaco
HNantes0 - 2Brest
ANantes2 - 1Reims
HNantes1 - 1Lyon
ANantes1 - 1St Etienne
HNantes2 - 2Monaco
ANantes1 - 1Lille
ANantes1 - 4Brest
HNantes1 - 0Rennes
ANantes1 - 1PSG
HNantes0 - 2Le Havre
ANantes2 - 3Lens
HNantes1 - 2Marseille
ANantes1 - 3Strasbourg
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lens0 - 1Toulouse
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
Rennes0 - 2Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 3Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Nice1 - 1Toulouse
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Rennes1 - 2Toulouse
Clermont0 - 3Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco1 - 2Toulouse
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse1 - 2Lille
AToulouse2 - 3Marseille
HToulouse2 - 4Brest
AToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
HToulouse1 - 1Monaco
AToulouse4 - 0Angers
AToulouse4 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse0 - 1PSG
AToulouse2 - 2Auxerre
HToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse0 - 0Lyon
HToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
AToulouse1 - 0Lens
HToulouse2 - 1St Etienne
AToulouse0 - 2Monaco
HToulouse2 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse0 - 3PSG
AToulouse2 - 0Rennes
HToulouse1 - 0Reims
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nantes since 2013
Nantes
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
NAN
4
D
2
TOU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
1 - 2Toulouse
Nantes3 - 1
0 - 1Toulouse
Nantes2 - 1
Nantes4 - 0
Nantes2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toulouse
1 - 2Toulouse
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Nantes
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
6 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
4 / 10
NAN
3
D
6
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nantes
Toulouse1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Toulouse have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Nantes on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nantes 13th Toulouse 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Nantes have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
+33
Toulouse have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279221/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
NAN
TOU
2%
better
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score6
6
Scored first14
12
Goals scored33
38
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
NAN
TOU
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
20
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first13
15
Goals conceded47
38
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%

Nantes v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27898
M AblineM AblineM SimonN Pallois
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Abline FWD2882
2
-
M Simon FWD2679
2
-
P Chirivella  MID252
5
-
M Mohamed FWD254
2
-
K Amian DEF241
4
-
J Castelletto DEF24
4
1
J Lepenant MID2421
2
-
N Cozza DEF231
2
1
D Augusto MID2332
6
-
N Pallois DEF222
8
-
S Thomas MID2212
2
-
M Coco DEF181
3
1
B. Guirassy FWD152
-
A Lopes GLK13
1
-
A Lafont GLK12
1
-
N Zeze DEF12
3
-
L. Leroux MID121
1
-
D. Assoumani MID10
-
S Sow DEF91
1
-
F Mollet MID9
1
-
T Kadewere FWD812
1
-
M Elia FWD71
-
P Carlgren GLK3
-
F Coquelin MID31
-
F Centonze DEF2
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26769
A DönnumZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Dönnum DEF2712
3
-
S Babicka FWD2742
2
-
M McKenzie DEF261
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2621
2
-
G Suazo DEF266
-
C Yepes MID2613
9
-
Y Gboho FWD2523
2
-
F Magri FWD255
5
1
G. Restes GLK23
-
V Sierro MID2351
4
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2372
4
-
D Sidibé DEF222
1
-
J King FWD2252
2
-
W Kamanzi DEF211
3
-
M Zajc MID17
2
-
J. Canvot DEF14
1
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
K Haug GLK6
-
U Akdag DEF6
2
-