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Montpellier v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Oct, 16:00 BST, Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

the Stade de la Mosson plays host on Sunday afternoon, as Michel Der Zakarian's Montpellier are visited by Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse in the Ligue 1. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Montpellier and Toulouse will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Montpellier
31%
21/102/1
3%
Draw
24%
5/25/2
Toulouse
45%
6/5
2%
5/4
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Toulouse 2-1
9%
8/17/1
6%
Toulouse 1-0
8%
17/2
6%
7/1
Montpellier 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Toulouse 2-0
7%
11/19/1
9%
Montpellier 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Toulouse 3-1
5%
16/112/1
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
8%
9/1
Montpellier 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Toulouse 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Toulouse 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Montpellier 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Montpellier 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Toulouse 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/11
4%
3/4
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10
5%
1/1
3%
Home 1st Goal
46%
5/4
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/1313/20
BTTS - No
40%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/1
8%
3/1
Home/draw
55%
4/6
3%
8/13
1%
Away/draw
69%
4/114/11
3%
Home/away
76%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
8%
27/10
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4
8%
9/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/9
3%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
9%
17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
9%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
9/1
Home DNB
48%
6/523/20
2%
Away DNB
62%
8/138/13
3%
Montpellier win to nil
14%
5/1-
Toulouse win to nil
21%
3/1
8%
-
Montpellier / Montpellier
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
7%
Montpellier / Toulouse
4%
22/118/1
Montpellier / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Montpellier
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Toulouse
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Toulouse / Montpellier
3%
25/120/1
Toulouse / Toulouse
22%
13/5
4%
5/2
3%
Toulouse / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Montpellier have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Montpellier have conceded 26 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Montpellier have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 15th place on 6 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 8 matches. Toulouse are unbeaten in 2 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games. Toulouse are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 1 goal and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 3 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Montpellier
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Toulouse
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 11
l
 
6-0A
 PSG86201720 
Feb 16
Nov 24
Jan 19
l
 
2-1F
 Monaco86201020 
Mar 9
Dec 8
l
 
0-5A
Apr 20
 Marseille85211317 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 6
Dec 1
Mar 9
 Lille8422514 
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
Feb 2
Dec 8
 Lens8350514 
May 11
Jan 5
Apr 27
l
 
4-2A
 Reims8422314 
Nov 3
Apr 20
Feb 16
Jan 5
 Lyon8413213 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 19
Dec 15
Feb 23
 Nice8242810 
Feb 2
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3A
May 18
 Nantes8242110 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
 Strasbourg8242010 
Jan 12
Mar 16
Nov 10
May 4
 Brest8314-310 
Mar 30
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
 Auxerre8305-59 
Dec 1
Feb 9
Mar 2
l
 
3-0A
 Rennes822408 
May 4
Nov 10
Mar 16
Nov 24
 St Etienne8215-147 
Dec 15
May 18
Oct 27
Jan 26
 Toulouse Away8134-46 
-
-
Apr 6
Nov 3
 Le Havre8206-126 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 23
Jan 12
Apr 13
 Angers8044-84 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
-
-
 Montpellier H8116-184 
Jan 26
Oct 27
Win / draw / win form
3
Montpellier have lost 3 consecutive league games
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Montpellier3 - 2Auxerre
Montpellier1 - 3Nantes
Montpellier1 - 1Strasbourg
Montpellier0 - 2Monaco
Montpellier1 - 1Nantes
Montpellier2 - 0Lorient
Montpellier2 - 6PSG
Montpellier2 - 2Strasbourg
Montpellier3 - 0Metz
Montpellier1 - 2Lyon
Montpellier0 - 0Lille
Montpellier1 - 1Marseille
Montpellier0 - 0Lens
Montpellier1 - 1Clermont
Montpellier1 - 3Brest
Montpellier0 - 0Nice
Montpellier3 - 0Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 0Rennes
Montpellier1 - 3Reims
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMontpellier0 - 5Marseille
AMontpellier2 - 4Reims
AMontpellier1 - 2Monaco
HMontpellier3 - 2Auxerre
AMontpellier0 - 3Rennes
HMontpellier1 - 3Nantes
AMontpellier0 - 6PSG
HMontpellier1 - 1Strasbourg
AMontpellier2 - 2Lens
HMontpellier0 - 2Monaco
AMontpellier2 - 1Toulouse
HMontpellier1 - 1Nantes
AMontpellier2 - 1Reims
AMontpellier1 - 1Clermont
HMontpellier2 - 0Lorient
AMontpellier2 - 0Le Havre
HMontpellier2 - 6PSG
AMontpellier2 - 1Nice
HMontpellier2 - 2Strasbourg
AMontpellier1 - 4Marseille
Toulouse 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Nice1 - 1Toulouse
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Rennes1 - 2Toulouse
Clermont0 - 3Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco1 - 2Toulouse
Reims2 - 3Toulouse
Metz0 - 1Toulouse
Lyon3 - 0Toulouse
Nice1 - 0Toulouse
Lille1 - 1Toulouse
Montpellier3 - 0Toulouse
Brest1 - 1Toulouse
Lens2 - 1Toulouse
Marseille0 - 0Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 0Toulouse
Nantes1 - 2Toulouse
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse1 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse1 - 2Lyon
AToulouse0 - 2Brest
HToulouse2 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse1 - 3Marseille
AToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 0Nantes
HToulouse0 - 3Brest
AToulouse3 - 1PSG
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse2 - 1Lorient
HToulouse2 - 2Marseille
AToulouse2 - 1Rennes
HToulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse3 - 0Clermont
HToulouse2 - 3Lyon
AToulouse0 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 1Nice
HToulouse3 - 1Lille
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Montpellier since 2014
Montpellier
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
17
6
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
MTP
7
TOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
Montpellier3 - 0
1 - 2Toulouse
Montpellier3 - 0
Montpellier2 - 1
Montpellier2 - 1
0 - 1Toulouse
Montpellier2 - 0
Montpellier2 - 0
Montpellier2 - 1
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
10
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
MTP
2
D
2
TOU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse4 - 2
0 - 3Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 0
Toulouse1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toulouse1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Toulouse's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Montpellier have conceded in each of their last 14 Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 1.7 for C. Martínez Novell's side suggests that run should continue.

Montpellier 18th Toulouse 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Montpellier will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Montpellier have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279021/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Montpellier
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
MTP
TOU
10%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score3
2
Scored first1
3
Goals scored8
7
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
MTP
TOU
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded26
11
Avg. goals conceded3.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded14
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
4
Conversion rate against24%
23%
Avg. XG against2
0.8
KickOff rating
+41%

Montpellier v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8325
F SackoA AdamsT SavanierR. Nzingoula
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Sacko DEF81
1
-
T Savanier MID812
1
-
A Adams FWD831
2
-
M Sagnan DEF71
2
-
A Nordin FWD72
1
-
W Khazri FWD71
1
-
B Omeragic DEF6
1
-
T Coulibaly FWD6
1
-
B Lecomte GLK5
-
J Ferri MID5
2
-
J Chotard MID5
2
-
R. Nzingoula MID51
5
-
I Sylla DEF4
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF4
-
K Fayad MID4
-
D Bertaud GLK3
-
M Tamari FWD3
1
-
K Kouyaté DEF2
1
-
G Bares MID2
-
O. Maamma FWD1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8323
G. RestesS BabickaY GbohoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK8
-
D Sidibé DEF81
1
-
V Sierro MID81
1
-
Y Gboho FWD822
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD81
1
-
C Cresswell DEF7
-
W Kamanzi DEF7
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
C Yepes MID71
3
-
S Babicka FWD73
1
-
A Dönnum FWD7
2
-
F Magri FWD7
1
1
M McKenzie DEF6
-
G Suazo DEF6
-
J King FWD61
1
-
M Zajc MID5
1
-
N Schmidt MID3
-
U Akdag DEF2
-
D Genreau MID2
-