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Marseille v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Carles Martínez Novell will be hoping for a precious away win in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, as he takes his Toulouse side to the Stade Vélodrome to visit Marseille and Roberto De Zerbi. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Marseille's next match is v Monaco at 16:00 on Saturday 12th April
Toulouse's next match is v Lille at 18:00 on Saturday 12th April
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Toulouse was on Sunday 6th April 2025
French Ligue 1
April 6th 2025
Marseille 3
2 Toulouse
 
G. Suazo Urbina (OG) 21'28' F. Magri
M. Greenwood 57'76' V. Sierro
A. Rabiot 64'
 
MAR
TOU
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
5
1
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
11
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
MarseilleToulouse
 
G. Rulli
M. Murillo Bermudez
Q. Merlin (U. Garcia Lopes 76')
D. Cornelius (P. Lirola Kosok 56')
V. Rongier
I. Bennacer (B. Nadir 90')
A. Rabiotfootball icon
G. Kondogbia
M. Greenwoodfootball icon (A. Dedić 90')
N. Maupay (J. Rowe 56')
L. Tomaz de Lima
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
A. Dønnum
(J. Canvot 75') D. Sidibé
(W. Kamanzi 90') C. Cresswell
football iconG. Suazo Urbina
C. Cásseres Yepes
football iconV. Sierro
(J. King 75') Y. Gboho
football iconF. Magri
(N. Edjouma 75') W. Shavy

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Marseille may feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Toulouse. The bookies don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's the bet we'd recommend you go with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
43%
7/10
23%
-
Draw
24%
3/1
17%
-
Toulouse
33%
7/2
44%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
17%
-
Marseille 2-1
9%
15/2-
Marseille 1-0
8%
7/1
7%
-
Toulouse 2-1
8%
14/1
29%
-
Toulouse 1-0
7%
14/1
29%
-
Marseille 2-0
6%
15/2
21%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
21%
-
Marseille 3-1
5%
12/1
18%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Toulouse 2-0
5%
22/1
44%
-
Toulouse 3-1
4%
33/1
33%
-
Marseille 3-0
3%
12/1
44%
-
Marseille 3-2
3%
22/1-
Toulouse 3-2
3%
33/1
33%
-
Toulouse 3-0
2%
50/1
37%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/9
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
7/4
31%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
7/10
11%
-
BTTS - No
40%
21/20
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
12/5
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
17%
-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
7/1
38%
-
Home/draw
67%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
57%
11/10
30%
-
Home/away
76%
2/9
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
-
Home DNB
60%
3/10
16%
-
Away DNB
50%
12/5
43%
-
Marseille win to nil
20%
9/4
44%
-
Toulouse win to nil
15%
8/1
31%
-
Marseille / Marseille
32%
13/8
28%
-
Marseille / Toulouse
2%
33/1
17%
-
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Marseille
17%
15/4
19%
-
Draw / Toulouse
9%
17/2
37%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
14%
-
Toulouse / Marseille
4%
20/1
11%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
11%
13/2
42%
-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/1
21%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 11th position in the Ligue 1 on 34 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 28 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2823505474 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Marseille Home2816481952 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
3
Monaco2815581950 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
4
Strasbourg2814771149 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
5
Lyon2814681648 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Nice2813871747 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
7
Lille2813871247 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
8
Brest2813411143 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
l
 
2-4A
l
 
2-0A
9
Lens2912611042 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
May 11
w
 
0-1F
10
Auxerre2810810038 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Toulouse Away289712134 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
-
-
12
Rennes2810216032 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
May 4
w
 
0-2F
13
Nantes287912-1430 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
14
Reims297814-1129 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
15
Angers287615-2027 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
16
Le Havre288317-2627 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
17
St Etienne286517-3623 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
May 18
18
Montpellier284321-4315 
Apr 19
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
Toulouse 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lens0 - 1Toulouse
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
Rennes0 - 2Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 3Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Nice1 - 1Toulouse
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Rennes1 - 2Toulouse
Clermont0 - 3Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco1 - 2Toulouse
Reims2 - 3Toulouse
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse2 - 4Brest
AToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
HToulouse1 - 1Monaco
AToulouse4 - 0Angers
AToulouse4 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse0 - 1PSG
AToulouse2 - 2Auxerre
HToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
AToulouse0 - 0Lyon
HToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
AToulouse1 - 0Lens
HToulouse2 - 1St Etienne
AToulouse0 - 2Monaco
HToulouse2 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse0 - 3PSG
AToulouse2 - 0Rennes
HToulouse1 - 0Reims
AToulouse3 - 0Montpellier
HToulouse1 - 1Angers
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
19
Marseille have not lost to Toulouse in 19 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
18
4
Games: Scored
7 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
2 / 9
MAR
5
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille6 - 1
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille4 - 0
Marseille2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Marseille
Goals: Scored
11
25
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
MAR
6
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 3Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
2 - 5Marseille
1 - 2Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 6Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Marseille have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Toulouse on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Marseille 2nd Toulouse 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+40
Toulouse have scored 40% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279192/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
21%
better
MAR
TOU
view stats
Games scored22
21
Failed to score5
6
Scored first14
12
Goals scored54
35
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
MAR
TOU
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
18
Clean sheets5
9
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded36
33
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%

Marseille v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281658
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueD Cornelius
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK28
1
-
M Murillo DEF2412
1
-
D Cornelius DEF19
6
2
G Kondogbia DEF21
1
-
L Henrique MID2875
-
I Bennacer MID71
1
-
V Rongier MID2031
4
-
Q Merlin MID2113
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD28163
2
-
A Rabiot FWD2362
3
-
N Maupay FWD2144
2
1
Subs
J Lange GLK
-
U Garcia DEF1521
1
-
P Lirola DEF1612
1
1
A Dedic DEF81
-
A Harit  MID923
1
P Höjbjerg MID2423
5
-
B Nadir MID141
2
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
J Rowe FWD2222
1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26569
A DönnumV SierroG SuazoC Yepes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK23
-
D Sidibé DEF222
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2621
2
-
M McKenzie DEF261
1
-
A Dönnum MID2712
3
-
C Yepes MID2613
9
-
V Sierro MID2351
4
-
G Suazo MID266
-
S Babicka FWD2742
2
-
Y Gboho FWD2523
2
-
F Magri FWD255
5
1
Subs
K Haug GLK6
-
U Akdag DEF6
2
-
W Kamanzi DEF211
3
-
J. Canvot DEF14
1
-
M Zajc MID17
2
-
R. Messali MID10
-
E Zuliani MID1
-
J King FWD2252
2
-
N. Edjouma FWD82
-