Marseille's team badge Stade Brestois 29's team badge

Marseille v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ligue 1, and Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille will have the joy of it on Sunday evening. Eric Roy’s Stade Brestois 29 are their opponents at the Stade Vélodrome. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Ligue 1 clash, with Marseille and Brest going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Forwards at both clubs will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having analysed the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
53%
1.62-
Draw
22%
4.00-
Brest
26%
5.00-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00-
Marseille 2-1
10%
8.50-
Marseille 1-0
7%
9.00-
Marseille 2-0
7%
9.00-
Brest 2-1
6%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Marseille 3-1
6%
12.00-
Brest 1-0
5%
17.00-
Marseille 3-0
5%
13.00-
Marseille 3-2
4%
21.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
15.00-
Brest 2-0
3%
29.00-
Marseille 4-1
3%
21.00-
Brest 3-1
3%
34.00-
Brest 3-2
3%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.62-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.30-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.44-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.88-
No 1st Goal
2%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.67-
BTTS - No
36%
2.10-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.10-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
8.00-
Home/draw
74%
1.17-
Away/draw
47%
2.25-
Home/away
78%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.53-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.20-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
9.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.07-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Home DNB
68%
1.25-
Away DNB
41%
3.75-
Marseille win to nil
23%
3.25-
Brest win to nil
10%
10.00-
Marseille / Marseille
33%
2.50-
Marseille / Brest
2%
34.00-
Marseille / Draw
5%
15.00-
Draw / Marseille
18%
4.50-
Draw / Brest
8%
10.00-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Brest / Marseille
4%
19.00-
Brest / Brest
10%
8.00-
Brest / Draw
5%
15.00-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 57 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Brest are in 8th position in the Ligue 1 on 44 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Brest have conceded 25 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Brest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2823505474 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-1F
2
Monaco2916582253 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
3
Marseille Home2916491652 
-
-
l
 
1-5A
Apr 27
4
Lyon2915681851 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
5
Lille2914871350 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
May 11
l
 
3-1A
6
Strasbourg2914871150 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Nice2913971748 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 18
8
Brest Away2913511144 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
-
-
9
Lens2912611042 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
10
Auxerre2910811-238 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
11
Rennes2911216435 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
12
Toulouse299713034 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-4F
13
Nantes287912-1430 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Angers298615-1830 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
15
Reims297814-1129 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
16
Le Havre298318-3027 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
St Etienne296617-3624 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
18
Montpellier294322-4515 
Apr 19
w
 
0-5F
May 4
l
 
3-1A
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
Brest 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St Etienne3 - 3Brest
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Lyon2 - 1Brest
Strasbourg0 - 0Brest
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Le Havre0 - 1Brest
Rennes1 - 2Brest
Angers2 - 0Brest
Lille3 - 1Brest
Monaco3 - 2Brest
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
Reims1 - 2Brest
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
PSG3 - 1Brest
Lens2 - 0Brest
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Rennes4 - 5Brest
Lyon4 - 3Brest
Lorient0 - 1Brest
Lens1 - 0Brest
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrest3 - 3St Etienne
HBrest2 - 1Monaco
ABrest4 - 2Toulouse
HBrest0 - 0Reims
HBrest2 - 0Angers
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
ABrest0 - 0Strasbourg
HBrest2 - 2Auxerre
ABrest2 - 0Nantes
HBrest2 - 5PSG
ABrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest2 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 1Lyon
ABrest0 - 2Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nantes
ABrest1 - 3Lille
HBrest3 - 1Strasbourg
ABrest2 - 3Monaco
ABrest1 - 3Montpellier
HBrest0 - 1Nice
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2019
Marseille
Brest
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
MAR
3
SBR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille2 - 0
1 - 2Brest
1 - 2Brest
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille2 - 1
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
MAR
3
D
1
SBR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Goal Statistics

Marseille have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.9 against Stade Brestois 29 on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Marseille.

Marseille 3rd Brest 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Brest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Marseille have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+28
Brest have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279222/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
2
1.3
Attack rating
7%
better
MAR
SBR
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score6
6
Scored first15
17
Goals scored57
47
Avg. goals scored2
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
MAR
SBR
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
21
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded41
46
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Marseille v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281658
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK28
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD28163
2
-
L Henrique FWD2875
-
M Murillo DEF2412
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID2423
5
-
L Balerdi DEF23
7
1
A Rabiot MID2362
3
-
J Rowe FWD2222
1
-
Q Merlin DEF2113
1
-
G Kondogbia MID21
1
-
N Maupay FWD2144
2
1
V Rongier MID2031
4
-
D Cornelius DEF19
6
2
P Lirola DEF1612
1
1
U Garcia DEF1521
1
-
B Nadir MID141
2
-
A Harit  MID923
1
A Dedic DEF81
-
A Gouiri FWD843
-
I Bennacer MID71
1
-
L Felipe DEF2
-
D. Bakola MID2
1
-
R. Vaz FWD2
1
-
E. Koum Mbondo DEF1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271045
M BizotL AjorqueM LageM Camara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Camara MID2852
5
-
M Bizot GLK27
3
-
H Magnetti MID261
4
-
K Lala DEF2531
5
-
L Ajorque FWD25101
4
-
K Doumbia MID2422
1
-
B Chardonnet DEF231
4
-
M Lage FWD2324
3
-
M Baldé FWD2223
2
-
A Sima FWD2142
2
-
R Castillo FWD2053
-
R Faivre MID1932
2
-
N Ndiaye DEF171
3
-
E Fernandes DEF161
1
-
M Haidara DEF16
2
2
P Lees-Melou MID1512
3
-
J Cardinal DEF141
2
-
T. Zogbe DEF13
2
-
J Martin MID131
2
-
I Salah FWD1211
-
J Amavi DEF11
2
-
S Coulibaly DEF7
1
-
J. Bourgault DEF21
-
G Coudert GLK1
-