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Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Sunday evening sees Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille and Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain go up against one another in a Ligue 1 battle at the Stade Vélodrome. Form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping both teams to score, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing the KickOff match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market which catches the eye for this meeting: both teams to score. In Marseille and PSG we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Sunday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
28%
3.75
4%
3.40
3%
Draw
23%
3.603.75
1%
PSG
49%
1.95
3%
2.05
3%
Draw 1-1
10%
7.007.00
PSG 2-1
9%
9.008.00
PSG 1-0
7%
11.009.00
5%
Marseille 2-1
7%
13.0010.00
PSG 2-0
7%
12.0011.00
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
11.0010.00
PSG 3-1
6%
15.0012.00
Marseille 1-0
5%
15.0012.00
PSG 3-0
4%
19.0015.00
PSG 3-2
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0012.00
8%
Marseille 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
Marseille 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
17.00
Marseille 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
PSG 4-1
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.571.55
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.382.30
3%
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.38
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.57
1%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.50
2%
1.50
BTTS - No
37%
2.502.40
2%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6.00
9%
5.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
28%
3.403.30
2%
Home/draw
51%
1.80
2%
1.75
3%
Away/draw
72%
1.251.30
Home/away
77%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17
4%
1.17
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.004.50
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.38
3%
2.30
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.57
3%
1.55
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.333.90
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.22
3%
1.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.08
3%
1.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03
2%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
Home DNB
44%
2.622.45
Away DNB
65%
1.44
2%
1.50
Marseille win to nil
12%
8.00-
PSG win to nil
21%
4.00-
Marseille / Marseille
15%
5.505.25
5%
Marseille / PSG
4%
21.0017.00
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Marseille
10%
8.007.50
Draw / PSG
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Draw
13%
6.505.50
4%
PSG / Marseille
3%
26.0021.00
PSG / PSG
26%
3.10
3%
3.10
3%
PSG / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
 

PSG lay in 1st place on 20 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 8 matches. PSG are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 8 games. PSG are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept zero clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. PSG have conceded 8 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

PSG have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Marseille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
PSG
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Oct 27
Mar 16
 PSG Away86201720 
-
-
Dec 1
Apr 13
 Monaco86201020 
Feb 9
Jan 5
-
-
 Marseille Home85211317 
Mar 16
Oct 27
Dec 15
May 4
 Lille8422514 
Mar 2
w
 
1-3F
Mar 9
Nov 24
 Lens8350514 
Nov 2
Jan 19
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
 Reims8422314 
Jan 26
d
 
1-1A
Feb 2
w
 
2-3A
 Lyon8413213 
Dec 15
Feb 23
w
 
2-0F
Jan 26
 Nice8242810 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
Nov 3
 Nantes8242110 
Dec 1
Apr 13
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
 Strasbourg8242010 
w
 
4-2F
May 4
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
 Brest8314-310 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 2
Nov 8
Feb 23
 Auxerre8305-59 
May 18
Dec 8
May 18
Jan 12
 Rennes822408 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 9
Feb 16
Dec 8
 St Etienne8215-147 
Jan 12
Mar 30
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
 Toulouse8134-46 
Nov 24
Feb 16
Jan 5
May 11
 Le Havre8206-126 
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
 Angers8044-84 
Apr 6
Nov 9
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
 Montpellier8116-184 
w
 
6-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
6
Marseille have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
28
PSG have not lost in 28 consecutive away league games
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille2 - 1Clermont
Marseille3 - 0Lyon
Marseille2 - 0Rennes
Marseille0 - 0Lille
Marseille3 - 0Le Havre
Marseille0 - 0Toulouse
Marseille2 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 1Reims
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
HMarseille1 - 1Angers
AMarseille0 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille3 - 2Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Nice
AMarseille3 - 1Toulouse
HMarseille2 - 2Reims
AMarseille5 - 1Brest
AMarseille2 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille0 - 1Reims
HMarseille3 - 1Lorient
HMarseille2 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 2Nice
AMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Lille
HMarseille0 - 2PSG
AMarseille0 - 2Rennes
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille5 - 1Clermont
HMarseille4 - 1Montpellier
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
28
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nice1 - 1PSG
Reims1 - 1PSG
Lille1 - 3PSG
Le Havre1 - 4PSG
Metz0 - 2PSG
Nice1 - 2PSG
Lorient1 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Montpellier2 - 6PSG
Monaco0 - 0PSG
Nantes0 - 2PSG
Strasbourg1 - 2PSG
Lens0 - 2PSG
Lille1 - 1PSG
Le Havre0 - 2PSG
Reims0 - 3PSG
Brest2 - 3PSG
Rennes1 - 3PSG
Clermont0 - 0PSG
Lyon1 - 4PSG
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG4 - 2Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Nice
HPSG3 - 1Rennes
APSG1 - 1Reims
HPSG3 - 1Brest
APSG3 - 1Lille
HPSG6 - 0Montpellier
APSG4 - 1Le Havre
APSG2 - 0Metz
APSG2 - 1Nice
HPSG1 - 3Toulouse
HPSG3 - 3Le Havre
APSG4 - 1Lorient
HPSG4 - 1Lyon
HPSG1 - 1Clermont
APSG2 - 0Marseille
APSG6 - 2Montpellier
HPSG2 - 2Reims
APSG0 - 0Monaco
HPSG1 - 1Rennes
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
PSG have beaten Marseille in 5 consecutive league meetings
9
PSG have not lost to Marseille in 9 consecutive away league meetings
5
PSG have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive away league meetings with Marseille
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
4 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
5 / 9
D
2
PSG
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
0 - 2PSG
0 - 3PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
0 - 2PSG
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2PSG
2 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Marseille
Goals: Scored
23
4
Games: Scored
9 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
2 / 11
MAR
1
D
1
PSG
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG2 - 1
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 18 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.8 against Marseille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Marseille 3rd PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+29
PSG have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279028/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.4
1.9
Attack rating
MAR
PSG
15%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score1
0
Scored first6
5
Goals scored21
25
Avg. goals scored2.6
3.1
Avg. shots per game10
15
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for26
21
Avg. XG for1.4
2.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
19%
better
MAR
PSG
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded8
8
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+19%

Marseille v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8632
G RulliM Greenwood A Harit D Cornelius
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK8
-
M Murillo DEF8
-
P Höjbjerg MID81
1
-
A Harit  MID823
-
M Greenwood  FWD861
-
L Henrique FWD843
-
J Rowe FWD721
1
-
E Wahi FWD721
-
D Cornelius DEF6
2
-
L Brassier DEF6
2
-
G Kondogbia MID6
-
L Balerdi DEF5
2
-
U Garcia DEF511
-
N Maupay FWD51
2
-
P Lirola DEF411
-
V Carboni MID4
1
-
V Rongier MID4
1
-
I Koné MID4
-
B Meïté DEF3
-
Q Merlin DEF31
1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
E. Sternal FWD1
1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7763
W PachoB BarcolaJ NevesL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Pacho DEF81
1
-
J Neves MID86
-
K Lee MID84
-
B Barcola FWD871
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID71
1
-
O Dembélé FWD744
1
-
R Muani FWD72
-
G Donnarumma GLK6
1
-
L Beraldo DEF6
3
-
A Hakimi DEF613
1
-
Marquinhos DEF6
1
-
F Ruiz MID61
-
Vitinha MID61
-
M Asensio FWD622
-
S. Mayulu MID51
-
D Doué FWD51
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
N Mendes  DEF411
1
-
M Skriniar DEF3
1
-
M Safonov GLK2
-
Y. Zague DEF1
-
G Ramos FWD11
-