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Marseille v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

the Stade Vélodrome plays host on Sunday evening, as Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille are visited by Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lyon in the Ligue 1. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Marseille's next match is v Angers at 19:45 on Sunday 9th February
Lyon's next match is v Reims at 14:00 on Sunday 9th February
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Lyon was on Sunday 2nd February 2025
French Ligue 1
February 2nd 2025
Marseille 3
2 Lyon
 
M. Greenwood 61'53' C. Tolisso
A. Rabiot 64'72' A. Lacazette
L. Tomaz de Lima 85'
 
MAR
LYN
Shots On
11
4
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
6
2
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
13
10
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
MarseilleLyon
 
G. Rulli
Q. Merlin (P. Lirola Kosok 80')
D. Cornelius
M. Murillo Bermudez
L. Balerdi Rossa
V. Rongier
P. Højbjerg
A. Rabiotfootball icon
B. Nadir (A. Gouiri 58')
M. Greenwoodfootball icon (U. Garcia Lopes 90')
L. Tomaz de Limafootball icon
L. Estella Perri
M. Niakhate
N. Alejandro Tagliafico
S. Kumbedi Nseke
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
M. Cherki
(T. Almada 86') N. Matić
football iconC. Tolisso
(T. Tessmann 86') J. Veretout
(G. Mikautadze 80') football iconA. Lacazette
E. Appiah Nuamah

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Marseille and Lyon will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
41%
21/20
3%
21/20
7%
Draw
25%
27/10
3%
13/5
4%
Lyon
34%
12/512/5
11%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Marseille 2-1
9%
8/17/1
7%
Marseille 1-0
8%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Lyon 2-1
8%
11/19/1
9%
Lyon 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
Marseille 2-0
6%
10/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
12%
10/1
8%
Lyon 2-0
5%
18/114/1
12%
Marseille 3-1
5%
14/111/1
9%
Lyon 3-1
4%
22/118/1
Marseille 3-0
3%
18/114/1
15%
Marseille 3-2
3%
20/116/1
13%
Lyon 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Lyon 3-0
2%
33/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11
10%
4/6
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
12%
11/10
9%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/13
6%
3/5
5%
BTTS - No
41%
6/5
8%
5/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
11/4
7%
5/2
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5/117/4
5%
Home/draw
66%
3/103/10
4%
Away/draw
59%
8/11
4%
8/11
6%
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
4%
2/9
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3
13%
3/1
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
16%
8/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9
8%
4/9
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/1
15%
7/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
4%
1/6
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
25%
15/2
21%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
1/18
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
24%
10/1
8%
Home DNB
58%
1/2
2%
1/2
7%
Away DNB
52%
6/4
5%
7/5
13%
Marseille win to nil
20%
11/4-
Lyon win to nil
16%
11/2
7%
-
Marseille / Marseille
25%
9/411/5
11%
Marseille / Lyon
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Marseille
15%
9/24/1
4%
Draw / Lyon
11%
13/213/2
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
17/4
5%
Lyon / Marseille
4%
20/116/1
Lyon / Lyon
15%
9/217/4
9%
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 9 games at home winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 13 goals at home.

Lyon are in 7th position in the Ligue 1 on 30 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Lyon have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Lyon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2015503550 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
Feb 23
l
 
3-1A
2
Marseille Home2012441840 
-
-
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-2F
3
Monaco2011451237 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
l
 
0-2A
May 11
4
Lille209831335 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
5
Nice209741334 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
Mar 9
6
Lens20965733 
Mar 9
w
 
1-3F
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
7
Lyon Away20866630 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
-
-
8
Brest209110-528 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
9
Strasbourg20767127 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-3A
Mar 30
10
Toulouse20758-126 
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
11
Auxerre20659-623 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 23
d
 
2-2F
Apr 13
12
Angers20659-723 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
May 18
w
 
0-3F
13
Reims20578-322 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
14
Nantes20497-621 
Mar 2
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Rennes206212-320 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
Apr 27
l
 
3-0A
16
St Etienne205312-2418 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
17
Montpellier204313-2615 
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
18
Le Havre204214-2414 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
Mar 16
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Lyon 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lyon
Goals: Scored
14
14
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
MAR
4
D
4
LYN
3
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Marseille
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
11 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
0 / 11
MAR
2
D
3
LYN
6
Goal Statistics

Marseille have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.5 against Lyon on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been a problem for Lyon of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Marseille.

Marseille 2nd Lyon 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Lyon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Lyon have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279127/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lyon
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
26%
better
MAR
LYN
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score2
4
Scored first12
9
Goals scored40
29
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
MAR
LYN
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
11
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded21
22
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%

Marseille v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201346
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK20
-
M Murillo DEF192
1
-
L Balerdi DEF17
5
1
D Cornelius DEF13
4
1
L Henrique MID2074
-
V Rongier MID142
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID1921
4
-
Q Merlin MID1313
1
-
B Nadir FWD81
1
-
A Rabiot FWD1531
2
-
M Greenwood  FWD20133
1
-
Subs
J Lange GLK
-
L Felipe DEF
-
U Garcia DEF1221
1
-
P Lirola DEF1112
1
1
D. Bakola MID1
1
-
N Maupay FWD1534
2
1
A Gouiri FWD11
-
J Rowe FWD1722
1
-
R. Vaz FWD2
1
-
Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20647
L PerriA LacazetteR CherkiD Caleta-Car
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK20
1
-
S Kumbedi DEF6
-
C Mata DEF173
3
-
M Niakhaté DEF17
-
N Tagliafico DEF1221
4
-
N Matić MID16
-
J Veretout MID162
4
-
R Cherki MID1634
2
-
C Tolisso MID1922
2
-
E Nuamah MID151
1
-
A Lacazette FWD1862
1
-
Subs
R Descamps GLK
-
Abner DEF121
1
-
W Omari DEF1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF151
7
-
T Almada MID2
-
A Maitland-Niles MID1912
-
T Tessmann MID11
1
-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD
-
G Mikautadze FWD2041
1
-