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Marseille v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 2nd Mar, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille side will have home backing in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, as Antoine Kombouare's Nantes travel to the Stade Vélodrome. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Marseille to win

We are predicting Marseille will come out on top after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Stade Vélodrome.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
63%
4/114/11
Draw
19%
17/417/4
Nantes
18%
13/27/1
7%
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Marseille 2-0
9%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
9%
9/18/1
Marseille 1-0
8%
13/26/1
Marseille 3-1
7%
10/117/2
5%
Marseille 3-0
7%
8/17/1
Draw 2-2
5%
20/116/1
Nantes 2-1
5%
20/118/1
12%
Marseille 4-1
4%
18/114/1
Marseille 3-2
4%
25/118/1
Nantes 1-0
4%
18/116/1
13%
Marseille 4-0
4%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
3%
14/112/1
Marseille 4-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
Nantes 2-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
8/133/5
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
13/105/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
42%
3/1-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
19/2010/11
2%
BTTS - No
40%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
34%
2/119/10
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/25/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
12/111/1
Home/draw
82%
1/101/12
Away/draw
37%
2/121/10
Home/away
81%
1/62/13
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
7/210/3
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
6/4
5%
29/20
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
8/15
2%
1/2
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
7/216/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/51/5
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
8/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/331/50
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
14/112/1
Home DNB
77%
1/81/10
1%
Away DNB
31%
5/15/1
4%
Marseille win to nil
29%
6/5-
Nantes win to nil
7%
12/1-
Marseille / Marseille
41%
1/119/20
Marseille / Nantes
2%
40/140/1
21%
Marseille / Draw
5%
16/114/1
12%
Draw / Marseille
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Nantes
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/26/1
Nantes / Marseille
5%
18/116/1
Nantes / Nantes
6%
14/110/1
Nantes / Draw
5%
18/116/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 16 goals at home.

Nantes are in 15th position in the Ligue 1 on 21 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Nantes have conceded 33 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2217503956 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
2
Marseille Home2214442446 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Mar 2
3
Nice2211741740 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
4
Monaco2212461540 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
d
 
2-2F
l
 
7-1F
5
Lille2210841438 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
6
Lyon2210661336 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
Strasbourg22967533 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 9
l
 
3-1A
8
Lens22967333 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
9
Brest2210210-332 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
10
Toulouse22769-227 
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
Apr 27
d
 
0-00-0
11
Angers227510-826 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
May 4
d
 
1-1F
12
Auxerre22679-625 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 22
w
 
2-0F
May 11
13
Rennes227213-323 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
14
Reims225710-822 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
15
Nantes Away22499-1421 
Mar 2
w
 
1-2F
-
-
16
St Etienne225314-3018 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
17
Le Havre225215-2517 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
18
Montpellier224315-3115 
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
May 18
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
6
Marseille have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
HMarseille1 - 1Angers
AMarseille0 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille3 - 2Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Nice
AMarseille3 - 1Toulouse
Nantes 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco7 - 1Nantes
Reims1 - 2Nantes
St Etienne1 - 1Nantes
Lille1 - 1Nantes
Brest4 - 1Nantes
PSG1 - 1Nantes
Lens3 - 2Nantes
Strasbourg3 - 1Nantes
Lyon2 - 0Nantes
Angers1 - 1Nantes
Montpellier1 - 3Nantes
Toulouse0 - 0Nantes
Monaco4 - 0Nantes
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Montpellier1 - 1Nantes
Le Havre0 - 1Nantes
Nice1 - 2Nantes
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Lorient0 - 1Nantes
Toulouse1 - 2Nantes
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes1 - 7Monaco
HNantes0 - 2Brest
ANantes2 - 1Reims
HNantes1 - 1Lyon
ANantes1 - 1St Etienne
HNantes2 - 2Monaco
ANantes1 - 1Lille
ANantes1 - 4Brest
HNantes1 - 0Rennes
ANantes1 - 1PSG
HNantes0 - 2Le Havre
ANantes2 - 3Lens
HNantes1 - 2Marseille
ANantes1 - 3Strasbourg
HNantes1 - 1Nice
ANantes0 - 2Lyon
HNantes2 - 2St Etienne
ANantes1 - 1Angers
HNantes1 - 2Reims
ANantes3 - 1Montpellier
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Marseille have beaten Nantes in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
Marseille have not lost to Nantes in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Nantes
Goals: Scored
18
13
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
MAR
6
D
2
NAN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille2 - 0
Marseille2 - 1
Marseille3 - 2
Marseille3 - 1
1 - 3Nantes
1 - 2Nantes
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
0 - 1Nantes
League games at Nantes since 2014
Nantes
Marseille
Goals: Scored
11
14
Games: Scored
7 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
5 / 12
MAR
5
D
4
NAN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
1 - 2Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Marseille
0 - 1Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Nantes3 - 2
0 - 1Marseille
Nantes3 - 2
0 - 1Marseille
Nantes1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Marseille's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Marseille 2nd Nantes 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Marseille have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279162/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
26%
better
MAR
NAN
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score3
4
Scored first13
11
Goals scored50
25
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for2
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
19%
better
MAR
NAN
view stats
Games conceded18
19
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded26
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%

Marseille v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221447
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK22
-
M Greenwood  FWD22143
1
-
L Henrique FWD2274
-
M Murillo DEF2112
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID2123
4
-
L Balerdi DEF19
6
1
J Rowe FWD1822
1
-
A Rabiot MID1751
3
-
N Maupay FWD1644
2
1
D Cornelius DEF15
5
1
Q Merlin DEF1513
1
-
G Kondogbia MID15
1
-
V Rongier MID152
3
-
U Garcia DEF1221
1
-
P Lirola DEF1112
1
1
B Nadir MID101
1
-
A Harit  MID923
1
A Gouiri FWD323
-
A Dedic DEF21
-
I Bennacer MID2
-
R. Vaz FWD2
1
-
E. Koum Mbondo DEF1
-
D. Bakola MID1
1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21777
M AblineM AblineM SimonN Pallois
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Abline FWD2271
2
-
P Chirivella  MID212
4
-
J Castelletto DEF20
4
-
M Simon FWD2057
1
-
N Cozza DEF191
2
1
K Amian DEF191
2
-
M Mohamed FWD193
2
-
J Lepenant MID1821
2
-
D Augusto MID1822
5
-
S Thomas MID1612
1
-
N Pallois DEF151
7
-
A Lafont GLK12
1
-
N Zeze DEF12
3
-
M Coco DEF121
3
1
B. Guirassy FWD122
-
D. Assoumani MID9
-
F Mollet MID9
1
-
T Kadewere FWD812
1
-
A Lopes GLK7
-
L. Leroux MID5
-
S Sow DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK3
-
F Centonze DEF2
-
M Elia FWD1
-