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Marseille v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 20:05 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille and Montpellier clash at the Stade Vélodrome on Saturday night, with both Roberto De Zerbi and Rolf Landerl aiming for victory in the Ligue 1. Ligue 1 statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Marseille to win

As the Marseille players ready themselves for this match, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Stade Vélodrome hasn't been an easy place to go for Montpellier in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
69%
2/9-
Draw
19%
6/1
17%
-
Montpellier
12%
10/1
16%
-
Marseille 2-0
12%
13/2
7%
-
Marseille 1-0
12%
9/1
5%
-
Marseille 2-1
10%
17/2-
Marseille 3-0
9%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
8%
-
Marseille 3-1
7%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
11%
-
Marseille 4-0
5%
10/1
8%
-
Montpellier 1-0
4%
28/1
12%
-
Marseille 4-1
4%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1-
Montpellier 2-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Marseille 3-2
3%
22/1-
Marseille 5-0
2%
18/1
10%
-
Marseille 5-1
2%
22/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
2/5
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2/1
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/6
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
15/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/20-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
8/5
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
18/1
27%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/20
2%
-
Away/draw
31%
3/1-
Home/away
81%
1/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/8
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
5/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
1/1
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
12/5
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/3
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
5/1
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/8
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/1
11%
-
Home DNB
82%
1/16
2%
-
Away DNB
25%
9/1
25%
-
Marseille win to nil
41%
1/1
5%
-
Montpellier win to nil
6%
20/1
24%
-
Marseille / Marseille
50%
4/6
3%
-
Marseille / Montpellier
2%
50/1-
Marseille / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw / Marseille
21%
3/1-
Draw / Montpellier
4%
22/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
5%
-
Montpellier / Marseille
5%
16/1-
Montpellier / Montpellier
4%
20/1
11%
-
Montpellier / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 57 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Montpellier are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 15 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 11 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 66 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 17 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Montpellier
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2823505474 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
May 11
l
 
6-0A
2
Monaco2916582253 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
3
Marseille Home2916491652 
-
-
l
 
0-5A
Apr 19
4
Lyon2915681851 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille2914871350 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Strasbourg2914871150 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
Nice2913971748 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
8
Brest2913511144 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-1F
May 4
9
Lens2912611042 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
10
Auxerre2910811-238 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Rennes2911216435 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
12
Toulouse299713034 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
13
Nantes287912-1430 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 18
14
Angers298615-1830 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
15
Reims297814-1129 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
Apr 27
l
 
4-2A
16
Le Havre298318-3027 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
17
St Etienne296617-3624 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
18
Montpellier A294322-4515 
Apr 19
w
 
0-5F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers2 - 0Montpellier
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Nice2 - 0Montpellier
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 0Montpellier
St Etienne1 - 0Montpellier
Le Havre1 - 0Montpellier
Reims4 - 2Montpellier
Monaco2 - 1Montpellier
Rennes3 - 0Montpellier
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Reims1 - 2Montpellier
Clermont1 - 1Montpellier
Le Havre0 - 2Montpellier
Nice1 - 2Montpellier
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontpellier0 - 2Angers
HMontpellier0 - 2Le Havre
AMontpellier0 - 1Auxerre
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier0 - 1Lille
HMontpellier0 - 4Rennes
AMontpellier0 - 2Nice
HMontpellier1 - 4Lyon
AMontpellier0 - 2Strasbourg
HMontpellier0 - 2Lens
AMontpellier2 - 1Toulouse
HMontpellier2 - 1Monaco
HMontpellier1 - 3Angers
AMontpellier0 - 1Lyon
HMontpellier2 - 2Nice
AMontpellier0 - 2Lens
HMontpellier2 - 2Lille
AMontpellier0 - 1St Etienne
HMontpellier3 - 1Brest
AMontpellier0 - 1Le Havre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Marseille have not lost to Montpellier in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
MAR
6
D
4
MTP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Marseille3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille5 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Montpellier
Marseille2 - 0
League games at Montpellier since 2014
Montpellier
Marseille
Goals: Scored
18
21
Games: Scored
9 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
2 / 11
MAR
5
D
3
MTP
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
0 - 5Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Draw3 - 3Draw
Montpellier3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Montpellier3 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
Montpellier2 - 1
2 - 3Marseille
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Marseille in their meeting with Montpellier, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Montpellier, with Rolf Landerl's men failing to score in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Marseille 3rd Montpellier 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Marseille have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-23
Montpellier have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279215/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Montpellier
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
57%
better
MAR
MTP
view stats
Games scored23
12
Failed to score6
17
Scored first15
2
Goals scored57
21
Avg. goals scored2
0.7
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
12
Conversion rate for19
8
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+57%
Defence rating
37%
better
MAR
MTP
view stats
Games conceded24
29
Clean sheets5
0
Conceded first14
27
Goals conceded41
66
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+37%

Marseille v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281658
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK28
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD28163
2
-
L Henrique FWD2875
-
M Murillo DEF2412
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID2423
5
-
L Balerdi DEF23
7
1
A Rabiot MID2362
3
-
J Rowe FWD2222
1
-
Q Merlin DEF2113
1
-
G Kondogbia MID21
1
-
N Maupay FWD2144
2
1
V Rongier MID2031
4
-
D Cornelius DEF19
6
2
P Lirola DEF1612
1
1
U Garcia DEF1521
1
-
B Nadir MID141
2
-
A Harit  MID923
1
A Dedic DEF81
-
A Gouiri FWD843
-
I Bennacer MID71
1
-
L Felipe DEF2
-
D. Bakola MID2
1
-
R. Vaz FWD2
1
-
E. Koum Mbondo DEF1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262510
T SavanierT SavanierT SavanierR. Nzingoula
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Khazri FWD2711
4
-
T Savanier MID2625
4
1
B Lecomte GLK25
-
M Sagnan DEF252
8
-
R. Nzingoula MID221
10
-
J Chotard MID201
5
-
J Ferri MID191
5
1
T Coulibaly FWD192
2
2
I Sylla DEF181
2
-
B Omeragic DEF17
1
-
F Sacko DEF151
1
-
K Fayad MID15
2
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF121
3
-
O. Maamma FWD1111
1
-
K Kouyaté DEF10
5
1
A Delort FWD9
1
-
N Maksimović DEF7
2
-
N. Pays MID7
-
B Meïté DEF6
2
1
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF4
-
D Bertaud GLK3
-
MSG
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