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Marseille v Monaco : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Dec, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Monaco pay Ligue 1 counterparts Marseille a visit on Sunday evening, as Adi Hutter leads his men into an away clash with Roberto De Zerbi & co. at the Stade Vélodrome. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Marseille and Monaco will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Roberto De Zerbi or Adi Hutter has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Monaco coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
25%
29/20
6%
29/20
6%
Draw
23%
12/5
5%
13/5
6%
Monaco
52%
9/5
4%
17/10
3%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
11/2
Monaco 2-1
10%
10/1
10%
8/1
Monaco 1-0
9%
12/1
18%
9/1
11%
Monaco 2-0
8%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Marseille 2-1
6%
9/115/2
6%
Monaco 3-1
6%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/19/1
9%
Marseille 1-0
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Monaco 3-0
5%
28/1
12%
20/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Monaco 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Marseille 2-0
3%
14/111/1
Monaco 4-1
3%
40/128/1
Marseille 3-1
3%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Marseille 3-2
2%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/13
6%
4/7
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
13/10
10%
5/4
10%
Home 1st Goal
44%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/2
4%
1/2
6%
BTTS - No
40%
6/4
11%
7/5
7%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
3/1
11%
29/10
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
27%
7/2
5%
16/5
3%
Home/draw
48%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
75%
8/15
6%
8/15
3%
Home/away
77%
3/10
2%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
2/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/1
15%
17/5
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/8
13%
7/5
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/7
9%
8/15
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
10/3
13%
16/5
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/9
4%
1/5
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1
20%
13/2
17%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/14
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Home DNB
41%
8/11
5%
4/5
3%
Away DNB
68%
1/1
9%
10/11
3%
Marseille win to nil
11%
9/2
10%
-
Monaco win to nil
25%
5/1
9%
-
Marseille / Marseille
21%
11/4
6%
14/5
5%
Marseille / Monaco
4%
22/118/1
10%
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Marseille
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Draw / Monaco
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
10%
Monaco / Marseille
4%
22/118/1
Monaco / Monaco
19%
10/316/5
5%
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Marseille have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Marseille have conceded 3 goals, scored none, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Monaco lay in 2nd place on 23 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Monaco have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Monaco have played 5 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG119202329 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
Dec 18
Feb 9
2
Monaco 117221023 
Dec 1
Apr 13
-
-
3
Marseille 11623920 
-
-
Apr 13
Dec 1
4
Lille11542719 
Dec 14
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 23
5
Lyon11533318 
Feb 2
w
 
2-3A
May 11
w
 
0-2F
6
Nice114521017 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 26
Mar 30
l
 
2-1F
7
Reims11524417 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
Mar 2
Dec 14
8
Lens11452317 
Mar 9
Nov 23
d
 
1-1F
May 18
9
Auxerre11515116 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 23
Feb 2
w
 
0-3F
10
Toulouse11434215 
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
Dec 7
Mar 9
11
Strasbourg11344-213 
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
Apr 20
w
 
1-3A
12
Brest11416-513 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
Nov 22
Apr 6
13
Rennes11326-511 
May 18
Jan 12
Jan 26
w
 
1-2F
14
Nantes11245-310 
Mar 2
w
 
1-2F
Feb 16
Jan 12
15
Angers11245-710 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
l
 
0-1A
Mar 16
16
St Etienne11317-1510 
Feb 16
Dec 8
w
 
1-0F
May 4
17
Le Havre11308-159 
Jan 5
May 11
w
 
3-1F
Apr 27
18
Montpellier11218-207 
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 19
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille2 - 1Clermont
Marseille3 - 0Lyon
Marseille2 - 0Rennes
Marseille0 - 0Lille
Marseille3 - 0Le Havre
Marseille0 - 0Toulouse
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
HMarseille1 - 1Angers
AMarseille0 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille3 - 2Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Nice
AMarseille3 - 1Toulouse
HMarseille2 - 2Reims
AMarseille5 - 1Brest
AMarseille2 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille0 - 1Reims
HMarseille3 - 1Lorient
HMarseille2 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 2Nice
AMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Lille
HMarseille0 - 2PSG
AMarseille0 - 2Rennes
Monaco 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg1 - 3Monaco
Nice2 - 1Monaco
Rennes1 - 2Monaco
Auxerre0 - 3Monaco
Lyon0 - 2Monaco
Montpellier0 - 2Monaco
Lyon3 - 2Monaco
Brest0 - 2Monaco
Metz2 - 5Monaco
Strasbourg0 - 1Monaco
Lens2 - 3Monaco
Nice2 - 3Monaco
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Toulouse1 - 2Monaco
Rennes1 - 2Monaco
PSG5 - 2Monaco
Le Havre0 - 0Monaco
Lille2 - 0Monaco
Reims1 - 3Monaco
Lorient2 - 2Monaco
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonaco3 - 1Strasbourg
HMonaco0 - 1Angers
AMonaco1 - 2Nice
HMonaco0 - 0Lille
AMonaco2 - 1Rennes
HMonaco2 - 1Montpellier
HMonaco3 - 1Le Havre
AMonaco3 - 0Auxerre
HMonaco1 - 1Lens
AMonaco2 - 0Lyon
HMonaco1 - 0St Etienne
HMonaco4 - 0Nantes
AMonaco2 - 0Montpellier
HMonaco4 - 1Clermont
AMonaco2 - 3Lyon
HMonaco1 - 0Lille
AMonaco2 - 0Brest
HMonaco1 - 0Rennes
AMonaco5 - 2Metz
HMonaco2 - 2Lorient
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Monaco
Goals: Scored
15
18
Games: Scored
9 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
1 / 10
MAR
2
D
5
MCO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Monaco
Marseille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Monaco
Draw3 - 3Draw
Marseille2 - 1
1 - 2Monaco
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Marseille
Goals: Scored
28
17
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
MAR
4
MCO
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
Monaco3 - 2
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
Monaco3 - 1
3 - 4Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Monaco6 - 1
Monaco4 - 0
Monaco2 - 1
Monaco1 - 0
Monaco2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Monaco have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Marseille on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Marseille 3rd Monaco 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+32
Monaco have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279063/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
1.2
1.9
Attack rating
10%
better
MAR
MCO
view stats
Games scored9
9
Failed to score2
2
Scored first7
7
Goals scored24
18
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
MAR
MCO
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded15
8
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+33%

Marseille v Monaco Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11844
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK11
-
M Murillo DEF11
-
P Höjbjerg MID111
2
-
M Greenwood  FWD1181
1
-
L Henrique FWD1144
-
J Rowe FWD1022
1
-
G Kondogbia MID9
-
A Harit  MID923
1
E Wahi FWD921
1
-
L Brassier DEF8
2
-
L Balerdi DEF8
3
1
P Lirola DEF711
-
D Cornelius DEF7
2
1
I Koné MID7
-
N Maupay FWD72
2
1
U Garcia DEF611
-
V Rongier MID6
1
-
Q Merlin DEF51
1
-
V Carboni MID4
1
-
B Meïté DEF3
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
E. Sternal FWD1
1
-
Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9436
L CamaraE SeghirM AklioucheL Camara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Seghir MID1142
-
G Ilenikhena FWD1111
-
W Singo DEF101
1
-
L Camara MID1021
5
1
M Akliouche MID103
-
T Minamino FWD1011
1
-
T Kehrer DEF92
-
B Embolo FWD912
1
-
S Magassa DEF8
2
-
C Henrique DEF81
1
-
Vanderson DEF811
3
1
A Golovin MID8
-
D Zakaria MID821
2
-
P Köhn GLK7
1
-
J Teze DEF71
1
1
K Ouattara DEF61
1
-
K Diatta FWD6
-
F Balogun FWD63
-
M Salisu DEF5
2
-
R Majecki GLK4
-
C Mawissa DEF4
-
I Jakobs DEF2
-
E Matazo MID1
-