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Lille v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Jan, 20:05 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Friday night sees Bruno Genesio’s Lille and Franck Haise’s Nice go head to head in a Ligue 1 clash at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will update as you explore each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lille or Nice are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lille
46%
1.90
14%
1.85
7%
Draw
24%
3.80
5%
3.70
5%
Nice
30%
3.75
21%
3.90
15%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.506.50
7%
Lille 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Lille 1-0
8%
8.00
7%
7.50
15%
Nice 2-1
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Lille 2-0
7%
9.50
19%
8.50
13%
Nice 1-0
7%
12.00
8%
11.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
Lille 3-1
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
8%
10.00
Nice 2-0
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
11%
Lille 3-0
4%
17.00
31%
13.00
18%
Lille 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
11%
Nice 3-1
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Nice 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
10%
Lille 4-1
2%
29.00
12%
21.00
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.801.75
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.002.00
3%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.57
9%
1.65
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.50
13%
2.50
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
8%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.70
6%
1.70
6%
BTTS - No
40%
2.05
5%
2.05
7%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.75
7%
3.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75
5%
4.60
8%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
6.50
24%
6.50
19%
Home/draw
70%
1.25
6%
1.25
4%
Away/draw
54%
1.91
11%
1.91
9%
Home/away
76%
1.25
2%
1.29
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.003.70
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
3.00
6%
2.80
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.40
3%
1.40
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.505.00
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.141.14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
11.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
8%
10.00
Home DNB
63%
1.40
9%
1.36
5%
Away DNB
47%
2.75
21%
2.88
13%
Lille win to nil
22%
3.40
24%
-
Nice win to nil
14%
7.00
13%
-
Lille / Lille
28%
3.00
15%
2.88
11%
Lille / Nice
3%
29.00
15%
29.00
15%
Lille / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
13.00
13%
Draw / Lille
17%
5.00
11%
4.80
4%
Draw / Nice
10%
8.50
15%
8.50
11%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Nice / Lille
4%
21.0019.00
10%
Nice / Nice
13%
6.50
19%
6.00
14%
Nice / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
13%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lille have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. Lille are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 3 and won zero. Lille have conceded 6 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Lille have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Nice lay in 4th place on 30 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Nice have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Nice have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lille
Nice
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG1713403143 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
Apr 27
2
Marseille1711331936 
May 4
d
 
1-1A
Jan 26
l
 
2-0A
3
Monaco179441031 
Feb 23
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Mar 30
4
Nice Away178631230 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
-
-
5
Lille Home177821029 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
6
Lyon17845728 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
Mar 9
l
 
4-1A
7
Lens17764527 
Mar 30
w
 
0-2F
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
8
Toulouse17737024 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
Feb 2
9
Strasbourg17656123 
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
10
Auxerre17647-222 
Apr 20
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
l
 
2-1F
11
Brest17719-422 
w
 
3-1F
May 11
May 18
w
 
0-1F
12
Reims17557-220 
May 18
w
 
0-2F
May 4
w
 
2-4F
13
Angers17548-819 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
14
Rennes175210-217 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
w
 
3-2F
May 11
15
Nantes17377-716 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
16
St Etienne175111-2116 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
w
 
8-0F
Mar 2
17
Le Havre174013-2312 
Feb 9
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
18
Montpellier172312-269 
Mar 9
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Lille have drawn 3 consecutive league games
13
Lille have not lost in 13 consecutive league games
Lille 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Nice 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lille have drawn with Nice in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Nice have not lost to Lille in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Nice
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
LIL
2
D
4
NIC
4
League games at Nice since 2014
Nice
Lille
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
11 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
1 / 12
LIL
1
D
6
NIC
5
Goal Statistics

Lille have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.7 against Nice on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lille 5th Nice 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Nice will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Lille have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Nice’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279108/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
LIL
NIC
13%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score3
2
Scored first11
10
Goals scored26
35
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
26%
better
LIL
NIC
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded16
23
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%

Lille v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171136
L ChevalierJ DavidO SahraouiAlexsandro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK17
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF171
1
-
B Diakité DEF1721
3
-
J David FWD17112
4
-
O Sahraoui FWD163
1
-
Alexsandro DEF152
6
-
B André MID151
6
-
R Cabella FWD152
1
-
T Meunier DEF141
2
-
A Mandi DEF13
2
-
A. Bouaddi MID131
1
-
E Zhegrova MID1241
1
-
N Mukau MID11
4
-
A Gomes MID1111
1
-
M Bayo FWD112
1
-
M Fernandez FWD1111
2
-
M Bakker MID102
1
H Haraldsson FWD911
2
-
T Santos DEF7
1
-
Ismaily DEF4
1
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID31
1
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17845
M Bulka E GuessandE GuessandH Boudaoui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bulka  GLK17
-
E Guessand FWD1784
2
-
P Rosario MID1611
2
1
T Ndombélé MID1412
1
-
S Diop FWD1443
3
-
M Bombito DEF13
1
1
H Boudaoui MID1311
5
-
M Cho FWD1322
1
-
J Clauss  DEF1214
3
-
Dante DEF11
4
-
T Louchet MID111
1
-
G Laborde FWD1162
-
A Mendy DEF10
1
-
M Bard DEF101
2
-
Y Ndayishimiye MID101
1
-
J Boga FWD101
-
Y Moukoko FWD921
-
M Abdelmonem DEF8
2
-
V. Orakpo FWD4
-
A. Doumbouya DEF2
-
J Lotomba DEF2
-
R Ilie MID2
-
B Brahimi FWD2
-