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Lens v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 16:00 BST, Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

It's an away trip for Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille side on Saturday afternoon, as they travel to the Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis for a Ligue 1 clash with Franck Haise's Lens. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lens or Marseille are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Marseille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lens
27%
2.252.25
2%
Draw
24%
3.503.60
Marseille
49%
3.103.00
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6.506.50
Marseille 2-1
10%
11.009.50
Marseille 1-0
9%
12.009.50
Marseille 2-0
8%
17.0013.00
Lens 2-1
7%
9.008.00
Lens 1-0
6%
9.508.50
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
Marseille 3-1
5%
23.0017.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0010.00
Marseille 3-0
4%
34.0023.00
Lens 2-0
4%
12.0010.00
Marseille 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
Lens 3-1
3%
17.0013.00
Lens 3-2
2%
23.0017.00
Marseille 4-1
2%
51.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.731.70
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.102.05
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
52%
2.20
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.621.62
2%
BTTS - No
42%
2.202.20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4.003.80
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
5.505.00
Home/draw
51%
1.361.36
Away/draw
73%
1.621.65
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.221.22
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.333.90
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2.752.70
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.441.40
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.004.80
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.171.15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
10%
Home DNB
44%
1.621.62
1%
Away DNB
66%
2.202.15
2%
Lens win to nil
13%
4.33-
Marseille win to nil
24%
6.00-
Lens / Lens
23%
3.603.50
3%
Lens / Marseille
3%
26.0021.00
9%
Lens / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Lens
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Marseille
12%
7.006.50
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
Marseille / Lens
4%
23.0019.00
Marseille / Marseille
17%
5.004.60
4%
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lens have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league. Lens are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Lens have conceded 4 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lens have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Marseille lay in 3rd place on 20 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 6 away games, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lens
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG119202329 
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
2
Monaco117221023 
May 18
d
 
1-1A
Dec 1
Apr 13
3
Marseille 11623920 
Nov 23
Mar 9
-
-
4
Lille11542719 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
Dec 14
May 4
5
Lyon11533318 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
Feb 2
w
 
2-3A
6
Nice114521017 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 9
w
 
2-0F
Jan 26
7
Reims11524417 
Apr 13
Nov 29
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
8
Lens 11452317 
-
-
Mar 9
Nov 23
9
Auxerre11515116 
Apr 27
Dec 14
l
 
1-3A
Feb 23
10
Toulouse11434215 
Jan 5
May 11
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
11
Strasbourg11344-213 
Feb 16
d
 
2-2F
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
12
Brest11416-513 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
13
Rennes11326-511 
Mar 16
d
 
1-1A
May 18
Jan 12
14
Nantes11245-310 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 23
Mar 2
w
 
1-2F
15
Angers11245-710 
Jan 26
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
16
St Etienne11317-1510 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
Feb 16
Dec 8
17
Le Havre11308-159 
Mar 2
Jan 12
Jan 5
May 11
18
Montpellier11218-207 
Dec 8
Feb 2
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Lens 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Marseille
Goals: Scored
5
9
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
LEN
2
D
1
MAR
2
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lens
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
LEN
3
MAR
2
Goal Statistics

Marseille have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Lens on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lens 8th Marseille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Lens will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Lens’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Marseille have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279050/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lens
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
LEN
MAR
36%
better
view stats
Games scored7
9
Failed to score4
2
Scored first5
7
Goals scored12
24
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
4
Conversion rate for11
23
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
30%
better
LEN
MAR
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded9
15
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+30%

Lens v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11314
B SambaP FrankowskiA ThomassonF Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Samba GLK11
-
A Thomasson MID1111
1
-
A Diouf MID1111
1
-
F Medina DEF10
4
-
A. Khusanov DEF10
2
1
R Lascary FWD101
4
-
F Sotoca FWD10
1
-
J Gradit DEF9
3
-
P Frankowski MID93
1
-
D Machado DEF8
1
A Fulgini MID8
-
J Chávez DEF71
1
-
A Zaroury MID71
1
1
W Saïd  FWD71
2
-
K Danso DEF6
1
-
D Costa MID6
-
M Nzola  FWD62
3
-
R Aguilar DEF51
1
-
H. Ojediran MID51
1
-
N Aynaoui MID4
-
N Mendy MID4
-
M Satriano FWD4
-
M Sarr DEF3
-
T. Pouilly MID2
1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11844
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK11
-
M Murillo DEF11
-
P Höjbjerg MID111
2
-
L Henrique FWD1144
-
M Greenwood  FWD1181
1
-
J Rowe FWD1022
1
-
G Kondogbia MID9
-
A Harit  MID923
1
E Wahi FWD921
1
-
L Brassier DEF8
2
-
L Balerdi DEF8
3
1
P Lirola DEF711
-
D Cornelius DEF7
2
1
I Koné MID7
-
N Maupay FWD72
2
1
U Garcia DEF611
-
V Rongier MID6
1
-
Q Merlin DEF51
1
-
V Carboni MID4
1
-
B Meïté DEF3
-
E. Sternal FWD1
1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-