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AJ Auxerre v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 20:05 BST, Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, Auxerre

Christophe Pelissier and Roberto De Zerbi pit their wits in the Ligue 1 on Saturday night, as AJ Auxerre face Marseille at the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Auxerre or Marseille are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Marseille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Auxerre
27%
4.75
6%
4.80
7%
Draw
24%
4.00
3%
4.00
3%
Marseille
49%
1.67
2%
1.67
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.507.00
Marseille 1-0
10%
8.007.00
Marseille 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Marseille 2-0
8%
8.507.50
6%
Auxerre 1-0
7%
15.0012.00
9%
Auxerre 2-1
7%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
13.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0013.00
Marseille 3-1
5%
13.0011.00
Marseille 3-0
5%
13.0011.00
8%
Auxerre 2-0
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
Marseille 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
Auxerre 3-1
3%
34.0026.00
Marseille 4-1
2%
26.0019.00
Auxerre 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.73
4%
1.73
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
2.10
5%
2.00
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.88
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.44-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.75
3%
1.75
BTTS - No
44%
2.00
2%
1.95
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
8.007.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3.403.25
2%
Home/draw
51%
2.15
2%
2.15
2%
Away/draw
73%
1.181.18
2%
Home/away
76%
1.22
2%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.221.25
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4.333.75
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2.752.75
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.441.40
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5.005.00
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.171.15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.009.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0010.00
9%
Home DNB
44%
3.50
3%
3.50
6%
Away DNB
66%
1.29
1%
1.25
3%
Auxerre win to nil
13%
9.00-
Marseille win to nil
25%
3.00
8%
-
Auxerre / Auxerre
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
7%
Auxerre / Marseille
4%
21.0017.00
Auxerre / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Auxerre
8%
10.00
5%
9.50
6%
Draw / Marseille
18%
4.50
5%
4.40
2%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Marseille / Auxerre
3%
34.0029.00
Marseille / Marseille
31%
2.62
5%
2.50
4%
Marseille / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Auxerre have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Auxerre have conceded 22 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Auxerre have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Marseille lay in 2nd place on 43 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 11 away games, winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Auxerre
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2116503853 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
l
 
0-3A
Mar 16
2
Marseille Away2113442043 
Feb 22
w
 
1-3F
-
-
3
Nice2110741537 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Monaco211146937 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
5
Lille219841235 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
May 4
6
Lyon219661033 
Apr 13
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
7
Lens21966533 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 27
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
8
Brest2210210-332 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
9
Strasbourg21867330 
Mar 2
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Toulouse21768-127 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 6
w
 
1-3F
11
Auxerre Home22679-625 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
Feb 22
12
Rennes217212-123 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 6
May 18
w
 
1-2A
13
Angers216510-923 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Reims21579-722 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
15
Nantes21498-821 
May 11
l
 
2-0A
Mar 2
w
 
1-2F
16
St Etienne215313-2618 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
17
Le Havre215214-2317 
May 4
l
 
3-1F
w
 
5-1F
May 11
18
Montpellier214314-2815 
Mar 30
l
 
3-2F
Apr 20
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
5
Auxerre have drawn 5 consecutive home league games
10
Auxerre have not won in 10 consecutive league games
Auxerre 11TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 1St Etienne
Auxerre0 - 0Lille
Auxerre2 - 2Lens
Auxerre0 - 0PSG
Auxerre1 - 0Angers
Auxerre4 - 0Rennes
Auxerre2 - 1Reims
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
Auxerre0 - 3Monaco
Auxerre2 - 1Nice
Auxerre4 - 1Concarneau
Auxerre2 - 0Paris FC
Auxerre4 - 0Lavallois
Auxerre2 - 0Troyes
Auxerre2 - 1Caen
Auxerre0 - 0Valenciennes
Auxerre1 - 1Bastia
Auxerre1 - 0Angers
Auxerre1 - 1Guingamp
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAuxerre2 - 2Brest
HAuxerre2 - 2Toulouse
AAuxerre2 - 4Monaco
HAuxerre1 - 1St Etienne
AAuxerre0 - 2Angers
HAuxerre0 - 0Lille
AAuxerre1 - 3Strasbourg
HAuxerre2 - 2Lens
HAuxerre0 - 0PSG
AAuxerre0 - 2Toulouse
HAuxerre1 - 0Angers
AAuxerre3 - 1Marseille
HAuxerre4 - 0Rennes
AAuxerre2 - 2Lyon
HAuxerre2 - 1Reims
AAuxerre1 - 3St Etienne
HAuxerre3 - 0Brest
AAuxerre2 - 3Montpellier
HAuxerre0 - 3Monaco
AAuxerre1 - 3Le Havre
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Le Havre1 - 2Marseille
Reims1 - 0Marseille
Toulouse2 - 2Marseille
Lille3 - 1Marseille
Rennes2 - 0Marseille
Clermont1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 0Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Montpellier1 - 1Marseille
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
HMarseille0 - 3PSG
AMarseille5 - 0Montpellier
HMarseille1 - 1Angers
AMarseille0 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille3 - 2Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Nice
AMarseille3 - 1Toulouse
HMarseille2 - 2Reims
Goal Statistics

Marseille have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.7 against AJ Auxerre on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Auxerre 11th Marseille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Auxerre will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Auxerre’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Marseille have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279154/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Auxerre
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
AUX
MAR
22%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score6
3
Scored first11
12
Goals scored31
45
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
21
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
AUX
MAR
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded37
25
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+8%

Auxerre v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Auxerre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21965
E OwusuH TraorèG PerrinE Owusu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Perrin FWD2276
1
-
L Sinayoko FWD2224
4
-
E Owusu MID2113
5
-
D Léon GLK202
2
-
C Akpa DEF20
4
-
A Onaiwu FWD202
1
K Hoever DEF192
1
1
Jubal DEF193
5
-
H Traorè MID1991
4
-
T Bair FWD1911
1
-
G Mensah DEF171
2
-
F Ayé FWD17
-
K Danois MID16
-
S Diomandé DEF1532
3
-
P Joly DEF151
3
1
G Osho DEF141
1
1
A. Dioussé El Hadji MID10
1
-
H Massengo MID6
1
-
A. Zossou FWD3
-
T Percin GLK2
-
A. N’Gatta DEF2
1
-
L Coulibaly FWD21
-
F Oppegård DEF1
-
B. Viadere FWD1
-
E Maddy FWD1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211347
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK21
-
M Greenwood  FWD21133
1
-
L Henrique FWD2174
-
M Murillo DEF202
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID2021
4
-
L Balerdi DEF18
6
1
J Rowe FWD1722
1
-
A Rabiot MID1641
3
-
N Maupay FWD1644
2
1
D Cornelius DEF14
4
1
Q Merlin DEF1413
1
-
V Rongier MID142
3
-
G Kondogbia MID14
1
-
U Garcia DEF1221
1
-
P Lirola DEF1112
1
1
B Nadir MID91
1
-
A Harit  MID923
1
A Gouiri FWD23
-
R. Vaz FWD2
1
-
A Dedic DEF1
-
E. Koum Mbondo DEF1
-
I Bennacer MID1
-
D. Bakola MID1
1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-