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Troyes v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes

Bastia, led by manager Benoit Tavenot, visit Stephane Dumont and his Troyes side at the Stade de l'Aube on Friday evening in the Ligue 2. This preview has odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

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Troyes's next match is v Guingamp at 19:00 on Friday 14th March
Bastia's next match is v Lorient at 19:00 on Saturday 15th March
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Troyes and Bastia was on Friday 28th February 2025
French Ligue 2
February 28th 2025
Troyes 2
0 Bastia
 
R. Said Ahamada 12'
C. Irié 53'
 
TRO
BAS
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
4
6
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
13
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
TroyesBastia
 
N. Lemaître
A. Monfray
I. Boura
M. Diaz
H. Mendes
M. Diop (X. Chavalerin 89')
Y. M'Changama
A. Phliponeau (A. Raslan Kanté 82')
R. Said Ahamadafootball icon (M. Detourbet 82')
C. Iriéfootball icon
P. Bâ (K. Assoumou 72')
J. Placide
D. Guidi
(F. Bohnert 82') T. Meynadier
(J. Janneh 46') Z. Ariss
J. Guevara
(A. Aiki 62') C. Inao Oulaï
T. Ducrocq
A. Roncaglia
(M. Ble 62') J. Sebas
(L. Tramoni 46') L. Cisse
A. Boutrah

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Stephane Dumont and Benoit Tavenot to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as Troyes and Bastia go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.48 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Troyes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Troyes
40%
2/1
3%
15/8
10%
Draw
30%
8/5
7%
13/8
13%
Bastia
30%
7/4
2%
8/5
4%
Troyes 1-0
14%
6/15/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
9/29/2
8%
Draw 0-0
12%
4/1
17%
4/1
23%
Bastia 1-0
12%
11/219/4
4%
Troyes 2-0
8%
12/110/1
10%
Troyes 2-1
8%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Bastia 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Bastia 2-0
6%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Troyes 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Troyes 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
Bastia 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Bastia 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Troyes 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
28/1
12%
Bastia 3-2
1%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
21/10
19%
7/4
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
4/11
8%
4/11
8%
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/8
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
1/1
3%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
4/1
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/4
7%
5/4
7%
BTTS - No
58%
4/7
6%
4/7
5%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
15/2
13%
6/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13/2
7%
11/2
8%
Home/draw
70%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
60%
4/11
3%
4/11
6%
Home/away
70%
1/2
7%
4/9
7%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
8/13
8%
4/7
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
6/5
12%
23/20
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
5/1
9%
17/4
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/8
2%
1/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
33/1
31%
20/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/200
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/7
2%
1/8
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
9/2
8%
19/5
20%
Home DNB
61%
10/1119/20
2%
Away DNB
51%
4/53/4
3%
Troyes win to nil
26%
10/3-
Bastia win to nil
19%
11/4
6%
-
Troyes / Troyes
17%
4/1
5%
19/5
9%
Troyes / Bastia
3%
33/125/1
13%
Troyes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Troyes
14%
5/15/1
4%
Draw / Bastia
14%
9/2
8%
9/2
Draw / Draw
22%
11/4
6%
5/2
17%
Bastia / Troyes
3%
33/128/1
12%
Bastia / Bastia
17%
7/210/3
3%
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Troyes have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Troyes have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Troyes have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Bastia lay in 9th place on 34 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bastia have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Bastia have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Troyes
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient2616461952 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
2
Paris FC2616461752 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
3
Metz2614842550 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
4
Dunkerque261538848 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
Mar 28
l
 
2-1F
5
Guingamp26133101042 
Mar 14
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1A
May 2
6
Lavallois261178840 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Apr 14
d
 
2-2F
7
Annecy261169-439 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
8
Bastia Away268135637 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
9
Grenoble2610610136 
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
Apr 25
l
 
3-2A
10
Troyes Home2610313233 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
11
Pau26899-733 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
12
Red Star269512-1232 
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Ajaccio269413-931 
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Rodez268612230 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
15
Amiens269314-1430 
May 10
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
16
Clermont266713-1325 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
17
Martigues267316-2324 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Caen265417-1619 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Troyes 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Troyes0 - 1Lorient
Troyes3 - 0Caen
Troyes0 - 1Annecy
Troyes4 - 0Martigues
Troyes0 - 0Grenoble
Troyes0 - 0Lavallois
Troyes3 - 0Pau
Troyes0 - 3Paris FC
Troyes2 - 1Metz
Troyes0 - 3Rodez
Troyes0 - 1Clermont
Troyes1 - 1Annecy
Troyes0 - 1Valenciennes
Troyes2 - 2Pau
Troyes1 - 2Paris FC
Troyes2 - 3Rodez
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Troyes1 - 2Dunkerque
Troyes3 - 1Grenoble
Troyes2 - 1Bordeaux
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATroyes0 - 1Paris FC
HTroyes0 - 1Lorient
ATroyes2 - 1Martigues
HTroyes3 - 0Caen
ATroyes0 - 1Lavallois
HTroyes0 - 1Annecy
ATroyes1 - 2Rodez
ATroyes3 - 0Amiens
HTroyes4 - 0Martigues
ATroyes0 - 2Lorient
HTroyes0 - 0Grenoble
ATroyes3 - 0Red Star
HTroyes0 - 0Lavallois
HTroyes3 - 0Pau
ATroyes1 - 0Caen
HTroyes0 - 3Paris FC
ATroyes1 - 2Dunkerque
HTroyes2 - 1Metz
ATroyes0 - 1Annecy
HTroyes0 - 3Rodez
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Clermont1 - 1Bastia
Rodez0 - 2Bastia
Amiens1 - 0Bastia
Grenoble3 - 2Bastia
Red Star0 - 0Bastia
Ajaccio0 - 0Bastia
Lavallois2 - 2Bastia
Caen2 - 0Bastia
Pau1 - 1Bastia
Dunkerque2 - 1Bastia
Martigues0 - 1Bastia
Metz1 - 1Bastia
Pau1 - 2Bastia
Annecy3 - 2Bastia
Guingamp0 - 1Bastia
Bordeaux2 - 3Bastia
Lavallois1 - 2Bastia
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Auxerre1 - 1Bastia
Quevillaise.0 - 1Bastia
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
ABastia2 - 0Rodez
HBastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Pau
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 2Dunkerque
HBastia2 - 1Paris FC
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Troyes since 2015
Troyes
Bastia
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
TRO
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Troyes
Troyes2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Bastia since 2016
Bastia
Troyes
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
BAS
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bastia3 - 2
Bastia2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Bastia's defensive record is to be admired, B. Tavenot's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Ligue 2 matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Troyes makes sense in this context.

Troyes 10th Bastia 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Troyes will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Troyes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Bastia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279936/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Troyes
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.2
1
Attack rating
TRO
BAS
20%
better
view stats
Games scored11
17
Failed to score13
7
Scored first10
11
Goals scored24
28
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
TRO
BAS
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
14
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded26
21
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%

Troyes v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Troyes Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26848
M DiazR SaïdY M'ChangamaI Boura
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Lemaître GLK17
-
H Mendes DEF21
3
-
A Monfray DEF19
2
-
M Diaz DEF261
6
-
I Boura DEF243
7
1
A Phliponeau  MID4
1
-
C. Irié MID2552
2
-
M Diop MID2021
3
-
Y M'Changama MID2524
1
-
R Saïd MID2584
2
-
P Ba FWD192
2
-
Subs
Z Boucher GLK10
-
P Gozzi DEF12
1
1
A. Raslan Kanté MID231
7
1
X Chavalerin MID14
-
K. Assoumou FWD221
1
-
K Dong FWD171
-
M. Detourbet FWD7
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26637
J PlacideL CisséL TramoniJ Janneh
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK26
2
-
J. Guevara DEF161
4
-
T. Meynadier DEF19
3
-
A Roncaglia DEF18
2
1
Z. Ariss DEF232
6
-
T Ducrocq MID2532
6
-
D Guidi MID12
2
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID9
4
-
A Boutrah MID255
1
-
L Cissé MID2361
-
J Sebas FWD51
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
F Bohnert DEF22
2
-
G Akueson DEF22
6
-
M. Ble DEF92
1
-
J Janneh MID191
5
2
A Aiki FWD4
-
L Tramoni FWD2213
2
-