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Lorient v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 19:00 BST, Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Benoit Tavenot is aiming for a crucial away win in the Ligue 2 on Saturday evening, as he takes his Bastia side to the Stade du Moustoir to visit Lorient and Olivier Pantaloni. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 2 performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lorient are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lorient 58%	4/6 2%	7/10
Draw 24%	12/5	9/4
Bastia 19%	4/1 5%	7/2
Lorient 1-0 13%	9/2	17/4
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	11/2
Lorient 2-0 11%	6/1	6/1
Lorient 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 7%	13/2	6/1
Bastia 1-0 6%	10/1	17/2
Lorient 3-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Lorient 3-1 6%	16/1	12/1
Bastia 2-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	14/1
Bastia 2-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Lorient 4-0 3%	28/1	20/1
Lorient 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Lorient 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Bastia 3-1 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	5/4	6/5
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	8/13	11/20
Home 1st Goal 56%	1/2	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	9/4 2%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	13/2	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	6/5	23/20
BTTS - No 52%	8/13	8/13
BTTS - Home Win 23%	7/2	10/3
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 8%	11/1 9%	17/2
Home/draw 81%	1/6 1%	1/6
Away/draw 42%	23/20 2%	21/20
Home/away 76%	3/10	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	2/5	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	7/4	8/5
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	10/3	29/10
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/5	2/11
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	9/1	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/16	1/20
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	20/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/66	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/12	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	13/2	11/2
Home DNB 74%	1/4	2/7
Away DNB 35%	11/4	12/5
Lorient win to nil 34%	6/4	-
Bastia win to nil 10%	7/1	-
Lorient / Lorient 29%	7/4	17/10
Lorient / Bastia 2%	40/1	33/1
Lorient / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Lorient 19%	10/3	16/5
Draw / Bastia 8%	9/1	8/1
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
Bastia / Lorient 3%	25/1	20/1
Bastia / Bastia 10%	8/1	13/2
Bastia / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Lorient have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Lorient have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Lorient have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Bastia are in 8th position in the Ligue 2 on 37 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Bastia have conceded 10 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lorient Bastia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lorient Home	26	16	4	6	19	52	-	-	d 0-00-0	Mar 15
2	Paris FC	26	16	4	6	17	52	w 2-0F	l 3-2A	w 2-1A	Apr 19
3	Metz	26	14	8	4	25	50	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	d 1-1F
4	Dunkerque	26	15	3	8	8	48	w 4-2A	w 0-1F	Mar 28	l 2-1F
5	Guingamp	26	13	3	10	10	42	w 3-1F	Apr 12	w 3-1A	May 2
6	Lavallois	26	11	7	8	8	40	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	Apr 14	d 2-2F
7	Annecy	26	11	6	9	-4	39	w 4-2A	Apr 21	d 2-2A	Apr 4
8	Bastia Away	26	8	13	5	6	37	Mar 15	d 0-00-0	-	-
9	Grenoble	26	10	6	10	1	36	w 2-0F	Mar 29	Apr 25	l 3-2A
10	Troyes	26	10	3	13	2	33	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
11	Pau	26	8	9	9	-7	33	Apr 5	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
12	Red Star	26	9	5	12	-12	32	w 2-1F	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
13	Ajaccio	26	9	4	13	-9	31	w 3-0F	May 2	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0
14	Rodez	26	8	6	12	2	30	w 3-1A	d 3-3F	d 2-2F	w 0-2F
15	Amiens	26	9	3	14	-14	30	w 3-1A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
16	Clermont	26	6	7	13	-13	25	w 3-2A	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F
17	Martigues	26	7	3	16	-23	24	May 10	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
18	Caen	26	5	4	17	-16	19	Apr 25	w 1-2A	May 10	l 2-0A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient	3 - 1	Rodez
Lorient	0 - 1	Lavallois
Lorient	3 - 1	Amiens
Lorient	3 - 2	Clermont
Lorient	0 - 0	Metz
Lorient	2 - 0	Paris FC
Lorient	2 - 0	Troyes
Lorient	3 - 1	Guingamp
Lorient	4 - 2	Dunkerque
Lorient	4 - 2	Annecy
Lorient	3 - 0	Ajaccio
Lorient	2 - 1	Red Star
Lorient	2 - 0	Grenoble
Lorient	5 - 0	Clermont
Lorient	1 - 2	Toulouse
Lorient	1 - 4	PSG
Lorient	0 - 1	Brest
Lorient	0 - 2	Lyon
Lorient	0 - 1	Nantes
Lorient	2 - 0	Reims

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lorient	2 - 3	Paris FC
H	Lorient	3 - 1	Rodez
H	Lorient	0 - 1	Lavallois
A	Lorient	1 - 0	Troyes
H	Lorient	3 - 1	Amiens
A	Lorient	2 - 1	Red Star
H	Lorient	3 - 2	Clermont
A	Lorient	1 - 0	Dunkerque
H	Lorient	0 - 0	Metz
A	Lorient	0 - 2	Lavallois
H	Lorient	2 - 0	Paris FC
H	Lorient	2 - 0	Troyes
A	Lorient	0 - 0	Bastia
H	Lorient	3 - 1	Guingamp
A	Lorient	1 - 2	Clermont
H	Lorient	4 - 2	Dunkerque
A	Lorient	3 - 3	Rodez
H	Lorient	4 - 2	Annecy
A	Lorient	2 - 1	Caen
H	Lorient	3 - 0	Ajaccio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Troyes	2 - 0	Bastia
Clermont	1 - 1	Bastia
Rodez	0 - 2	Bastia
Amiens	1 - 0	Bastia
Grenoble	3 - 2	Bastia
Red Star	0 - 0	Bastia
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
Lavallois	2 - 2	Bastia
Caen	2 - 0	Bastia
Pau	1 - 1	Bastia
Dunkerque	2 - 1	Bastia
Martigues	0 - 1	Bastia
Metz	1 - 1	Bastia
Pau	1 - 2	Bastia
Annecy	3 - 2	Bastia
Guingamp	0 - 1	Bastia
Bordeaux	2 - 3	Bastia
Lavallois	1 - 2	Bastia
Troyes	2 - 0	Bastia
Auxerre	1 - 1	Bastia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bastia	1 - 0	Martigues
A	Bastia	0 - 2	Troyes
H	Bastia	1 - 0	Red Star
A	Bastia	1 - 1	Clermont
A	Bastia	2 - 0	Rodez
H	Bastia	1 - 1	Metz
H	Bastia	1 - 1	Pau
A	Bastia	0 - 1	Amiens
H	Bastia	4 - 0	Ajaccio
A	Bastia	2 - 3	Grenoble
H	Bastia	3 - 1	Guingamp
A	Bastia	0 - 0	Red Star
A	Bastia	0 - 0	Ajaccio
H	Bastia	0 - 0	Lorient
A	Bastia	2 - 2	Lavallois
A	Bastia	0 - 2	Caen
H	Bastia	2 - 2	Rodez
A	Bastia	1 - 1	Pau
H	Bastia	0 - 0	Clermont
H	Bastia	2 - 2	Annecy

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bastia have not lost to Lorient in 5 consecutive league meetings

Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Lorient

Lorient

Bastia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

LOR

BAS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
	0 - 3	Bastia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lorient	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Bastia

Lorient

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

LOR

BAS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Bastia	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Lorient
Bastia	4 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Lorient 1st	Bastia 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Lorient will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+15 Lorient have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted	-3 Bastia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season

19%

better

LOR

BAS

view stats

Games scored	20		18
Failed to score	6		8
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	45		29
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	16		11
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+19%

LOR

BAS

13%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		15
Clean sheets	9		11
Conceded first	13		9
Goals conceded	26		23
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.1
KickOff rating		+13%

Lorient v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	12	6	6
Y Mvogo	E Kroupi	L Abergel	L Abergel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Mvogo GLK	26			-
D Yongwa DEF	25		5	4 -
S Soumano FWD	25	10	3	1 -
A Avon MID	24	1	3	2 -
J Ponceau MID	24	2	3	2 -
L Abergel MID	24	1	6	6 -
M Talbi DEF	23	1	1	2 1
J Mvuka MID	22	3		-
E Kroupi FWD	22	12	2	2 -
P Katseris DEF	20	3		2 -
A Tosin FWD	20	2	6	-
P Pagis FWD	19	3	1	2 -
F Mendy DEF	18	1		1 -
I Silva DEF	18		1	4 -
G Kalulu DEF	15			1 -
J Laporte DEF	14	1		2 -
J Makengo MID	14		1	1 -
N Adjei DEF	9			-
E. Genton DEF	6	1		1 -
I. James DEF	5			2 -
B Fadiga MID	2			-
Mohamed Bamba FWD	1	2		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	25	6	26
E Kroupi	E Kroupi	L Abergel	A Avon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Kroupi FWD	12	25	2	11
S Soumano FWD	10	18	3	9
P Pagis FWD	3	15	1	16
J Mvuka MID	3	8		6
P Katseris DEF	3	9		12
A Tosin FWD	2	12	6	10
Mohamed Bamba FWD	2
J Ponceau MID	2	15	3	24
M Talbi DEF	1	6	1	5
L Abergel MID	1	8	6	16
A Avon MID	1	6	3	26
F Mendy DEF	1	2		2
J Laporte DEF	1	1		1
E. Genton DEF	1	1		1
D Yongwa DEF		2	5	18
I Silva DEF		3	1	10
G Kalulu DEF				3
J Makengo MID		8	1	3
I. James DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1522	58	159
M Talbi	D Yongwa	D Yongwa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Talbi DEF	1522	25	113
L Abergel MID	1483	52	117
J Ponceau MID	1014	24	68
D Yongwa DEF	892	58	159
J Laporte DEF	871	16	78
Y Mvogo GLK	855	1	6
A Avon MID	841	57	118
I Silva DEF	766	43	69
F Mendy DEF	717	29	80
G Kalulu DEF	684	22	51
P Pagis FWD	533	26	65
N Adjei DEF	482	10	35
E Kroupi FWD	422	8	36
J Mvuka MID	335	23	64
P Katseris DEF	276	23	56
J Makengo MID	268	10	42
S Soumano FWD	254	3	59
A Tosin FWD	215	5	28
I. James DEF	81	8	17
E. Genton DEF	22	2	6
B Fadiga MID	6
Mohamed Bamba FWD	5		1

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	3	7
J Placide	L Cissé	L Tramoni	J Janneh

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Placide GLK	26			2 -
T Ducrocq MID	25	3	2	6 -
A Boutrah FWD	25	5		1 -
Z. Ariss DEF	23		2	6 -
L Cissé FWD	23	6	1	-
F Bohnert DEF	22			2 -
G Akueson DEF	22			6 -
L Tramoni FWD	22	1	3	2 -
J Maggiotti MID	20	2		3 -
T. Meynadier DEF	19			3 -
J Janneh MID	19		1	5 2
C Vincent MID	19	1	1	4 -
A Roncaglia MID	18			2 1
J. Guevara DEF	16		1	4 -
F Tomi MID	16	3		1 -
L Etoga MID	15		1	4 1
D Guidi DEF	12			2 -
C. Inao Oulaï MID	9			4 -
D Tavares DEF	6			1 1
J Sebas FWD	5	1		-
A Aiki FWD	4			-
M. Boumaaoui FWD	2			-
S. Mazikou DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	3	27
L Cissé	A Boutrah	L Tramoni	A Boutrah

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cissé FWD	6	22	1	14
A Boutrah FWD	5	22		27
F Tomi MID	3	7		3
T Ducrocq MID	3	13	2	14
J Maggiotti MID	2	5		13
C Vincent MID	1	11	1	8
J Sebas FWD	1	4		1
L Tramoni FWD	1	9	3	17
A Aiki FWD		1
D Tavares DEF				3
D Guidi DEF				3
L Etoga MID		2	1	4
J Placide GLK				2
J. Guevara DEF		2	1	2
A Roncaglia MID		1		4
J Janneh MID		3	1	3
T. Meynadier DEF		3		5
G Akueson DEF		4
F Bohnert DEF		1		10
Z. Ariss DEF		4	2	9

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1049	57	162
T Ducrocq	J Janneh	L Cissé

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ducrocq MID	1049	46	96
Z. Ariss DEF	839	46	129
J Placide GLK	809		12
G Akueson DEF	769	52	123
J Janneh MID	725	57	98
F Bohnert DEF	705	34	90
A Boutrah FWD	687	12	102
A Roncaglia MID	624	13	46
J. Guevara DEF	609	25	79
C Vincent MID	468	21	56
T. Meynadier DEF	435	31	72
D Guidi DEF	435	19	41
L Cissé FWD	388	13	162
J Maggiotti MID	384	10	34
L Tramoni FWD	297	22	92
L Etoga MID	257	20	56
C. Inao Oulaï MID	200	16	41
F Tomi MID	133	6	40
D Tavares DEF	57	8	13
J Sebas FWD	45	3	19
A Aiki FWD	27		4
S. Mazikou DEF	10	1	3
M. Boumaaoui FWD	1		1

French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Lorient v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Lorient have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Bastia are in 8th position in the Ligue 2 on 37 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Lorient v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

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