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Bastia v Metz : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 31st Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Metz are on the road on Friday evening, as manager Stéphane Le Mignan takes his side to visit Bastia and Benoit Tavenot at the Stade Armand-Cesari in the Ligue 2. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
46%
--
Draw
29%
--
Metz
25%
--
Bastia 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
12%
--
Metz 1-0
10%
--
Bastia 2-0
10%
--
Bastia 2-1
8%
--
Metz 2-1
5%
--
Metz 2-0
4%
--
Bastia 3-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Bastia 3-1
3%
--
Metz 3-1
2%
--
Bastia 3-2
1%
--
Bastia 4-0
1%
--
Metz 3-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
41%
--
BTTS - No
59%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Bastia win to nil
31%
--
Metz win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league. Bastia are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 14 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Metz lay in 2nd place on 34 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Metz have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Metz have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient1911441437 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
2
Metz Away199731334 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
-
-
3
Paris FC191045934 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
4
Dunkerque191036433 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
5
Annecy19964433 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
6
Guingamp1910271032 
w
 
3-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
7
Lavallois198651030 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
May 10
8
Grenoble19838127 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2A
Jan 24
l
 
2-0A
9
Pau19766127 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
10
Amiens19829-426 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
11
Bastia Home195104425 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
12
Clermont19667-324 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
13
Rodez19658-123 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
May 3
w
 
1-3F
14
Red Star19649-1222 
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
15
Troyes196310-321 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 28
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
16
Ajaccio195311-1118 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
17
Caen194312-915 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
18
Martigues193313-2712 
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-0F
Apr 12
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Metz have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
Bastia 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Bastia2 - 0Concarneau
Bastia1 - 1Dunkerque
Bastia0 - 4St Etienne
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Rodez
Bastia1 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia1 - 2Caen
Bastia2 - 0Angers
Bastia0 - 0Quevillaise.
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 2Dunkerque
HBastia2 - 1Paris FC
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia1 - 0Martigues
HBastia1 - 0Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Paris FC
Metz 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Annecy0 - 0Metz
Clermont1 - 1Metz
Ajaccio0 - 1Metz
Red Star1 - 0Metz
Grenoble2 - 0Metz
Troyes2 - 1Metz
Paris FC1 - 2Metz
Rodez1 - 3Metz
Strasbourg2 - 1Metz
Le Havre0 - 1Metz
Brest4 - 3Metz
Reims2 - 1Metz
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Montpellier3 - 0Metz
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Nice1 - 0Metz
PSG3 - 1Metz
Lille2 - 0Metz
Lorient2 - 3Metz
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz3 - 1Paris FC
AMetz0 - 0Lorient
HMetz0 - 0Pau
AMetz0 - 0Annecy
HMetz2 - 0Dunkerque
AMetz1 - 1Clermont
HMetz1 - 0Caen
AMetz1 - 0Ajaccio
AMetz0 - 1Red Star
HMetz1 - 0Guingamp
AMetz0 - 2Grenoble
HMetz3 - 2Amiens
AMetz1 - 2Troyes
HMetz6 - 0Martigues
HMetz1 - 1Lorient
AMetz2 - 1Paris FC
HMetz1 - 1Lavallois
AMetz3 - 1Rodez
HMetz1 - 1Bastia
HMetz0 - 2PSG
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bastia have beaten Metz in 3 consecutive home league meetings
3
Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Metz
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Metz
Goals: Scored
5
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
BAS
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia2 - 0
Bastia2 - 0
League games at Metz since 2014
Metz
Bastia
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
MET
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Metz3 - 2
Metz1 - 0
Metz3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Metz's defensive record is to be admired, S. Le Mignan's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Bastia makes sense in this context.

Bastia 11th Metz 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Bastia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Metz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279901/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
BAS
MET
18%
better
view stats
Games scored12
14
Failed to score7
5
Scored first7
10
Goals scored22
27
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
BAS
MET
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded18
14
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.7
KickOff rating
+14%

Bastia v Metz Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19526
J PlacideA BoutrahT DucrocqZ. Ariss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK19
-
T Ducrocq MID1912
5
-
A Boutrah FWD185
-
L Tramoni FWD1812
2
-
Z. Ariss DEF172
6
-
F Bohnert DEF17
1
-
J Maggiotti  MID171
2
-
C Rodrigues FWD173
2
-
G Akueson DEF16
5
-
F Tomi MID163
1
-
L Cissé FWD1651
-
C Vincent MID1511
3
-
T. Meynadier DEF13
1
-
J Janneh MID131
3
1
A Roncaglia MID13
1
L Etoga MID121
3
-
J. Guevara DEF111
3
-
D Guidi DEF8
2
-
D Tavares DEF5
1
1
C. Inao Oulaï MID3
1
-
S. Mazikou DEF1
-
M. Boumaaoui FWD1
-
Metz Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19836
G HeinC SabalyG HeinM Udol
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Hein FWD1953
3
-
J Deminguet MID18
1
-
C Sabaly FWD1881
1
-
M Udol DEF1732
6
-
K Kouao DEF17
3
-
A Jallow FWD1711
1
-
A Oukidja GLK16
-
I Traoré DEF1521
1
-
S. Sané DEF15
3
-
B Stambouli MID141
1
-
J Asoro FWD1311
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD13
-
P Diallo FWD1332
-
I. Sane FWD1221
2
-
M Colin DEF10
3
-
A Lô DEF9
1
-
S Elisor FWD93
-
F Candé DEF81
1
-
K Kerkhof DEF7
2
-
A. Touré MID7
-
J N'Duquidi MID7
-
P Sy GLK2
-
A Bodart GLK2
-
I. Gueye FWD21
-