Bastia's team badge Caen's team badge

Bastia v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 16:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

It's a long trek for Michel Der Zakarian's Caen side on Saturday afternoon, as they head to the Stade Armand-Cesari for a Ligue 2 showdown with Benoit Tavenot's Bastia. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Ligue 2 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
64%
--
Draw
21%
--
Caen
15%
--
Bastia 1-0
12%
--
Bastia 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Bastia 2-1
10%
--
Bastia 3-0
8%
--
Bastia 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Caen 1-0
5%
--
Caen 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Bastia 4-0
4%
--
Bastia 4-1
3%
--
Bastia 3-2
3%
--
Caen 2-0
2%
--
Bastia 5-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
59%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
27%
--
BTTS - Draw
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
7%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
36%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
79%
--
Away DNB
30%
--
Bastia win to nil
37%
--
Caen win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 8 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Bastia have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Bastia have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Caen are in 18th position in the Ligue 2 on 21 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Caen have conceded 55 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Caen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient3221563468 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
2
Paris FC3220572065 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-2A
3
Metz32171052961 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Dunkerque3217312754 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
Guingamp32163131051 
w
 
3-1A
May 2
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
6
Lavallois3214711749 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Annecy3213910-248 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Bastia Home3210148544 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 10
9
Grenoble3212713-143 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
10
Pau32101210-1042 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Troyes3212515341 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
12
Amiens3212416-1340 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
13
Ajaccio3211615-1139 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
14
Rodez3291013237 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2A
15
Red Star329914-1436 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
d
 
2-2F
16
Martigues329419-2331 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
17
Clermont3261115-1729 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
18
Caen Away325621-2621 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Caen 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Caen have beaten Bastia in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Caen
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
BAS
2
D
3
CAE
1
League games at Caen since 2014
Caen
Bastia
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
D
2
CAE
5
Goal Statistics

Caen have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. This run could continue, with Bastia's PG an impressive 2.0.

Bastia 8th Caen 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Bastia will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Caen scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Bastia have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-17
Caen have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280012/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Caen
2
0.8
Attack rating
21%
better
BAS
CAE
view stats
Games scored22
18
Failed to score10
14
Scored first14
9
Goals scored39
29
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
33%
better
BAS
CAE
view stats
Games conceded20
28
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first13
23
Goals conceded34
55
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+33%

Bastia v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32839
J PlacideL CisséT DucrocqG Akueson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK32
3
-
A Boutrah FWD3161
2
-
T Ducrocq MID3033
6
-
L Cissé FWD2983
-
Z. Ariss DEF272
6
-
F Bohnert DEF27
2
-
G Akueson DEF27
8
1
T. Meynadier DEF25
3
-
C Vincent MID2551
6
-
J Maggiotti  MID252
4
-
J Janneh MID241
6
2
L Tramoni FWD2413
2
-
A Roncaglia MID21
2
1
F Tomi MID2041
1
-
D Guidi DEF18
5
-
J. Guevara DEF161
4
-
L Etoga MID161
4
1
C. Inao Oulaï MID141
4
-
J Sebas FWD111
1
-
D Tavares DEF6
1
1
A Aiki FWD6
-
M. Boumaaoui FWD2
-
S. Mazikou DEF1
-
Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28837
A MendyA MendyB BrahimiQ Lecoeuche
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Lebreton MID304
6
-
G Kyeremeh FWD3022
2
-
A Mendy FWD2982
4
-
B Brahimi MID2843
2
1
A Mandréa GLK25
-
L Rajot MID251
4
-
M Bihan FWD241
1
2
B Traoré DEF231
3
-
R Thomas DEF232
1
1
Q Lecoeuche DEF211
7
-
V Henry DEF19
5
1
Y M'Vila MID1711
7
-
K Coulibaly FWD172
2
1
D Debohi MID16
5
-
L Sy DEF15
-
D Bolumbu DEF13
2
-
M Autret MID11
-
I Najim FWD111
-
J Gaudin DEF101
4
-
A Moucketou-Moussounda DEF9
1
-
Y Clementia GLK7
2
-
E Ntim DEF7
-
S Grandsir FWD71
-
Y Benrahou MID61
-
A Loua FWD51
-
G. Tomé MID3
-
M Hafid MID3
-
H. Tavares Correia DEF2
1
-