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Amiens v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, Amiens

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ligue 2, and Omar Daf’s Amiens will have the luxury of it on Friday evening. Benoit Tavenot’s Bastia are their opponents at the Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Amiens and Bastia go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The statistics and the odds below point in this direction too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Amiens are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Amiens 40%	2.90 3%	2.80
Draw 28%	3.00	2.90 1%
Bastia 31%	2.50 2%	2.38 1%
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	5.75
Amiens 1-0 13%	7.50	7.00
Bastia 1-0 11%	7.00 8%	6.50
Draw 0-0 10%	7.00	6.50
Amiens 2-1 8%	12.00	10.00
Amiens 2-0 8%	13.00	11.00 8%
Bastia 2-1 7%	10.00	9.00
Bastia 2-0 6%	11.00	9.50 5%
Draw 2-2 4%	17.00	13.00
Amiens 3-1 3%	29.00	19.00
Amiens 3-0 3%	29.00 15%	21.00 9%
Bastia 3-1 2%	23.00	17.00
Bastia 3-0 2%	23.00	19.00
Amiens 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Bastia 3-2 1%	41.00	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	2.40	2.30
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.53	1.50
Home 1st Goal 49%	2.30	2.20
Away 1st Goal 44%	1.91 4%	2.00
No 1st Goal 7%	7.00	6.50
BTTS - Yes 46%	2.00	2.00
BTTS - No 54%	1.73	1.70 2%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	7.00	6.00
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	4.50 2%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6.00	5.50
Home/draw 69%	1.50 2%	1.50
Away/draw 60%	1.40 3%	1.40 3%
Home/away 72%	1.36	1.35 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.44	1.44
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	2.62	2.50
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4.50	4.20
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.18	1.17
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	11.00	8.00
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.05	1.04
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	23.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.10	1.07 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	7.00	6.00
Home DNB 60%	2.00 5%	2.00
Away DNB 51%	1.73 4%	1.73 2%
Amiens win to nil 25%	4.33 4%	-
Bastia win to nil 19%	3.75	-
Amiens / Amiens 17%	5.00	4.60 4%
Amiens / Bastia 3%	29.00	23.00
Amiens / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Amiens 13%	6.00 8%	6.00
Draw / Bastia 15%	5.50	5.50 5%
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	4.20 5%
Bastia / Amiens 3%	34.00	26.00
Bastia / Bastia 19%	4.33	4.00
Bastia / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Amiens have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 5. Amiens have conceded 18 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Amiens have played 9 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Bastia lay in 8th place on 25 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bastia have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Bastia have played 9 away games, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Amiens Bastia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lorient	18	10	4	4	13	34	w 1-0F	Feb 7	d 0-00-0	Mar 15
2	Paris FC	18	10	4	4	11	34	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	w 2-1A	Apr 19
3	Dunkerque	18	10	3	5	5	33	Apr 12	l 3-1A	Mar 29	l 2-1F
4	Metz	18	8	7	3	11	31	Feb 28	l 3-2A	Jan 31	d 1-1F
5	Annecy	18	8	6	4	3	30	Jan 31	l 3-0A	d 2-2A	Apr 5
6	Lavallois	18	8	5	5	10	29	l 1-3A	Apr 26	Apr 12	d 2-2F
7	Guingamp	18	9	2	7	7	29	Apr 19	l 3-0A	w 3-1A	May 3
8	Bastia Away	18	5	10	3	5	25	Jan 17	l 1-0A	-	-
9	Grenoble	18	7	3	8	0	24	Feb 14	w 0-2F	Apr 26	l 3-2A
10	Pau	18	6	6	6	-1	24	May 3	w 0-2F	Jan 24	d 1-1A
11	Rodez	18	6	5	7	2	23	w 2-1A	Feb 21	d 2-2F	Feb 7
12	Clermont	18	6	5	7	-3	23	w 1-0F	Mar 29	d 0-00-0	Feb 14
13	Amiens Home	18	7	2	9	-5	23	-	-	w 1-0F	Jan 17
14	Red Star	18	6	4	8	-10	22	w 3-0F	Mar 7	Feb 21	d 0-00-0
15	Troyes	18	6	3	9	-2	21	l 0-3A	May 10	d 0-00-0	Feb 28
16	Caen	18	4	3	11	-8	15	Mar 15	l 2-1A	May 10	l 2-0A
17	Ajaccio	18	4	3	11	-12	15	w 3-1F	Apr 5	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0
18	Martigues	18	3	3	12	-26	12	d 1-1A	Jan 24	Mar 7	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Amiens have lost 3 consecutive league games

Bastia have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Amiens	0 - 3	Troyes
Amiens	1 - 3	Lavallois
Amiens	1 - 1	Martigues
Amiens	0 - 0	Paris FC
Amiens	3 - 1	Ajaccio
Amiens	2 - 1	Rodez
Amiens	1 - 0	Clermont
Amiens	1 - 0	Lorient
Amiens	3 - 0	Red Star
Amiens	0 - 0	Auxerre
Amiens	0 - 0	Troyes
Amiens	0 - 1	Dunkerque
Amiens	2 - 3	Pau
Amiens	1 - 1	Rodez
Amiens	1 - 1	Bordeaux
Amiens	1 - 1	Paris FC
Amiens	1 - 0	Annecy
Amiens	0 - 0	Caen
Amiens	1 - 0	St Etienne
Amiens	1 - 1	Concarneau

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Amiens	0 - 1	Paris FC
H	Amiens	0 - 3	Troyes
H	Amiens	1 - 3	Lavallois
A	Amiens	2 - 0	Grenoble
A	Amiens	0 - 3	Guingamp
H	Amiens	1 - 1	Martigues
A	Amiens	1 - 3	Dunkerque
H	Amiens	0 - 0	Paris FC
A	Amiens	2 - 0	Pau
H	Amiens	3 - 1	Ajaccio
A	Amiens	2 - 3	Metz
H	Amiens	2 - 1	Rodez
A	Amiens	1 - 2	Caen
H	Amiens	1 - 0	Clermont
A	Amiens	0 - 3	Annecy
H	Amiens	1 - 0	Lorient
A	Amiens	0 - 1	Bastia
H	Amiens	3 - 0	Red Star
A	Amiens	3 - 1	Grenoble
H	Amiens	0 - 0	Auxerre

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grenoble	3 - 2	Bastia
Red Star	0 - 0	Bastia
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
Lavallois	2 - 2	Bastia
Caen	2 - 0	Bastia
Pau	1 - 1	Bastia
Dunkerque	2 - 1	Bastia
Martigues	0 - 1	Bastia
Metz	1 - 1	Bastia
Pau	1 - 2	Bastia
Annecy	3 - 2	Bastia
Guingamp	0 - 1	Bastia
Bordeaux	2 - 3	Bastia
Lavallois	1 - 2	Bastia
Troyes	2 - 0	Bastia
Auxerre	1 - 1	Bastia
Quevillaise.	0 - 1	Bastia
Valenciennes	3 - 1	Bastia
St Etienne	3 - 2	Bastia
Dunkerque	0 - 5	Bastia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bastia	4 - 0	Ajaccio
A	Bastia	2 - 3	Grenoble
H	Bastia	3 - 1	Guingamp
A	Bastia	0 - 0	Red Star
A	Bastia	0 - 0	Ajaccio
H	Bastia	0 - 0	Lorient
A	Bastia	2 - 2	Lavallois
A	Bastia	0 - 2	Caen
H	Bastia	2 - 2	Rodez
A	Bastia	1 - 1	Pau
H	Bastia	0 - 0	Clermont
H	Bastia	2 - 2	Annecy
A	Bastia	1 - 2	Dunkerque
H	Bastia	2 - 1	Paris FC
H	Bastia	0 - 0	Troyes
A	Bastia	1 - 0	Martigues
H	Bastia	1 - 0	Amiens
A	Bastia	1 - 1	Metz
H	Bastia	1 - 1	Paris FC
A	Bastia	2 - 1	Pau

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Amiens

Bastia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

ASC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Amiens
Amiens	2 - 1
Amiens	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Bastia

Amiens

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

ASC

BAS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Bastia	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Amiens
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Amiens 13th	Bastia 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Amiens will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Amiens have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	+24 Bastia have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season

ASC

BAS

better

view stats

Games scored	12		12
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	6		7
Goals scored	20		22
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	12		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+5%

ASC

BAS

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		10
Clean sheets	6		8
Conceded first	11		6
Goals conceded	25		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.1
KickOff rating		+22%

Amiens v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Amiens Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	6	4	6
R Gurtner	L Mafouta	R Lutin	K Kaïboué

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Gurtner GLK	18			-
R Vita DEF	18			2 -
O Gene MID	18		1	5 -
F Boya MID	18		1	5 -
A Leautey FWD	18	5	1	-
L Mafouta FWD	18	6	1	2 -
R Lutin MID	17	1	4	3 -
K Kaïboué MID	16	3	1	4 2
O Urhoghide DEF	15	2		1 1
N Kandil FWD	15	1		-
S Corchia DEF	14		4	4 -
M Fofana DEF	14			-
M. Jaouab DEF	12			4 -
E. Dao FWD	11		1	-
I Fofana MID	8			1 -
A Chibozo FWD	4			-
A Carroll FWD	4			1 -
A. Chabane DEF	3			-
M Touho FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	21	4	19
L Mafouta	L Mafouta	R Lutin	S Corchia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Mafouta FWD	6	21	1	17
A Leautey FWD	5	19	1	14
K Kaïboué MID	3	17	1	5
O Urhoghide DEF	2	2		1
N Kandil FWD	1	13		9
R Lutin MID	1	2	4	10
E. Dao FWD			1	3
A. Chabane DEF				2
A Carroll FWD		3		1
A Chibozo FWD		1
M. Jaouab DEF				3
M Fofana DEF				1
S Corchia DEF		4	4	19
R Vita DEF		2		13
F Boya MID		8	1	6
O Gene MID		1	1	15
M Touho FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
746	64	115
K Kaïboué	R Vita	K Kaïboué

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Kaïboué MID	746	28	115
R Vita DEF	733	64	103
O Gene MID	701	50	83
N Kandil FWD	564	15	66
M Fofana DEF	563	30	45
A Leautey FWD	549	22	68
O Urhoghide DEF	513	31	77
R Gurtner GLK	410	1	12
M. Jaouab DEF	396	16	34
F Boya MID	383	30	95
R Lutin MID	365	26	69
L Mafouta FWD	345	3	60
S Corchia DEF	335	21	51
A. Chabane DEF	72	12	21
E. Dao FWD	54	1	15
A Carroll FWD	46	1	23
M Touho FWD	16	3	5
I Fofana MID	15	1	2
A Chibozo FWD	14		2

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	5	2	5
J Placide	A Boutrah	T Ducrocq	Z. Ariss

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Placide GLK	18			-
T Ducrocq MID	18	1	2	4 -
L Tramoni FWD	17	1	2	2 -
A Boutrah FWD	17	5		-
Z. Ariss DEF	16		2	5 -
F Bohnert DEF	16			1 -
J Maggiotti MID	16	1		2 -
F Tomi MID	16	3		1 -
C Rodrigues FWD	16	3		2 -
G Akueson DEF	15			4 -
L Cissé FWD	15	5	1	-
C Vincent MID	14	1	1	3 -
T. Meynadier DEF	13			1 -
J Janneh MID	12		1	2 1
A Roncaglia MID	12			1
J. Guevara DEF	11		1	3 -
L Etoga MID	11		1	3 -
D Guidi DEF	8			2 -
D Tavares DEF	5			1 1
C. Inao Oulaï MID	3			1 -
S. Mazikou DEF	1			-
M. Boumaaoui FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	20	2	18
A Boutrah	L Cissé	T Ducrocq	A Boutrah

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cissé FWD	5	20	1	9
A Boutrah FWD	5	14		18
F Tomi MID	3	7		3
C Rodrigues FWD	3	7		4
C Vincent MID	1	9	1	6
L Tramoni FWD	1	4	2	14
J Maggiotti MID	1	4		11
T Ducrocq MID	1	5	2	10
J. Guevara DEF		1	1	2
D Tavares DEF				2
D Guidi DEF				2
L Etoga MID		2	1	3
J Placide GLK				2
A Roncaglia MID				3
J Janneh MID		2	1	2
T. Meynadier DEF		3		5
G Akueson DEF		2
F Bohnert DEF		1		8
Z. Ariss DEF		1	2	6

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
741	38	99
T Ducrocq	G Akueson	L Cissé

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ducrocq MID	741	35	68
Z. Ariss DEF	590	29	84
J Placide GLK	574		11
F Bohnert DEF	543	27	69
G Akueson DEF	526	38	83
J. Guevara DEF	508	16	64
J Janneh MID	446	35	59
A Boutrah FWD	396	3	58
C Vincent MID	360	16	47
J Maggiotti MID	351	10	32
A Roncaglia MID	329	5	22
D Guidi DEF	312	13	31
T. Meynadier DEF	258	20	43
L Tramoni FWD	243	17	69
L Cissé FWD	241	5	99
L Etoga MID	221	16	46
F Tomi MID	133	6	40
C Rodrigues FWD	129	4	34
D Tavares DEF	57	8	12
C. Inao Oulaï MID	36	2	5
S. Mazikou DEF	10	1	3
M. Boumaaoui FWD	1		1

French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Amiens v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amiens have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Bastia lay in 8th place on 25 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Amiens v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

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