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Ajaccio v Red Star FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Mar, 19:00 BST, Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

Home advantage can be vital in the Ligue 2, and Mathieu Chabert’s Ajaccio will have the blessing of it on Friday evening. Grégory Poirier’s Red Star FC are their opponents at the Stade François-Coty. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our 20+ year database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Ajaccio and Red Star both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajaccio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ajaccio 40%	29/20 2%	11/8 8%
Draw 29%	19/10	2/1
Red Star 31%	15/8 4%	7/4 8%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1
Ajaccio 1-0 13%	6/1	5/1
Red Star 1-0 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw 0-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Ajaccio 2-1 8%	10/1	8/1 6%
Ajaccio 2-0 8%	10/1	17/2 6%
Red Star 2-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Red Star 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	14/1
Ajaccio 3-1 3%	22/1	16/1
Ajaccio 3-0 3%	22/1 12%	16/1
Red Star 3-1 2%	28/1 12%	18/1 10%
Red Star 3-0 2%	28/1	20/1 9%
Ajaccio 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Red Star 3-2 1%	40/1	25/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	7/5	13/10
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	8/15	1/2
Home 1st Goal 49%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	13/10 2%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	1/1	21/20
BTTS - No 55%	8/11	7/10 2%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5/1 9%	9/2 5%
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6/1	11/2 7%
Home/draw 69%	4/11	2/5 5%
Away/draw 60%	1/2 2%	8/15 4%
Home/away 71%	4/11 3%	7/20 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	4/9	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	13/8	6/4
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	7/2	16/5
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	2/11	1/6
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	10/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/20	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/10	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	6/1	5/1
Home DNB 61%	8/11	7/10 6%
Away DNB 51%	1/1	1/1 9%
Ajaccio win to nil 25%	11/4	-
Red Star win to nil 19%	10/3	-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio 20%	10/3	29/10 8%
Ajaccio / Red Star 3%	33/1	25/1
Ajaccio / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Ajaccio 15%	9/2	17/4 5%
Draw / Red Star 13%	11/2 8%	5/1 8%
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
Red Star / Ajaccio 3%	28/1	22/1
Red Star / Red Star 17%	4/1 5%	18/5 8%
Red Star / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Ajaccio have conceded 25 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Red Star lay in 12th place on 32 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Red Star have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Red Star have played 13 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ajaccio Red Star
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lorient	26	16	4	6	19	52	May 2	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	l 2-1A
2	Paris FC	26	16	4	6	17	52	l 0-2A	May 10	l 1-3A	l 4-1A
3	Metz	26	14	8	4	25	50	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	Apr 19
4	Dunkerque	26	15	3	8	8	48	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	May 10	l 2-0A
5	Guingamp	26	13	3	10	10	42	l 0-3A	l 1-0A	w 3-1A	w 3-4F
6	Lavallois	26	11	7	8	8	40	w 3-0F	d 1-1F	l 0-3A	d 1-1A
7	Annecy	26	11	6	9	-4	39	l 1-2A	Apr 25	Apr 11	l 1-0A
8	Bastia	26	8	13	5	6	37	d 0-00-0	l 4-0A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
9	Grenoble	26	10	6	10	1	36	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
10	Troyes	26	10	3	13	2	33	w 2-1A	Apr 11	l 0-3A	Apr 5
11	Pau	26	8	9	9	-7	33	Apr 18	l 1-0A	l 1-3A	l 4-1A
12	Red Star Away	26	9	5	12	-12	32	Mar 14	l 1-0A	-	-
13	Ajaccio Home	26	9	4	13	-9	31	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 14
14	Rodez	26	8	6	12	2	30	w 1-0F	w 1-2F	Mar 28	w 0-2F
15	Amiens	26	9	3	14	-14	30	Apr 4	l 3-1A	w 2-0F	l 3-0A
16	Clermont	26	6	7	13	-13	25	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	Apr 25	d 1-1A
17	Martigues	26	7	3	16	-23	24	d 1-1F	Mar 28	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
18	Caen	26	5	4	17	-16	19	w 2-1A	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	May 2

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Dunkerque
Ajaccio	3 - 0	Lavallois
Ajaccio	0 - 3	Guingamp
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Annecy
Ajaccio	0 - 2	Paris FC
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Clermont
Ajaccio	0 - 1	Metz
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Martigues
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Grenoble
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Troyes
Ajaccio	1 - 0	Rodez
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Grenoble
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Quevillaise.
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
Ajaccio	2 - 0	St Etienne
Ajaccio	0 - 1	Auxerre
Ajaccio	1 - 3	Annecy
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Amiens

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajaccio	2 - 2	Grenoble
H	Ajaccio	1 - 2	Dunkerque
A	Ajaccio	1 - 0	Metz
H	Ajaccio	3 - 0	Lavallois
H	Ajaccio	0 - 3	Guingamp
A	Ajaccio	1 - 0	Clermont
A	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Rodez
H	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
A	Ajaccio	0 - 4	Bastia
H	Ajaccio	1 - 2	Annecy
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Pau
H	Ajaccio	0 - 2	Paris FC
H	Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Dunkerque
H	Ajaccio	2 - 0	Clermont
H	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Metz
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Guingamp
A	Ajaccio	1 - 3	Amiens
H	Ajaccio	1 - 1	Martigues
A	Ajaccio	0 - 3	Lorient

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia	1 - 0	Red Star
Grenoble	0 - 0	Red Star
Paris FC	4 - 1	Red Star
Lavallois	1 - 1	Red Star
Rodez	0 - 2	Red Star
Pau	4 - 1	Red Star
Martigues	0 - 1	Red Star
Dunkerque	2 - 0	Red Star
Annecy	1 - 0	Red Star
Clermont	1 - 1	Red Star
Lorient	2 - 1	Red Star
Guingamp	3 - 4	Red Star
Amiens	3 - 0	Red Star
Niort	1 - 0	Red Star
Sochaux	1 - 2	Red Star
Troyes	2 - 0	Red Star
Beziers	1 - 3	Red Star
US Orleans	2 - 2	Red Star
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Red Star
Grenoble	2 - 0	Red Star

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Red Star	2 - 0	Amiens
H	Red Star	3 - 1	Guingamp
A	Red Star	0 - 1	Bastia
H	Red Star	1 - 0	Martigues
A	Red Star	0 - 0	Grenoble
H	Red Star	1 - 2	Lorient
A	Red Star	1 - 4	Paris FC
H	Red Star	1 - 3	Pau
A	Red Star	1 - 1	Lavallois
A	Red Star	2 - 0	Rodez
H	Red Star	3 - 1	Grenoble
H	Red Star	0 - 0	Bastia
A	Red Star	1 - 4	Pau
H	Red Star	0 - 3	Troyes
A	Red Star	1 - 0	Martigues
H	Red Star	1 - 0	Metz
A	Red Star	0 - 2	Dunkerque
H	Red Star	2 - 2	Caen
A	Red Star	0 - 1	Annecy
H	Red Star	1 - 3	Paris FC

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Red Star have not lost to Ajaccio in 7 consecutive league meetings

Red Star have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Ajaccio

Ajaccio

Red Star

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

RED

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajaccio
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Red Star
	1 - 2	Red Star

Red Star

Ajaccio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

0 / 4

RED

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Red Star
Red Star	1 - 0
Red Star	2 - 0
Red Star	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Red Star FC of late. It has been 7 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Ajaccio.

	Ajaccio 13th	Red Star 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Ajaccio will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Red Star will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Red Star have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season

AJC

RED

better

view stats

Games scored	15		18
Failed to score	11		8
Scored first	9		8
Goals scored	23		28
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		12
Avg. XG for	0.6		0.9
KickOff rating		+9%

better

AJC

RED

view stats

Games conceded	19		18
Clean sheets	7		8
Conceded first	16		16
Goals conceded	32		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.4
KickOff rating		+6%

Ajaccio v Red Star Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	4	2	7
F Sollacaro	M Soumano	M Soumano	B Santelli

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Anziani MID	26	1	1	4 -
M Soumano FWD	25	4	2	2 -
F Sollacaro GLK	23			4 -
A Bamba DEF	23	3		4 -
T Strata DEF	22	1	1	2 -
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF	20			4 -
C Vidal DEF	19			4 -
M Barreto MID	18	2	2	4 -
M Puchherrantz MID	18			1 1
M Youssouf DEF	17			5 -
I Chegra MID	16			3 -
A Kanté FWD	16	4	1	-
K. Kouassi DEF	15		2	1 2
M Huard DEF	15		1	2 1
B Santelli FWD	15	1		6 1
T Mangani MID	14		1	5 -
B Touré FWD	12	2		2 -
Y Touzghar FWD	9	1		-
V Jacob MID	6		1	-
S Quemper DEF	5			2 -
G Quilichini GLK	3			-
A. Toure FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	2	10
M Soumano	J Anziani	M Soumano	J Anziani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Soumano FWD	4	14	2	7
A Kanté FWD	4	8	1	3
A Bamba DEF	3	5		2
M Barreto MID	2	5	2	8
B Touré FWD	2	6		5
Y Touzghar FWD	1	3		5
B Santelli FWD	1	2		3
J Anziani MID	1	14	1	10
T Strata DEF	1	3	1	6
M Puchherrantz MID				5
M Youssouf DEF		2		2
I Chegra MID		3		7
K. Kouassi DEF		1	2	8
M Huard DEF			1	4
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF				2
T Mangani MID			1	1
V Jacob MID			1	2
S Quemper DEF				4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
816	33	113
A Bamba	J Anziani	J Anziani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bamba DEF	816	22	77
J Anziani MID	798	33	113
F Sollacaro GLK	644		10
M Barreto MID	604	20	54
C Vidal DEF	596	9	68
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF	592	25	77
T Strata DEF	550	20	50
K. Kouassi DEF	422	26	84
M Huard DEF	388	21	67
M Youssouf DEF	385	27	80
T Mangani MID	333	12	33
M Soumano FWD	317	20	109
M Puchherrantz MID	235	22	43
S Quemper DEF	191	8	12
B Santelli FWD	188	10	64
B Touré FWD	155	12	53
A Kanté FWD	137	5	39
Y Touzghar FWD	112	3	20
I Chegra MID	106	8	29
V Jacob MID	91	10	24
G Quilichini GLK	78
A. Toure FWD	9		1

Red Star Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	5	5
M. Ifnaoui	H. Benali	M. Ifnaoui	R. Hachem

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M. Ifnaoui MID	26	1	5	3 -
D. Durand FWD	26	4	3	4 -
L Kouagba DEF	25	1		3 -
R. Hachem DEF	25	1	1	5 -
H. Benali FWD	25	6	2	4 -
F Dembi MID	24			1 -
J Escartin DEF	23			4 -
S Renel MID	23	1	2	-
A Badji FWD	23	6	1	4 -
F Doucouré DEF	21	1		2 -
D Durivaux DEF	20		1	1 -
H Mbock MID	19			4 1
K. Cissé FWD	18	3		1 -
J Eickmayer MID	17	2	1	1 -
Q Beunardeau GLK	14			-
B Danger DEF	14	1		2 -
R Risser GLK	12			2 -
A. Fall FWD	11			-
B Mendy DEF	7			2 -
M Fongain DEF	7			1 -
P Lemonnier DEF	5			-
V. Kany DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	18	5	23
H. Benali	D. Durand	M. Ifnaoui	M. Ifnaoui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Badji FWD	6	18	1	8
H. Benali FWD	6	15	2	9
D. Durand FWD	4	18	3	14
K. Cissé FWD	3	6		4
J Eickmayer MID	2	4	1	7
M. Ifnaoui MID	1	1	5	23
B Danger DEF	1	2
L Kouagba DEF	1	5		1
R. Hachem DEF	1	8	1	19
S Renel MID	1	4	2	12
F Doucouré DEF	1	4		4
M Fongain DEF		1
A. Fall FWD				1
H Mbock MID		3		2
D Durivaux DEF			1	5
J Escartin DEF		2
F Dembi MID		1		5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1366	51	128
L Kouagba	R. Hachem	R. Hachem

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Kouagba DEF	1366	23	102
M. Ifnaoui MID	997	28	107
R. Hachem DEF	981	51	128
D Durivaux DEF	822	38	89
S Renel MID	772	23	54
F Doucouré DEF	757	47	83
J Escartin DEF	645	20	65
F Dembi MID	622	43	77
B Danger DEF	486	15	52
D. Durand FWD	465	10	64
R Risser GLK	411	1	10
M Fongain DEF	388	8	35
J Eickmayer MID	375	9	39
H Mbock MID	370	22	72
Q Beunardeau GLK	365		7
B Mendy DEF	309	8	28
H. Benali FWD	299	22	77
A Badji FWD	282	12	85
P Lemonnier DEF	261	5	37
K. Cissé FWD	221	6	34
A. Fall FWD	52	3	11
V. Kany DEF	1	1	1

French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Ajaccio v Red Star FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajaccio have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Red Star lay in 12th place on 32 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Ajaccio v Red Star Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

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