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Ajaccio v Dunkerque : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

We’ve Ligue 2 action to look forward to on Monday evening, as Mathieu Chabert and his Ajaccio side host Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro’s Dunkerque at the Stade François-Coty. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 2 performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Ajaccio's next match is v Red Star at 19:00 on Friday 14th March
Dunkerque's next match is v Metz at 13:00 on Saturday 15th March
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Ajaccio and Dunkerque was on Monday 3rd March 2025
French Ligue 2
March 3rd 2025
Ajaccio 1
2 Dunkerque
 
A. Kanté 46'16' G. Courtet
62' N. Skyttä
 
AJC
DUN
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
4
3
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
19
16
Yellow/red cards
3/1
 
AjaccioDunkerque
 
F. Sollacaro
A. Bamba
K. Kouassi
M. Huard (B. Santelli 46')
M. Youssouf
C. Vidal
J. Anziani (M. Puchherrantz 67')
M. Barreto (T. Strata 58')
E. Pereira da Silva
M. Soumano
A. Kantéfootball icon (I. Chegra 87')
A. Ortolá Vañó
A. Souza de Almeida
O. Sangante
V. Sasso
A. Georgen
U. Raghouber
football iconN. Skyttä
(A. Pitu 90') E. Bardeli
football iconG. Courtet
(K. Tejan 58') M. Saeed Al Saad
(Y. Bammou 74') G. Yassine

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a thriller here. The stats suggest Ajaccio and Dunkerque both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Dunkerque coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajaccio
32%
31/10
24%
14/5
19%
Draw
28%
15/8
1%
9/5
Dunkerque
40%
11/10
11%
1/1
9%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Dunkerque 1-0
13%
9/2
8%
9/2
Ajaccio 1-0
11%
8/1
20%
7/1
14%
Draw 0-0
10%
5/119/4
Dunkerque 2-1
8%
9/115/2
6%
Dunkerque 2-0
8%
15/2
11%
7/1
6%
Ajaccio 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Ajaccio 2-0
6%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Dunkerque 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Dunkerque 3-0
3%
18/1
19%
14/1
12%
Ajaccio 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Ajaccio 3-0
2%
40/133/1
31%
Dunkerque 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Ajaccio 3-2
2%
50/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
8/5
4%
29/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
19/40
3%
4/9
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
15/8
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
4/6
7%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
5/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
6/523/20
2%
BTTS - No
54%
8/138/13
1%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2
15%
4/1
9%
Home/draw
60%
7/10
10%
8/11
8%
Away/draw
68%
2/9
6%
2/9
6%
Home/away
72%
2/52/5
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2
2%
10/21
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
6/4
5%
11/8
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1
9%
17/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6
3%
1/7
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
12/18/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/251/33
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1
10%
16/1
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/81/10
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
5/19/2
Home DNB
52%
7/4
22%
7/4
22%
Away DNB
60%
2/5
11%
2/5
11%
Ajaccio win to nil
19%
5/1
20%
-
Dunkerque win to nil
24%
2/1
12%
-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
24%
Ajaccio / Dunkerque
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Ajaccio / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Ajaccio
10%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Draw / Dunkerque
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
8%
Draw / Draw
20%
10/3
8%
14/5
3%
Dunkerque / Ajaccio
2%
40/128/1
Dunkerque / Dunkerque
24%
5/2
13%
23/10
11%
Dunkerque / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Ajaccio have conceded 20 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Dunkerque lay in 4th place on 45 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 31 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dunkerque have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Dunkerque have played 11 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient2616461952 
May 2
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
2
Paris FC2616461752 
l
 
0-2A
May 10
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
3
Metz2614842550 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
4
Dunkerque Away261538848 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Guingamp26133101042 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 7
d
 
1-1F
6
Lavallois261178840 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 2
l
 
3-2A
7
Annecy261169-439 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 25
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
8
Bastia268135637 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 28
9
Grenoble2610610136 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
10
Troyes2610313233 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
11
Pau26899-733 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
12
Red Star269512-1232 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
13
Ajaccio Home269413-931 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
14
Rodez268612230 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1F
15
Amiens269314-1430 
Apr 4
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
16
Clermont266713-1325 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Martigues267316-2324 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 28
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Caen265417-1619 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Dunkerque have won 3 consecutive league games
3
Dunkerque have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Ajaccio 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Dunkerque 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ajaccio since 2020
Ajaccio
Dunkerque
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
AJC
2
D
1
League games at Dunkerque since 2021
Dunkerque
Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
AJC
1
DUN
3
Goal Statistics

Dunkerque's defensive record is to be admired, L. Ferreira de Castro's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Ligue 2 games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Ajaccio makes sense in this context.

Ajaccio 13th Dunkerque 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Ajaccio will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Dunkerque will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Dunkerque have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279933/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajaccio
PG (predicted goals)
Dunkerque
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
AJC
DUN
38%
better
view stats
Games scored13
20
Failed to score11
4
Scored first9
16
Goals scored20
36
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for0.6
2.1
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
AJC
DUN
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first14
8
Goals conceded28
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%

Ajaccio v Dunkerque Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23427
F SollacaroA KantéK. KouassiB Santelli
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Sollacaro GLK23
4
-
M Youssouf DEF17
5
-
A Bamba  DEF233
4
-
C Vidal DEF19
4
-
M Huard DEF151
2
1
K. Kouassi DEF152
1
2
J Anziani MID2611
4
-
E. Pereira da Silva MID141
1
1
M Barreto MID1822
4
-
A Kanté FWD1641
-
M Soumano FWD2542
2
-
Subs
G Quilichini GLK3
-
T Strata DEF2211
2
-
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF20
4
-
T Mangani  MID141
5
-
M Puchherrantz MID18
1
1
I Chegra MID16
3
-
B Santelli FWD151
6
1
Dunkerque Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
267411
E BardeliN SkyttäN SkyttäU Raghouber
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ortolá GLK17
1
-
A Georgen DEF251
4
-
O Sanganté DEF262
3
-
V Sasso DEF253
4
-
Abner DEF241
4
-
U Raghouber MID2211
11
-
M. Saeed Al Saad MID51
1
-
N Skyttä MID2374
2
-
E Bardeli MID2664
1
G. Yassine MID212
3
-
G Courtet FWD2442
3
-
Subs
E Jaouen GLK9
-
N Fernandez DEF6
1
-
G Kondo DEF7
-
K Tejan FWD2424
3
-
M. Essimi Ateba FWD11
-
A Pitu FWD3
-
Y Bammou FWD2353
3
-