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Ajaccio v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

Mathieu Chabert and Nicolas Seube pit their wits in the Ligue 2 on Friday evening, as Ajaccio face Caen at the Stade François-Coty. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Ligue 2 clash.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this fixture will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Ajaccio and Caen have seldom been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Ligue 2 individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajaccio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ajaccio 44%	2.88	2.70 2%
Draw 28%	2.90	2.90
Caen 28%	2.60	2.45
Ajaccio 1-0 13%	7.50	7.00
Draw 1-1 13%	5.50	5.75
Draw 0-0 10%	7.00	6.50
Caen 1-0 10%	7.00	6.50
Ajaccio 2-0 9%	13.00	11.00
Ajaccio 2-1 8%	11.00	9.50
Caen 2-1 6%	11.00	9.00
Caen 2-0 5%	12.00	10.00
Draw 2-2 4%	15.00	13.00
Ajaccio 3-0 4%	29.00	21.00
Ajaccio 3-1 4%	26.00	19.00
Caen 3-1 2%	23.00	17.00
Ajaccio 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Caen 3-0 2%	26.00	19.00
Caen 3-2 1%	41.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	2.40 2%	2.25 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	1.53 3%	1.53 1%
Home 1st Goal 50%	2.25	2.15
Away 1st Goal 43%	1.91	2.00
No 1st Goal 7%	7.00	6.50
BTTS - Yes 46%	1.91	2.00 3%
BTTS - No 54%	1.80	1.75
BTTS - Home Win 17%	6.50	6.00
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	4.40
BTTS - Away Win 11%	6.00	5.50
Home/draw 72%	1.50	1.48 1%
Away/draw 56%	1.40	1.40
Home/away 72%	1.40	1.36
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	1.44 3%	1.40
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	2.62 5%	2.60
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	4.50 4%	4.00 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1.18 2%	1.18
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	11.00 10%	8.00 7%
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.05 1%	1.04 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	23.00 10%	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.10	1.07
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	7.00	6.00
Home DNB 63%	1.91	1.95
Away DNB 48%	1.80	1.75
Ajaccio win to nil 27%	4.33	-
Caen win to nil 17%	4.00	-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio 17%	4.75	4.50 2%
Ajaccio / Caen 3%	29.00	23.00
Ajaccio / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00 8%
Draw / Ajaccio 13%	6.00	6.00
Draw / Caen 14%	6.00	5.50
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	4.20 5%
Caen / Ajaccio 3%	34.00	26.00
Caen / Caen 19%	4.33	4.00 5%
Caen / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Ajaccio have conceded 22 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Caen lay in 16th place on 15 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 18 matches. Caen have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Caen have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Caen have played 8 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ajaccio Caen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lorient	18	10	4	4	13	34	May 3	l 3-0A	l 1-2F	Apr 26
2	Paris FC	18	10	4	4	11	34	l 0-2A	May 10	l 0-2A	Mar 29
3	Dunkerque	18	10	3	5	5	33	Feb 28	l 1-0A	Feb 7	l 3-1A
4	Metz	18	8	7	3	11	31	l 0-1A	Feb 22	Apr 5	l 1-0A
5	Annecy	18	8	6	4	3	30	l 1-2A	Apr 26	d 1-1A	Feb 17
6	Lavallois	18	8	5	5	10	29	Feb 14	d 1-1F	Mar 7	l 1-0A
7	Guingamp	18	9	2	7	7	29	Feb 7	l 1-0A	Jan 24	l 3-1A
8	Bastia	18	5	10	3	5	25	d 0-00-0	l 4-0A	w 2-0F	May 10
9	Grenoble	18	7	3	8	0	24	w 2-0F	Mar 7	l 0-1A	l 3-1F
10	Pau	18	6	6	6	-1	24	Apr 19	l 1-0A	Feb 22	l 1-0A
11	Rodez	18	6	5	7	2	23	w 1-0F	Jan 24	d 3-3A	Apr 12
12	Clermont	18	6	5	7	-3	23	w 2-0F	Jan 31	l 0-1A	Feb 28
13	Amiens	18	7	2	9	-5	23	Apr 5	l 3-1A	w 2-1F	Mar 15
14	Red Star	18	6	4	8	-10	22	Mar 15	l 1-0A	May 3	d 2-2F
15	Troyes	18	6	3	9	-2	21	w 2-1A	Apr 12	l 0-1A	Feb 1
16	Caen Away	18	4	3	11	-8	15	Jan 17	l 1-0A	-	-
17	Ajaccio Home	18	4	3	11	-12	15	-	-	w 1-0F	Jan 17
18	Martigues	18	3	3	12	-26	12	d 1-1F	Mar 29	Apr 19	w 0-3F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Ajaccio have lost 4 consecutive league games

Caen have lost 4 consecutive league games

Ajaccio have not won in 6 consecutive league games

Caen have not won in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Annecy
Ajaccio	0 - 2	Paris FC
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Clermont
Ajaccio	0 - 1	Metz
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Martigues
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Grenoble
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Troyes
Ajaccio	1 - 0	Rodez
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Grenoble
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Quevillaise.
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
Ajaccio	2 - 0	St Etienne
Ajaccio	0 - 1	Auxerre
Ajaccio	1 - 3	Annecy
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Amiens
Ajaccio	3 - 0	Guingamp
Ajaccio	1 - 0	Concarneau
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Valenciennes
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Lavallois

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajaccio	0 - 4	Bastia
H	Ajaccio	1 - 2	Annecy
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Pau
H	Ajaccio	0 - 2	Paris FC
H	Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Dunkerque
H	Ajaccio	2 - 0	Clermont
H	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Metz
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Guingamp
A	Ajaccio	1 - 3	Amiens
H	Ajaccio	1 - 1	Martigues
A	Ajaccio	0 - 3	Lorient
H	Ajaccio	2 - 0	Grenoble
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Caen
A	Ajaccio	1 - 1	Lavallois
H	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Troyes
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Red Star
H	Ajaccio	1 - 0	Rodez
A	Ajaccio	0 - 2	Rodez
H	Ajaccio	1 - 2	Grenoble

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dunkerque	3 - 1	Caen
Lavallois	1 - 0	Caen
Metz	1 - 0	Caen
Martigues	0 - 3	Caen
Red Star	2 - 2	Caen
Guingamp	3 - 1	Caen
Grenoble	3 - 1	Caen
Pau	1 - 0	Caen
Dunkerque	2 - 2	Caen
St Etienne	1 - 0	Caen
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
Quevillaise.	1 - 2	Caen
Auxerre	2 - 1	Caen
Pau	2 - 3	Caen
Guingamp	1 - 0	Caen
Grenoble	5 - 1	Caen
Bastia	1 - 2	Caen
Amiens	0 - 0	Caen
Annecy	1 - 2	Caen
Angers	3 - 0	Caen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Caen	0 - 1	Grenoble
H	Caen	0 - 1	Clermont
A	Caen	1 - 3	Dunkerque
A	Caen	0 - 1	Lavallois
H	Caen	3 - 3	Rodez
A	Caen	0 - 1	Metz
H	Caen	2 - 0	Bastia
A	Caen	3 - 0	Martigues
H	Caen	0 - 1	Troyes
A	Caen	2 - 2	Red Star
H	Caen	1 - 2	Lorient
A	Caen	1 - 3	Guingamp
H	Caen	2 - 1	Amiens
H	Caen	1 - 0	Ajaccio
A	Caen	1 - 3	Grenoble
H	Caen	1 - 1	Annecy
A	Caen	0 - 1	Pau
H	Caen	0 - 2	Paris FC
H	Caen	3 - 0	Valenciennes
A	Caen	2 - 2	Dunkerque

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ajaccio have beaten Caen in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Ajaccio

Caen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

AJC

CAE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajaccio
Ajaccio	2 - 1
Ajaccio	2 - 0
Ajaccio	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Caen

Caen

Ajaccio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

1 / 5

Clean sheets

4 / 5

1 / 5

AJC

CAE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Caen
Caen	1 - 0
Caen	3 - 0
Caen	2 - 0
Caen	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Ajaccio

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Ajaccio of late. It has been 6 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Caen.

	Ajaccio 17th	Caen 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Ajaccio will score no more than 1 goal	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Caen scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-9 Caen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season

AJC

CAE

29%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		11
Failed to score	10		7
Scored first	5		7
Goals scored	11		18
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	12		8
Conversion rate for	8		12
Avg. XG for	0.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+29%

better

AJC

CAE

view stats

Games conceded	14		15
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	12		11
Goals conceded	23		26
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.7		0.9
KickOff rating		+9%

Ajaccio v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	1	5
F Sollacaro	M Soumano	C. Ibayi	C. Ibayi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Anziani MID	18	1		2 -
C. Ibayi FWD	18	2	1	5 -
F Sollacaro GLK	17			3 -
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF	17			4 -
M Soumano FWD	17	3		2 -
A Bamba DEF	15			3 -
M Youssouf DEF	14			4 -
T Strata DEF	14	1	1	1 -
M Puchherrantz MID	13			1
C Vidal DEF	12			4 -
M Barreto MID	12	1		3 -
T Folcarelli MID	11	1		2 1
I Chegra MID	10			3 -
T Mangani MID	10			4 -
M Huard DEF	9		1	1 1
A Kanté FWD	9	1		-
B Santelli FWD	9			3 1
B Touré FWD	9			2 -
Y Touzghar FWD	9	1		-
V Jacob MID	5		1	-
S Quemper DEF	4			2 -
G Quilichini GLK	1			-
A. Toure FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	13	1	8
M Soumano	J Anziani	C. Ibayi	J Anziani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Soumano FWD	3	9		6
C. Ibayi FWD	2	5	1	7
J Anziani MID	1	13		8
M Barreto MID	1	3		4
Y Touzghar FWD	1	3		5
A Kanté FWD	1	4
T Folcarelli MID	1	4		3
T Strata DEF	1	3	1	3
M Puchherrantz MID				2
M Youssouf DEF		1		2
A Bamba DEF		1		1
I Chegra MID		3		6
M Huard DEF			1	4
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF				2
B Santelli FWD		1		2
B Touré FWD		4		5
V Jacob MID			1	2
S Quemper DEF				4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
553	25	76
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze	J Anziani	J Anziani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bamba DEF	553	13	52
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF	553	19	69
J Anziani MID	546	25	76
F Sollacaro GLK	503		6
M Barreto MID	340	9	25
T Strata DEF	337	11	31
T Mangani MID	323	12	32
T Folcarelli MID	310	12	48
M Youssouf DEF	300	21	59
C Vidal DEF	298	5	39
M Huard DEF	242	17	50
M Soumano FWD	194	14	58
M Puchherrantz MID	194	12	28
S Quemper DEF	189	8	12
C. Ibayi FWD	182	1	48
B Touré FWD	140	11	46
B Santelli FWD	134	7	44
Y Touzghar FWD	112	3	20
I Chegra MID	83	8	29
V Jacob MID	83	10	21
A Kanté FWD	53	3	13
G Quilichini GLK	17
A. Toure FWD	9		1

Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	7	3	5
R Thomas	A Mendy	B Brahimi	D Debohi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Thomas DEF	18	1		1 -
N Lebreton MID	18	2		3 -
T. Gomis FWD	18	2	2	-
B Brahimi MID	17	4	3	2 -
G Kyeremeh FWD	17			1 -
D Debohi MID	16			5 -
L Rajot MID	16	1		3 -
M Bihan FWD	16		1	-
A Mendy FWD	16	7	1	2 -
Q Lecoeuche DEF	13			4 -
A Mandréa GLK	12			-
D Bolumbu DEF	12			2 -
V Henry DEF	10			3 1
B Traoré DEF	10		1	-
M Autret MID	9			-
K Coulibaly FWD	9			2 2
Y M'Vila MID	8		1	2 -
Y Clementia GLK	6			-
D Meddah DEF	6	1		2 -
E Ntim DEF	5			-
H Vandermersch DEF	3			1 -
I Najim FWD	3			-
M Hafid FWD	3			-
L Sy DEF	2			-
A Abdi DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	3	24
A Mendy	A Mendy	B Brahimi	B Brahimi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Mendy FWD	7	17	1	9
B Brahimi MID	4	12	3	24
T. Gomis FWD	2	12	2	5
N Lebreton MID	2	3		4
R Thomas DEF	1	2		1
L Rajot MID	1	2		11
D Meddah DEF	1
Y M'Vila MID		1	1	3
I Najim FWD		1
E Ntim DEF				3
V Henry DEF				9
K Coulibaly FWD		2		1
M Autret MID		3		1
B Traoré DEF			1	2
D Bolumbu DEF				3
A Mandréa GLK				1
Q Lecoeuche DEF				8
M Bihan FWD		2	1	1
D Debohi MID		1		1
G Kyeremeh FWD		3		3
A Abdi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1182	33	78
R Thomas	N Lebreton	N Lebreton

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Thomas DEF	1182	16	65
D Debohi MID	782	29	77
Y M'Vila MID	633	15	34
B Brahimi MID	560	17	75
L Rajot MID	551	19	55
N Lebreton MID	503	33	78
B Traoré DEF	502	9	40
Q Lecoeuche DEF	502	12	40
V Henry DEF	400	12	30
D Bolumbu DEF	337	14	47
T. Gomis FWD	314	10	47
M Bihan FWD	299	15	43
A Mandréa GLK	299		8
A Mendy FWD	259	9	68
D Meddah DEF	253	5	24
G Kyeremeh FWD	225	14	47
E Ntim DEF	200	8	15
H Vandermersch DEF	173	8	17
Y Clementia GLK	165		4
M Autret MID	90	3	5
A Abdi DEF	79	4	11
K Coulibaly FWD	48	2	25
L Sy DEF	39	1	3
M Hafid FWD	20	1	1
I Najim FWD	19		2

French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Ajaccio v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajaccio have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Caen lay in 16th place on 15 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 18 matches. Caen have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Ajaccio v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

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