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Legia Warsaw v FC Lugano : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Dec, 17:45 BST, Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i, Warszawa

FC Lugano, led by manager Mattia Croci-Torti, visit Goncalo Feio and his Legia Warsaw side at the Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i on Thursday evening in the Europa Conference. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% probability of L. Warsaw and FC Lugano scoring at least two goals in this Europa Conference tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think L. Warsaw are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
L. Warsaw
54%
1.85
16%
1.91
18%
Draw
23%
3.70
6%
3.50
3%
FC Lugano
23%
3.90
30%
3.60
30%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
L. Warsaw 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
6%
L. Warsaw 1-0
9%
9.00
5%
8.00
6%
L. Warsaw 2-0
9%
10.00
17%
9.50
14%
L. Warsaw 3-1
6%
13.00
24%
12.00
8%
FC Lugano 2-1
6%
13.00
18%
11.00
16%
FC Lugano 1-0
6%
15.00
25%
11.00
20%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
L. Warsaw 3-0
5%
17.00
19%
15.00
24%
Draw 0-0
5%
15.00
15%
11.00
L. Warsaw 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
FC Lugano 2-0
3%
21.00
24%
17.00
31%
L. Warsaw 4-1
3%
26.00
24%
21.00
27%
L. Warsaw 4-0
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
21%
FC Lugano 3-1
2%
29.00
38%
21.00
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.67
3%
1.62
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.15
3%
2.05
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.53
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.50
14%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.621.60
BTTS - No
42%
2.202.20
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.40
15%
3.40
14%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
3%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6.50
18%
5.75
25%
Home/draw
77%
1.25
8%
1.29
11%
Away/draw
46%
1.91
14%
1.83
14%
Home/away
77%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.20
2%
1.20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.33
8%
3.90
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.62
5%
2.50
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.44
3%
1.44
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.00
9%
4.20
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.17
3%
1.17
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00
9%
7.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00
15%
9.50
5%
Home DNB
70%
1.40
14%
1.44
15%
Away DNB
39%
2.75
25%
2.62
33%
L. Warsaw win to nil
27%
3.50
19%
-
FC Lugano win to nil
11%
8.00
33%
-
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw
28%
3.00
17%
3.00
18%
L. Warsaw / FC Lugano
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
L. Warsaw / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / L. Warsaw
17%
5.00
9%
5.00
13%
Draw / FC Lugano
9%
8.50
21%
8.00
23%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
FC Lugano / L. Warsaw
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
11%
FC Lugano / FC Lugano
12%
6.50
37%
5.75
30%
FC Lugano / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
L. Warsaw
FC Lugano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Chelsea55001715 
-
-
-
-
2
L. Warsaw Home44001112 
-
-
-
Dec 12
3
Jagiellonia4310610 
-
-
-
-
4
Rapid Wien4310510 
-
-
-
-
5
V. Guimaraes4310410 
-
-
-
-
6
Djurgårdens5311210 
-
Dec 19
-
-
7
Fiorentina430149 
-
-
-
-
8
Olimpija430149 
-
-
-
-
9
FC Lugano Away430139 
Dec 12
-
-
-
10
Heidenheim430129 
-
-
-
-
11
Shamrock422048 
-
-
-
-
12
Cercle B421147 
-
-
-
-
13
Apoel421117 
-
-
-
-
14
Borac Banja Luka421107 
-
-
-
-
15
Víkingur5212-17 
-
-
-
-
16
Paphos420226 
-
-
Dec 19
-
17
Hearts4202-16 
-
-
-
-
18
Gent4202-26 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
19
Kobenhavn412105 
-
-
-
-
20
Celje411214 
-
-
-
-
21
Backa Topola4112-14 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
l
 
4-1A
22
Real Betis4112-14 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
23
Panathinaikos4112-34 
-
-
-
-
24
Astana5113-44 
-
-
-
-
25
St Gallen4112-54 
-
-
-
-
26
Noah4112-74 
-
-
-
-
27
Molde4103-23 
-
-
-
-
28
Omnia Nicosia4103-23 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
29
TNS4103-23 
-
-
-
-
30
M.Boleslav4103-33 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
31
HJK Helsinki4103-53 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
32
LASK Linz4022-32 
-
-
-
-
33
Istanbul4022-52 
-
-
-
-
34
Petrocub4013-81 
-
-
-
-
35
D Minsk4004-70 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
36
Larne4004-80 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
L. Warsaw have won 6 consecutive european games
10
L. Warsaw have not lost in 10 consecutive european games
6
L. Warsaw have kept a clean sheet for 6 consecutive european games
L. Warsaw 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
FC Lugano 8TH
16 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 16
Conceded
14 / 16
Clean sheets
2 / 16
Failed to score
3 / 16
Won
4
D
1
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Legia Warsaw have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Europa Conference matches. Their PG of 1.9 against FC Lugano on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Legia Warsaw's defensive record is to be admired, G. Feio's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Europa Conference outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for FC Lugano makes sense in this context.

L. Warsaw 2nd FC Lugano 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that L. Warsaw will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that FC Lugano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
L. Warsaw’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-31
FC Lugano have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287997/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
L. Warsaw
PG (predicted goals)
FC Lugano
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
23%
better
LEG
LUG
view stats
Games scored18
17
Failed to score2
3
Scored first13
8
Goals scored44
32
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for2.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
24%
better
LEG
LUG
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded19
28
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+24%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between L. Warsaw v FC Lugano will show here when available.

L. Warsaw Europa Conference squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10644
B KapustkaM GualR Morishita B Kapustka
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobylak GLK3
-
P Wszolek DEF92
2
-
R Pankov DEF91
-
S Kapuadi DEF711
3
-
P Kun DEF4
-
B Kapustka MID1022
4
-
J Çelhaka MID6
-
R Morishita  MID1024
1
-
K Chodyna MID711
1
-
Luquinhas MID941
1
-
M Gual FWD962
-
Subs
M Mendes-Dudzinski GLK
-
W. Banasik GLK
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF2
1
-
S Barcia DEF51
1
-
A Jedrzejczyk  DEF51
2
-
C Gonçalves MID61
1
-
M. Szczepaniak MID211
-
T Pekhart FWD83
1
-
M Alfarela FWD6
-
J Majchrzak FWD3
-
FC Lugano Europa Conference squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4113
A SaipiA PapadopoulosA GrgicA Hajdari 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Saipi GLK4
1
-
M Zanotti DEF2
-
A Papadopoulos DEF41
-
A Hajdari  DEF3
3
-
M Valenzuela  DEF2
1
-
A Grgic MID41
-
H Mahmoud MID411
1
-
R Steffen MID41
-
U Bislimi MID41
1
-
H Mahou MID41
1
-
M Bottani FWD3
1
1
Subs
S Osigwe GLK
-
C. Ndiaye GLK
-
A Wafi DEF2
-
M Marques DEF31
-
Z Brault-Guillard DEF2
-
L Mai DEF2
-
O Doumbia MID31
-
Y Cimignani MID2
-
D Correia MID41
-
K Przybylko FWD41
-