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FC Lugano v Celje : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 13th Mar, 17:45 BST, Stockhorn Arena, Thun

Thursday evening at the Stockhorn Arena, and it’s a Europa Conference showdown between FC Lugano and Celje. Mattia Croci-Torti and Albert Riera Ortega going all-out to guide their side to the win. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that FC Lugano and Celje will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Mattia Croci-Torti or Albert Riera Ortega has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to about a 80% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think FC Lugano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
FC Lugano 56%	4/6 2%	8/11 1%
Draw 22%	3/1 3%	11/4 1%
Celje 22%	15/4 6%	16/5 5%
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1 7%	6/1
FC Lugano 2-1 10%	13/2	13/2
FC Lugano 1-0 9%	7/1 7%	13/2
FC Lugano 2-0 9%	8/1 5%	15/2
FC Lugano 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Celje 2-1 6%	14/1	11/1
FC Lugano 3-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	11/1
Celje 1-0 5%	14/1	11/1 9%
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1 15%	10/1
FC Lugano 3-2 3%	20/1	16/1
Celje 2-0 3%	25/1 13%	18/1 12%
FC Lugano 4-1 3%	25/1	18/1
FC Lugano 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	20/1
Celje 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	4/6 3%	13/20 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	23/20 3%	21/20 3%
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/9 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 15%	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/6	4/6
BTTS - No 43%	11/10	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 28%	11/5 2%	9/4 2%
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 5%	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1 7%	6/1 8%
Home/draw 78%	2/11	1/5 2%
Away/draw 44%	23/20 2%	21/20 3%
Home/away 78%	2/9 2%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/9	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	3/1	11/4 1%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	13/8 5%	8/5
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	4/9 3%	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	4/1 9%	17/5 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/6 3%	2/13 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	10/1	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/20	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33 1%	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1 15%	9/1 5%
Home DNB 71%	2/7 1%	3/10 2%
Away DNB 38%	5/2 3%	11/5 3%
FC Lugano win to nil 28%	9/4	-
Celje win to nil 10%	8/1	-
FC Lugano / FC Lugano 31%	13/8 5%	13/8 3%
FC Lugano / Celje 3%	33/1	25/1
FC Lugano / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / FC Lugano 18%	7/2	18/5
Draw / Celje 8%	9/1 5%	8/1 6%
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	9/2
Celje / FC Lugano 4%	18/1	16/1
Celje / Celje 11%	13/2 7%	11/2
Celje / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Europa Conference table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	FC Lugano Celje
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Chelsea	6	6	0	0	21	18	-	-	-	-
2	V. Guimaraes	6	4	2	0	7	14	-	-	-	-
3	Fiorentina	6	4	1	1	11	13	-	-	-	-
4	Rapid Wien	6	4	1	1	6	13	-	-	-	-
5	Djurgårdens	6	4	1	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
6	FC Lugano Home	6	4	1	1	4	13	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 13
7	L. Warsaw	6	4	0	2	8	12	-	-	-	-
8	Cercle B	6	3	2	1	7	11	-	-	-	-
9	Jagiellonia	6	3	2	1	5	11	-	-	-	-
10	Shamrock	6	3	2	1	3	11	-	-	-	-
11	Apoel	6	3	2	1	3	11	-	-	d 2-2F	w 0-2F
12	Paphos	6	3	1	2	4	10	-	-	-	-
13	Panathinaikos	6	3	1	2	3	10	-	-	-	-
14	Olimpija	6	3	1	2	1	10	-	-	-	-
15	Real Betis	6	3	1	2	1	10	-	-	-	-
16	Heidenheim	6	3	1	2	0	10	-	-	-	-
17	Gent	6	3	0	3	0	9	-	-	-	-
18	Kobenhavn	6	2	2	2	-1	8	-	-	-	-
19	Víkingur	6	2	2	2	-1	8	-	-	-	-
20	Borac Banja Luka	6	2	2	2	-3	8	-	-	-	-
21	Celje Away	6	2	1	3	0	7	Mar 13	l 1-0A	-	-
22	Omnia Nicosia	6	2	1	3	0	7	-	-	-	-
23	Molde	6	2	1	3	-1	7	-	-	-	-
24	Backa Topola	6	2	1	3	-3	7	-	-	-	-
25	Hearts	6	2	1	3	-3	7	-	-	-	-
26	Istanbul	6	1	3	2	-3	6	-	-	-	-
27	M.Boleslav	6	2	0	4	-3	6	-	-	-	-
28	Astana	6	1	2	3	-4	5	-	-	-	-
29	St Gallen	6	1	2	3	-8	5	-	-	-	-
30	HJK Helsinki	6	1	1	4	-6	4	-	-	-	-
31	Noah	6	1	1	4	-10	4	-	-	-	-
32	TNS	6	1	0	5	-5	3	-	-	-	-
33	D Minsk	6	1	0	5	-9	3	-	-	-	-
34	Larne	6	1	0	5	-9	3	-	-	-	-
35	LASK Linz	6	0	3	3	-10	3	-	-	-	-
36	Petrocub	6	0	2	4	-9	2	-	-	-	-
37	Pyunik Yerevan							-	-	w 4-1F	l 1-0A

	Next round
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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 17

Conceded

11 / 17

Clean sheets

6 / 17

Failed to score

7 / 17

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
FC Lugano	2 - 2	Paphos
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Gent
FC Lugano	3 - 0	HJK Helsinki
FC Lugano	3 - 3	Besiktas
FC Lugano	1 - 2	P. Belgrade
FC Lugano	3 - 4	Fenerbahce
FC Lugano	0 - 2	Besiktas
FC Lugano	1 - 3	Brugge
FC Lugano	0 - 0	Bodø
FC Lugano	0 - 1	Union SG
FC Lugano	0 - 2	Beer Sheva
FC Lugano	0 - 1	Kobenhavn
FC Lugano	0 - 0	Malmö
FC Lugano	0 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
FC Lugano	1 - 0	Beer Sheva
FC Lugano	3 - 2	Plzen
FC Lugano	1 - 2	Steaua

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	FC Lugano	0 - 1	Celje
H	FC Lugano	2 - 2	Paphos
A	FC Lugano	2 - 1	L. Warsaw
H	FC Lugano	2 - 0	Gent
A	FC Lugano	1 - 4	Backa Topola
A	FC Lugano	1 - 0	M.Boleslav
H	FC Lugano	3 - 0	HJK Helsinki
A	FC Lugano	1 - 5	Besiktas
H	FC Lugano	3 - 3	Besiktas
H	FC Lugano	1 - 2	P. Belgrade
A	FC Lugano	1 - 0	P. Belgrade
A	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Fenerbahce
H	FC Lugano	3 - 4	Fenerbahce
H	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Besiktas
A	FC Lugano	2 - 5	Bodø
A	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Brugge
H	FC Lugano	1 - 3	Brugge
A	FC Lugano	3 - 2	Besiktas
H	FC Lugano	0 - 0	Bodø
H	FC Lugano	0 - 1	Union SG

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 11

Conceded

8 / 11

Clean sheets

3 / 11

Failed to score

3 / 11

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Apoel	0 - 2	Celje
Paphos	2 - 0	Celje
Real Betis	2 - 1	Celje
V. Guimaraes	3 - 1	Celje
Pyunik Yerevan	1 - 0	Celje
Shamrock	2 - 1	Celje
S. Bratislava	5 - 0	Celje
Flora Tallinn	0 - 5	Celje
M. Tel-Aviv	4 - 1	Celje
Neman Grodno	1 - 4	Celje
V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Celje

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Celje	1 - 0	FC Lugano
A	Celje	2 - 0	Apoel
H	Celje	2 - 2	Apoel
H	Celje	3 - 2	TNS
A	Celje	0 - 2	Paphos
H	Celje	3 - 3	Jagiellonia
A	Celje	1 - 2	Real Betis
H	Celje	5 - 1	Istanbul
A	Celje	1 - 3	V. Guimaraes
H	Celje	4 - 1	Pyunik Yerevan
A	Celje	0 - 1	Pyunik Yerevan
A	Celje	1 - 2	Shamrock
H	Celje	1 - 0	Shamrock
A	Celje	0 - 5	S. Bratislava
H	Celje	1 - 1	S. Bratislava
H	Celje	2 - 1	Flora Tallinn
A	Celje	5 - 0	Flora Tallinn
H	Celje	1 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Celje	1 - 4	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Celje	4 - 1	Neman Grodno

Goal Statistics

FC Lugano have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Europa Conference games. Their PG of 1.9 against Celje on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	FC Lugano 6th	Celje 21st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that FC Lugano will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Celje will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
17 home / away league games	-15 FC Lugano have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 Celje’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2024/2024 season

LUG

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		17
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	5		11
Goals scored	32		38
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.9
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		18
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.9
KickOff rating		+19%

LUG

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		16
Clean sheets	3		4
Conceded first	15		9
Goals conceded	34		32
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.5
KickOff rating		+12%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between FC Lugano v Celje will show here when available.

FC Lugano Europa Conference squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	4
A Saipi	H Mahmoud	A Grgic	A Hajdari

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Saipi GLK	7			1 -
A Papadopoulos DEF	7	1		1
A Grgic MID	7		2	1 -
H Mahmoud MID	7	2	1	2 -
R Steffen FWD	7	1		1 -
K Przybylko FWD	7		1	1 -
A Hajdari DEF	6	1		4 -
M Bottani MID	6	2		3 1
U Bislimi MID	6		1	3 -
D Correia MID	6	1		-
H Mahou FWD	6	1		1 -
M Zanotti DEF	5		2	1 -
M Valenzuela DEF	5			1 -
O Doumbia MID	5	1		-
M Marques DEF	4	1		-
L Mai DEF	4			-
A Wafi DEF	4			-
Y Cimignani MID	4			-
Z Brault-Guillard DEF	2			-
S Vladi FWD	2		1	-
I Aliseda FWD	2			-
G Koutsias FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	11
H Mahmoud	M Bottani	A Grgic	R Steffen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Mahmoud MID	2	5	1	3
M Bottani MID	2	6		4
R Steffen FWD	1	4		11
A Hajdari DEF	1	1		1
D Correia MID	1	1		2
H Mahou FWD	1	2		5
A Papadopoulos DEF	1	4		1
O Doumbia MID	1	2		1
M Marques DEF	1	3		2
I Aliseda FWD		1		1
S Vladi FWD		2	1	2
Z Brault-Guillard DEF				1
Y Cimignani MID		1
M Zanotti DEF		1	2	5
M Valenzuela DEF		1		3
U Bislimi MID		3	1	7
K Przybylko FWD		1	1	6
A Grgic MID		1	2	5
G Koutsias FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
422	16	42
A Hajdari	A Papadopoulos	R Steffen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Hajdari DEF	422	8	26
A Papadopoulos DEF	396	16	34
A Grgic MID	388	9	19
A Saipi GLK	331	1	3
U Bislimi MID	313	14	33
R Steffen FWD	297	6	42
M Zanotti DEF	193	8	28
M Valenzuela DEF	191	11	20
H Mahmoud MID	159	9	26
H Mahou FWD	130	6	22
M Bottani MID	118	4	18
M Marques DEF	114	9	22
Z Brault-Guillard DEF	96	7	10
O Doumbia MID	83	8	14
I Aliseda FWD	76	4	10
L Mai DEF	62	3	10
K Przybylko FWD	46		14
A Wafi DEF	42	2	3
D Correia MID	32		1
Y Cimignani MID	21	1	5
S Vladi FWD	16		7
G Koutsias FWD	9	1	4

Celje Europa Conference squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	7	7	4
J Nieto	A Kucys	S Sešlar	A Kucys

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Nieto DEF	11	2		2 -
E. de Paula Santos Filho FWD	11	2		1 -
K. Nemanič DEF	10	1		3 -
A Matko FWD	10	1	2	-
D Vuklisevic DEF	9			-
Žan Karničnik DEF	9			1 -
S Sešlar MID	9	1	7	1 -
T Svetlin MID	9	3		1 -
M Kvesic MID	9			1 1
M. Zabukovnik MID	8		1	2 -
M Dulca MID	8			-
A Kucys FWD	7	7	1	4 -
M Rozman GLK	6			1 -
C. Lhernault MID	6			-
N Kouter MID	5			2 -
R Silva GLK	3			-
L Bejger DEF	3			-
L Delaurier-Chaubet FWD	3		1	-
M. Kavčič DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	8	7	8
A Kucys	A Matko	S Sešlar	S Sešlar

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Kucys FWD	7	6	1	6
T Svetlin MID	3	5		4
J Nieto DEF	2	2		3
E. de Paula Santos Filho FWD	2	3		3
K. Nemanič DEF	1
A Matko FWD	1	8	2	6
S Sešlar MID	1	7	7	8
L Delaurier-Chaubet FWD		3	1	1
N Kouter MID		1
M. Zabukovnik MID		2	1	3
M Kvesic MID		2		5
Žan Karničnik DEF				4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
413	19	45
K. Nemanič	J Nieto	T Svetlin

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K. Nemanič DEF	413	11	27
J Nieto DEF	377	19	44
S Sešlar MID	346	15	38
M. Zabukovnik MID	339	11	27
Žan Karničnik DEF	323	16	31
T Svetlin MID	301	19	45
D Vuklisevic DEF	214	4	12
M Kvesic MID	162	2	12
L Bejger DEF	126	1	8
M Dulca MID	122	6	14
M Rozman GLK	111	1	1
A Kucys FWD	79	3	40
R Silva GLK	78		2
C. Lhernault MID	73	1	6
A Matko FWD	73	4	26
L Delaurier-Chaubet FWD	64	8	18
E. de Paula Santos Filho FWD	38	3	17
N Kouter MID	25	2	2

European Europa Conference match betting previews, predictions and odds

Cercle B v Jagiellonia

Rapid Wien v Borac Banja Luka

Thu 13th Mar, 17:45

Chelsea v Kobenhavn

Thu 13th Mar, 20:00

Fiorentina v Panathinaikos

Thu 13th Mar, 20:00

V. Guimaraes v Real Betis

Thu 13th Mar, 20:00

L. Warsaw v Molde

Thu 13th Mar, 20:00

FC Lugano v Celje : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between FC Lugano v Celje will show here when available.

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