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Spain v Croatia : Euro 24 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Luis De la Fuente Castillo and Zlatko Dalić pit their wits in the Euro 24 on Saturday evening, as Spain face Croatia at the Olympiastadion Berlin. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Spain's next match is v Germany at 17:00 on Friday 5th July
The last International Euro 24 meeting between Spain and Croatia was on Saturday 15th June 2024
International Euro 24
June 15th 2024
Spain 3
0 Croatia
 
Á. Morata Martín 29'
F. Ruiz Peña 32'
D. Carvajal Ramos 45'
 
ESP
CRO
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
3
8
Corners
5
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
SpainCroatia
 
U. Simón Mendibil
M. Cucurella
D. Carvajal Ramosfootball icon
J. Fernández Iglesias
R. Le Normand
P. López (D. Olmo Carvajal 59')
F. Ruiz Peñafootball icon
Rodri (M. Zubimendi Ibáñez 86')
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana (F. Torres García 86')
N. Williams Arthuer (M. Oyarzabal Ugarte 68')
Á. Morata Martínfootball icon (M. Merino Zazón 67')
D. Livaković
J. Stanisic
M. Pongracic
J. Gvardiol
J. Šutalo
M. Brozović
(M. Pašalić 65') L. Modrić
(L. Sučić 65') M. Kovačić
L. Majer
(I. Perišić 56') A. Budimir
(B. Petković 72') A. Kramarić
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Spain and Croatia have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in the European Championships individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spain are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spain
51%
9/10
12%
17/20
11%
Draw
25%
12/5
3%
12/5
3%
Croatia
23%
16/5
20%
10/3
2%
Spain 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Spain 2-0
10%
8/1
6%
13/2
Spain 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
10%
13/2
21%
Croatia 1-0
8%
10/1
27%
17/2
14%
Croatia 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Spain 3-0
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Spain 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
13%
Croatia 2-0
4%
20/1
28%
16/1
11%
Spain 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
20/1
Spain 4-0
2%
40/1
41%
22/1
10%
Spain 4-1
2%
40/1
41%
22/1
Croatia 3-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/619/20
5%
BTTS - No
51%
5/64/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
15%
3/1
11%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
8%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
15%
7/1
6%
Home/draw
77%
2/9
4%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
49%
10/11
9%
10/11
9%
Home/away
75%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
-
Home DNB
69%
4/11
9%
1/3
3%
Away DNB
41%
2/1
20%
2/1
12%
Spain win to nil
30%
2/1
9%
-
Croatia win to nil
13%
6/1
22%
-
Spain / Spain
26%
11/5
16%
2/1
11%
Spain / Croatia
2%
40/128/1
15%
Spain / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Draw / Spain
18%
4/1
11%
10/3
Draw / Croatia
10%
8/1
18%
7/1
16%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
17%
18/5
12%
Croatia / Spain
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
10%
Croatia / Croatia
12%
6/1
18%
6/1
7%
Croatia / Draw
5%
16/112/1
13%
bet365
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Group B table
Spain
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Croatia
Date TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS Date
-
 Spain Home330059 
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
 Italy311104 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
 Croatia Away3021-32 
-
w
 
0-1F
 Albania3012-21 
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
Spain
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
see results
Last 20 games
HSpain5 - 1N Ireland
HSpain5 - 0Andorra
HSpain3 - 3Brazil
HSpain0 - 1Colombia
HSpain3 - 1Georgia
ASpain3 - 1Cyprus
ASpain1 - 0Norway
HSpain2 - 0Scotland
HSpain6 - 0Cyprus
ASpain7 - 1Georgia
ASpain0 - 2Scotland
HSpain3 - 0Norway
ASpain0 - 0Morocco
ASpain1 - 2Japan
HSpain1 - 1Germany
HSpain7 - 0Costa Rica
ASpain1 - 0Portugal
HSpain1 - 2Switzerland
HSpain2 - 0Czech Rep
ASpain1 - 0Switzerland
Croatia
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
see results
Last 20 games
ACroatia2 - 1Portugal
HCroatia3 - 0Macedonia
ACroatia4 - 2Egypt
ACroatia0 - 0Tunisia
HCroatia1 - 0Armenia
ACroatia2 - 0Latvia
ACroatia1 - 2Wales
HCroatia0 - 1Turkey
ACroatia1 - 0Armenia
HCroatia5 - 0Latvia
ACroatia2 - 0Turkey
HCroatia1 - 1Wales
HCroatia2 - 1Morocco
ACroatia0 - 3Argentina
HCroatia0 - 0Brazil
ACroatia1 - 1Japan
HCroatia0 - 0Belgium
HCroatia4 - 1Canada
ACroatia0 - 0Morocco
ACroatia3 - 1Austria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Spain since 2018
Spain
Croatia
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
1 / 1
0 / 1
Clean sheets
1 / 1
0 / 1
ESP
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spain
Spain6 - 0
All games since 2012
Spain
Croatia
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
ESP
3
CRO
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
3 - 5Spain
Croatia3 - 2
Spain6 - 0
Croatia2 - 1
0 - 1Spain
Goal Statistics

Spain's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Croatia have conceded in each of their last 8 Euro 24 outings. A PG of 1.6 for L. De la Fuente Castillo's side suggests that run should continue.

Spain Croatia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Croatia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
=0
Spain’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Croatia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274257/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Spain
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
1.6
1
Attack rating past 20 games
%
better
ESP
CRO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
%
Defence rating past 20 games
%
better
ESP
CRO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
%

The line-ups for the Euro 24 match between Spain v Croatia will show here when available.

Spain Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3222
U SimónF RuizF RuizRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK3
-
D Carvajal DEF31
1
-
N Fernández DEF1
-
R Normand DEF4
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF3
-
Pedri MID31
-
Rodri MID31
2
-
F Ruiz MID322
-
L Yamal FWD42
-
Álvaro Morata FWD41
1
-
N Williams FWD311
-
Subs
Álex Remiro GLK
-
D Raya GLK1
-
A Grimaldo DEF2
-
A Laporte DEF3
-
J Navas DEF2
-
D Vivian DEF1
1
-
Álex Baena MID2
-
M Zubimendi MID2
-
F. Lopez Marin MID1
-
M Merino MID4
-
Joselu FWD1
-
D Olmo FWD311
-
F Torres FWD31
-
M Oyarzabal FWD41
-
A Pérez FWD1
-
Croatia Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3121
D LivakovicL ModricA BudimirJ Stanisic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Livakovic GLK3
-
J Stanisic DEF2
1
-
J Sutalo DEF3
-
M Pongracic  DEF2
1
-
J Gvardiol DEF3
-
L Modric MID31
1
-
M Brozovic  MID3
1
-
M Kovacic MID3
-
L Majer FWD3
-
A Budimir FWD32
-
A Kramaric FWD31
-
Subs
N Labrovic GLK
-
I Ivusic GLK
1
-
M Erlic DEF
-
B Sosa DEF1
-
D Vida DEF
-
J Juranovic DEF2
-
N Vlasic MID
-
M Pasalic MID3
-
L Ivanusec MID1
1
-
L Sučić MID3
1
-
M Baturina MID1
-
I Perisic FWD3
-
B Petkovic FWD2
-
M Pjaca FWD
-
M Pašalić FWD
-