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Portugal v Slovenia : Euro 24 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main), Frankfurt am Main

It's a long trek for Matjaž Kek's Slovenia side on Monday night, as they make their way to the Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main) for a Euro 24 showdown with Roberto Martínez Montoliú's Portugal. This preview has odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Portugal's next match is v France at 20:00 on Friday 5th July
The last International Euro 24 meeting between Portugal and Slovenia was on Monday 1st July 2024
International Euro 24
July 1st 2024
Portugal 0
0 Slovenia
 
POR
SVN
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
8
6
Corners
7
3
Possession
72%
28%
Fouls
8
17
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
PortugalSlovenia
 
D. Meireles Costa
J. Cavaco Cancelo (R. Da Silva Neves 118')
N. Mendes
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
K. Laveran Lima Ferreira (N. Cabral Semedo 117')
B. Fernandes
V. Machado Ferreira (D. Jota 65')
B. Silva
J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves
R. Conceição Leão (F. Conceição 76')
C. Ronaldo
J. Oblak
Ž. Karničnik
J. Balkovec
J. Bijol
V. Drkušić
(B. Verbič 87') P. Stojanović
A. Čerin
(J. Iličić 106') T. Elšnik
B. Šeško
(Ž. Celar 74') J. Mlakar
(J. Gorenc Stankovič 74') A. Šporar
Best Tip: Portugal to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Portugal. Their recent form stats show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Slovenia too. The odds point towards Roberto Martínez Montoliú's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Monday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
72%
4/11
1%
1/3
8%
Draw
18%
4/1
11%
17/4
19%
Slovenia
10%
8/1
6%
17/2
19%
Portugal 2-0
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Portugal 1-0
12%
6/1
17%
5/1
14%
Portugal 3-0
10%
8/113/2
6%
Portugal 2-1
9%
17/27/1
Draw 1-1
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
13%
Portugal 3-1
7%
12/1
13%
9/1
9%
Portugal 4-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
26%
10/1
29%
Portugal 4-1
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
Slovenia 1-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Slovenia 2-1
3%
25/120/1
11%
Portugal 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
9%
Portugal 5-0
2%
28/1
29%
18/1
27%
Portugal 5-1
2%
40/1
20%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
12%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/10
19%
-
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
35%
10/3
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
7%
11/10
7%
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
8%
4/6
6%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
9/4
13%
21/10
16%
BTTS - Draw
12%
11/211/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
15%
Home/draw
90%
1/14
2%
1/16
2%
Away/draw
28%
2/1
9%
9/4
16%
Home/away
82%
1/6
2%
1/6
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3
27%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
21%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1
23%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/6
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
37%
-
Home DNB
84%
1/9
2%
1/12
3%
Away DNB
23%
11/2
8%
6/1
22%
Portugal win to nil
44%
11/10
5%
-
Slovenia win to nil
5%
12/1
18%
-
Portugal / Portugal
43%
1/1
5%
10/11
9%
Portugal / Slovenia
2%
50/140/1
Portugal / Draw
5%
18/116/1
Draw / Portugal
21%
3/114/5
Draw / Slovenia
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Slovenia / Portugal
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Slovenia / Slovenia
5%
16/112/1
18%
Slovenia / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win form
4
Slovenia have drawn 4 consecutive games
9
Slovenia have not lost in 9 consecutive games
Portugal
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
L
4
see results
Last 20 games
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
HPortugal3 - 2Slovakia
HPortugal9 - 0Luxembourg
APortugal1 - 0Slovakia
APortugal1 - 0Iceland
HPortugal3 - 0Bosnia
APortugal6 - 0Luxembourg
HPortugal4 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal0 - 1Morocco
HPortugal6 - 1Switzerland
Slovenia
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
see results
Last 20 games
ASlovenia0 - 0England
HSlovenia1 - 1Serbia
HSlovenia1 - 1Denmark
HSlovenia1 - 1Bulgaria
HSlovenia2 - 1Armenia
HSlovenia2 - 0Portugal
ASlovenia2 - 2Malta
ASlovenia1 - 0USA
HSlovenia2 - 1Kazakhstan
ASlovenia1 - 2Denmark
ASlovenia1 - 0N Ireland
HSlovenia3 - 0Finland
ASlovenia4 - 0San Marino
HSlovenia4 - 2N Ireland
HSlovenia1 - 1Denmark
ASlovenia0 - 2Finland
HSlovenia2 - 0San Marino
ASlovenia2 - 1Kazakhstan
ASlovenia1 - 1Sweden
HSlovenia2 - 1Norway
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Portugal in their clash with Slovenia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive Euro 24 outings.

Portugal Slovenia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Slovenia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+44
Portugal have scored 44% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Slovenia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280086/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Slovenia
2.2
0.7
Attack rating past 20 games
10%
better
POR
SVN
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score3
2
Scored first15
13
Goals scored60
33
Avg. goals scored3
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
19
Avg. XG for1.8
1
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating past 20 games
14%
better
POR
SVN
view stats
Games conceded9
13
Clean sheets11
7
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded15
17
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Euro 24 match between Portugal v Slovenia will show here when available.

Portugal Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
D CostaB FernandesC RonaldoR Leão
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK4
-
J Cancelo DEF3
1
-
R Dias DEF3
-
Pepe  DEF3
-
N Mendes  DEF3
-
B Fernandes MID31
-
J Palhinha MID3
1
-
Vitinha MID3
-
B Silva MID31
-
R Leão MID3
2
-
C Ronaldo FWD41
1
-
Subs
J Sá GLK
-
R Patrício GLK
-
D Dalot DEF2
-
D Pereira DEF1
-
G Inácio DEF2
-
A Silva DEF2
-
N Semedo DEF4
-
J Neves MID2
-
M Nunes MID1
-
R Neves MID3
1
-
G Ramos FWD1
-
J Félix FWD1
-
D Jota  FWD3
-
P Neto FWD3
1
-
F Conceição FWD31
1
-
Slovenia Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
J OblakŽan KarničnikT ElsnikJ Bijol
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK4
-
Žan Karničnik DEF41
1
-
V Drkusic DEF4
1
-
J Bijol DEF4
2
-
J Balkovec DEF2
1
-
P Stojanovic MID4
1
-
A Cerin MID4
-
T Elsnik MID41
-
J Mlakar MID4
-
A Sporar FWD4
-
B Sesko FWD4
-
Subs
V Belec GLK
-
I Vekic GLK
-
M Blazic DEF
-
D Brekalo DEF2
-
J Stankovic MID4
1
-
B Verbic MID3
-
S Lovric MID
-
J Kurtic MID1
-
T Horvat MID
-
A Zeljkovic MID
-
J Ilicic MID2
-
Z Vipotnik FWD1
1
-
Z Celar FWD3
1
-
N Zugelj FWD
-