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Portugal v France : Euro 24 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

The Euro 24 is the focus for both Portugal and France on Friday night, as managers Roberto Martínez Montoliú and Didier Deschamps go head to head at the Volksparkstadion. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every major market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Euro 24 clash.

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The last International Euro 24 meeting between Portugal and France was on Friday 5th July 2024
International Euro 24
July 5th 2024
Portugal 0
0 France
 
POR
FRA
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
5
9
Corners
10
3
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
PortugalFrance
 
D. Meireles Costa
J. Cavaco Cancelo (N. Cabral Semedo 74')
N. Mendes
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
K. Laveran Lima Ferreira
B. Fernandes (F. Conceição 74')
V. Machado Ferreira (M. Nunes 119')
B. Silva
J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves (Y. Fofana 91')
R. Conceição Leão (J. Sequeira 106')
C. Ronaldo
M. Maignan
D. Upamecano
J. Koundé
T. Hernández
W. Saliba
N. Kanté
(R. Da Silva Neves 90') E. Camavinga
A. Tchouaméni
(M. Thuram 86') R. Kolo Muani
(B. Barcola 106') K. Mbappé
(O. Dembélé 67') A. Griezmann
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Portugal and France haven't typically treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in the Euro 24 individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of France coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
32%
12/5
5%
11/5
Draw
27%
19/10
6%
2/1
6%
France
40%
7/5
1%
7/5
1%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
4%
France 1-0
11%
13/2
15%
11/2
8%
Portugal 1-0
10%
17/2
12%
7/1
14%
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2
7%
11/2
France 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
France 2-0
7%
10/19/1
11%
Portugal 2-1
7%
12/19/1
Portugal 2-0
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
France 3-1
4%
22/116/1
France 3-0
3%
22/118/1
12%
Portugal 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Portugal 3-0
2%
40/125/1
France 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Portugal 3-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
13/10
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/13
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/8
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
13/2
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
5/6
9%
10/11
7%
BTTS - No
50%
5/6
6%
5/6
8%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
9%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
8%
4/1
5%
Home/draw
60%
8/1511/20
1%
Away/draw
68%
3/10
2%
1/3
1%
Home/away
73%
2/5
3%
4/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/3
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/1-
Home DNB
51%
6/523/20
Away DNB
59%
8/138/13
Portugal win to nil
18%
9/2
10%
-
France win to nil
23%
11/4
7%
-
Portugal / Portugal
15%
9/24/1
Portugal / France
3%
33/122/1
Portugal / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Portugal
12%
6/111/2
Draw / France
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
4%
3/1
5%
France / Portugal
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
France / France
21%
3/129/10
5%
France / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
7
France have not lost in 7 consecutive games
Portugal
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
France
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Portugal since 2006
Portugal
France
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
1 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
3 / 4
D
2
FRA
2
All games since 2000
Portugal
France
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
4 / 6
D
4
FRA
2
Goal Statistics

France's defensive record is to be admired, D. Deschamps's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Euro 24 matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Portugal makes sense in this context.

Portugal France
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Portugal will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that France will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+32
Portugal have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
-23
France have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282829/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
France
1.1
1.3
Attack rating past 20 games
3%
better
POR
FRA
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first14
13
Goals scored54
47
Avg. goals scored2.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game14
13
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating past 20 games
POR
FRA
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets12
12
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded14
13
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+4%

The line-ups for the Euro 24 match between Portugal v France will show here when available.

Portugal Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
D CostaB SilvaC RonaldoJ Palhinha
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK5
-
J Cancelo DEF4
1
-
R Dias DEF4
-
Pepe  DEF4
-
N Mendes  DEF4
-
Vitinha MID4
-
J Palhinha MID4
2
-
B Silva MID41
-
B Fernandes MID41
-
R Leão MID4
2
-
C Ronaldo FWD51
1
-
Subs
J Sá GLK
-
R Patrício GLK
-
N Semedo DEF5
-
D Dalot DEF2
-
D Pereira DEF1
-
G Inácio DEF2
-
A Silva DEF2
-
J Neves MID2
-
M Nunes MID2
-
R Neves MID3
1
-
G Ramos FWD1
-
J Félix FWD2
-
D Jota  FWD3
-
P Neto FWD3
1
-
F Conceição FWD41
1
-
France Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5101
M Maignan K MbappéW Saliba
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK5
-
J Koundé DEF5
-
D Upamecano DEF5
-
W Saliba DEF5
1
-
T Hernández DEF5
-
N Kanté  MID5
-
A Tchouameni MID4
1
-
E Camavinga MID3
-
A Griezmann FWD5
1
-
K Mbappé FWD41
1
-
R Muani FWD4
-
Subs
B Samba GLK
-
A Areola GLK
-
B Pavard DEF
-
F Mendy DEF
-
J Clauss  DEF
-
I Konaté DEF
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID
-
Y Fofana MID2
-
O Giroud FWD3
-
O Dembélé FWD4
1
-
M Thuram FWD4
-
K Coman FWD1
-
B Barcola FWD2
-
International Euro 24 match betting previews, predictions and odds