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Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 14:00 BST, The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Thomas Frank welcomes Unai Emery to The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday afternoon, as their Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa troops meet in the English Premier League. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Spurs and A Villa will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spurs are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spurs
46%
2.05
14%
2.15
Draw
25%
3.753.50
A Villa
30%
3.25
12%
3.30
Draw 1-1
12%
7.50
6%
6.50
Spurs 1-0
10%
9.00
6%
8.00
Spurs 2-1
9%
9.508.50
Spurs 2-0
8%
12.00
20%
10.00
A Villa 1-0
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
A Villa 2-1
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
Draw 0-0
6%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
Spurs 3-1
5%
19.00
12%
13.00
A Villa 2-0
5%
19.00
17%
15.00
Spurs 3-0
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
Spurs 3-2
3%
29.0019.00
A Villa 3-1
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
A Villa 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Spurs 4-1
2%
41.00
21%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.801.75
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
2.001.95
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.73
7%
1.75
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.20
8%
2.25
No 1st Goal
4%
12.009.50
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70
3%
1.67
BTTS - No
44%
2.05
3%
2.10
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.00
7%
3.80
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75
5%
4.20
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.00
14%
5.50
Home/draw
70%
1.33
3%
1.33
Away/draw
54%
1.73
11%
1.70
Home/away
75%
1.251.30
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.25
3%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4.00
7%
3.60
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.202.80
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.361.36
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5.505.00
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.141.13
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.00
15%
9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
8%
9.50
Home DNB
63%
1.53
9%
1.53
Away DNB
47%
2.38
13%
2.38
Spurs win to nil
23%
3.75
15%
-
A Villa win to nil
15%
6.00
14%
-
Spurs / Spurs
24%
3.40
13%
3.30
Spurs / A Villa
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Spurs / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Spurs
16%
5.50
10%
5.00
Draw / A Villa
11%
8.00
11%
7.00
Draw / Draw
15%
6.005.00
A Villa / Spurs
4%
23.0019.00
A Villa / A Villa
15%
5.50
21%
5.25
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Spurs
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal75111116 
Feb 21
Nov 23
Dec 6
Dec 30
2
Liverpool7502415 
Dec 20
Mar 14
May 17
Nov 1
3
Spurs7421814 
-
-
May 2
Oct 19
4
Bournemouth7421314 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 7
Nov 9
Feb 7
5
Man City7412913 
Jan 31
w
 
0-2F
Oct 26
May 24
6
C Palace7331412 
Mar 4
Dec 27
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
7
Chelsea7322411 
Nov 1
May 17
Mar 4
Dec 27
8
Everton7322211 
May 24
Oct 26
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
9
Sunderland7322111 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
10
Man Utd7313-210 
Nov 8
Feb 7
Dec 20
Mar 14
11
Newcastle723219 
Feb 11
Dec 3
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
12
Brighton723209 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2A
Feb 11
Dec 3
13
A Villa7232-19 
Oct 19
May 2
-
-
14
Fulham7223-38 
Nov 29
Feb 28
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
15
Leeds7223-48 
May 9
w
 
1-2F
Feb 21
Nov 23
16
Brentford7214-37 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
17
Nottm Forest7124-75 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Jan 3
Apr 11
18
Burnley7115-84 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
w
 
2-1F
May 9
19
West Ham7115-104 
Jan 17
w
 
0-3F
Mar 21
Dec 13
20
Wolves7025-92 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
Nov 30
Feb 28
Win / draw / win form
Spurs 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs1 - 1Wolves
Spurs0 - 1Bournemouth
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Spurs0 - 2C Palace
Spurs1 - 2Nottm Forest
Spurs3 - 1Southampton
Spurs2 - 2Bournemouth
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
Spurs1 - 2Leicester
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Spurs2 - 2Wolves
Spurs3 - 6Liverpool
Spurs3 - 4Chelsea
Spurs1 - 1Fulham
Spurs1 - 2Ipswich
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Spurs4 - 1West Ham
Spurs3 - 1Brentford
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASpurs2 - 1Leeds
HSpurs1 - 1Wolves
ASpurs2 - 2Brighton
ASpurs3 - 0West Ham
HSpurs0 - 1Bournemouth
ASpurs2 - 0Man City
HSpurs3 - 0Burnley
HSpurs1 - 4Brighton
ASpurs0 - 2A Villa
HSpurs0 - 2C Palace
ASpurs1 - 1West Ham
ASpurs1 - 5Liverpool
HSpurs1 - 2Nottm Forest
ASpurs2 - 4Wolves
HSpurs3 - 1Southampton
ASpurs0 - 1Chelsea
ASpurs0 - 2Fulham
HSpurs2 - 2Bournemouth
HSpurs0 - 1Man City
ASpurs4 - 1Ipswich
A Villa 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Spurs since 1992
Spurs
A Villa
Goals: Scored
49
33
Games: Scored
22 / 30
19 / 30
Clean sheets
11 / 30
8 / 30
TOT
15
D
7
AVL
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spurs
Spurs4 - 1
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Spurs2 - 1
1 - 2A Villa
Spurs3 - 1
Spurs3 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Spurs3 - 0
Spurs2 - 0
Spurs2 - 0
Spurs2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2A Villa
Draw4 - 4Draw
Spurs2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Spurs5 - 1
Spurs2 - 1
Spurs1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 4A Villa
Spurs1 - 0
Spurs3 - 2
Spurs1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
3 - 4A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Spurs
Goals: Scored
33
41
Games: Scored
22 / 30
23 / 30
Clean sheets
7 / 30
8 / 30
TOT
11
D
8
AVL
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 0
0 - 4Spurs
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 4Spurs
0 - 2Spurs
2 - 3Spurs
0 - 2Spurs
1 - 2Spurs
0 - 2Spurs
0 - 4Spurs
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Spurs
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Spurs
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 1Spurs
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Tottenham Hotspur have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Aston Villa on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Spurs 3rd A Villa 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Spurs will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Spurs have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-23
A Villa have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Spurs
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
48%
better
TOT
AVL
view stats
Games scored6
3
Failed to score1
4
Scored first4
2
Goals scored13
6
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for21
12
Avg. XG for1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
22%
better
TOT
AVL
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded5
7
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded15
7
Conversion rate against7%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+22%

Spurs v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Spurs Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7343
G VicarioRicharlisonM Kudus C Romero
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Vicario GLK7
-
C Romero DEF71
3
-
P Porro DEF7
1
-
M Ven DEF71
1
-
J Palhinha MID72
2
-
M Kudus  FWD714
2
-
B Johnson FWD72
1
-
W Odobert FWD7
-
Richarlison FWD732
1
-
D Spence DEF6
2
-
L Bergvall MID611
1
-
P Sarr MID612
-
R Bentancur  MID6
-
D Udogie DEF5
-
M Tel FWD51
-
X Simons MID41
1
-
K Danso DEF3
-
A Gray MID2
-
D Solanke FWD2
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7222
M CashD MalenM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF71
2
-
L Digne DEF71
2
-
M Rogers MID72
-
J McGinn MID71
1
-
O Watkins FWD71
-
D Malen FWD72
-
L Bogarde DEF6
1
-
T Mings DEF6
-
E Konsa DEF6
1
E Buendía MID611
2
-
E Guessand FWD6
-
E Martínez GLK5
1
-
B Kamara MID52
1
-
I Maatsen DEF4
1
-
P Torres DEF4
-
Y Tielemans MID4
-
V Lindelöf DEF3
-
H Elliot MID3
-
A Onana MID3
1
-
M Bizot GLK2
1
-
R Barkley MID1
-
J Sancho FWD1
-