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Southampton v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

The English Premier League is the focus for both Southampton and Manchester City on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Ivan Juric and Pep Guardiola battle it out at the St. Mary's Stadium. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
14%
--
Draw
19%
--
Man City
67%
--
Man City 2-0
11%
--
Man City 1-0
10%
--
Man City 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Man City 3-0
8%
--
Man City 3-1
7%
--
Man City 4-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Man City 4-1
4%
--
Southampton 1-0
4%
--
Southampton 2-1
4%
--
Man City 3-2
3%
--
Man City 5-0
2%
--
Man City 4-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
39%
--
Away 1st Goal
59%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
7%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
31%
--
Home/draw
33%
--
Away/draw
86%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
27%
--
Away DNB
81%
--
Southampton win to nil
6%
--
Man City win to nil
37%
--
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Southampton have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 26 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 80 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 17 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 14 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 45 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 4th place on 61 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 57 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Man City have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3324724479 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal34181333467 
May 25
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
3
Newcastle34195102162 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Man City Away3418792361 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Chelsea3417981960 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Nottm Forest3318691460 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
A Villa341699557 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
8
Fulham3414911451 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2A
May 25
9
Brighton3413129151 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
10
Bournemouth331310101249 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
May 18
l
 
2-1A
11
Brentford3313713646 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
C Palace34111211-445 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-2A
d
 
2-2A
13
Wolves3412517-1041 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
May 2
w
 
1-2A
14
Everton3481412-738 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Man Utd3310815-838 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
16
Spurs33114181037 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
17
West Ham349916-1936 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
18
Ipswich344921-4121 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-6F
19
Leicester344624-4918 
l
 
2-3F
May 3
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Southampton H342527-5511 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Southampton3 - 1West Brom
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 0Preston
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
50
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
D
3
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton1 - 2Fulham
ASouthampton1 - 1West Ham
HSouthampton0 - 3A Villa
ASouthampton1 - 3Spurs
HSouthampton1 - 1C Palace
HSouthampton1 - 2Wolves
ASouthampton1 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 4Chelsea
HSouthampton0 - 4Brighton
HSouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
ASouthampton2 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 3Newcastle
ASouthampton2 - 3Nottm Forest
ASouthampton1 - 3Man Utd
HSouthampton0 - 5Brentford
ASouthampton1 - 2C Palace
HSouthampton0 - 1West Ham
ASouthampton0 - 0Fulham
HSouthampton0 - 5Spurs
ASouthampton0 - 1A Villa
Man City 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Everton0 - 2Man City
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man City
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Ipswich0 - 6Man City
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Leicester0 - 2Man City
A Villa2 - 1Man City
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
West Ham1 - 3Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Spurs0 - 2Man City
Fulham0 - 4Man City
Nottm Forest0 - 2Man City
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
HMan City3 - 1Chelsea
AMan City6 - 0Ipswich
AMan City2 - 2Brentford
HMan City4 - 1West Ham
AMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City1 - 1Everton
AMan City1 - 2A Villa
HMan City1 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 2C Palace
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Man City have not lost to Southampton in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Southampton since 1993
Southampton
Man City
Goals: Scored
17
29
Games: Scored
10 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
9 / 19
SOU
4
D
5
MCI
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
1 - 4Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man City
Southampton1 - 0
1 - 3Man City
0 - 1Man City
0 - 3Man City
Southampton4 - 2
0 - 3Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man City
Southampton2 - 0
0 - 2Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Southampton
Goals: Scored
42
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
4 / 20
SOU
3
D
5
MCI
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man City4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man City5 - 2
Man City2 - 1
Man City6 - 1
Man City2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 2
Man City2 - 1
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
Man City2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City1 - 0
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Southampton fans, as should a 9 English Premier League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Manchester City's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Southampton 20th Man City 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
Southampton have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
2.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278152/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
0.9
2.2
Attack rating
SOU
MCI
42%
better
view stats
Games scored20
28
Failed to score13
6
Scored first10
19
Goals scored24
65
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.9
Avg. shots per game6
12
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1
1.8
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
SOU
MCI
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
24
Clean sheets3
10
Conceded first22
14
Goals conceded77
43
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against2.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+34%

Southampton v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
324310
K Walker-PetersP OnuachuM FernandesM Fernandes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Walker-Peters DEF322
5
-
M Fernandes MID3223
10
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF311
9
-
C Archer FWD312
-
J Aribo MID303
1
-
T Obling FWD302
9
-
Y Sugawara DEF2911
5
-
J Bednarek DEF282
7
-
A Ramsdale GLK26
2
-
L Ugochukwu MID2311
5
-
F Downes MID231
10
-
P Onuachu FWD2341
4
-
R Manning DEF221
3
-
K Sulemana FWD2211
1
-
J Stephens DEF161
2
2
J Bree DEF151
-
W Smallbone MID141
1
-
A Lallana MID142
6
-
N Wood DEF9
2
-
R Fraser FWD81
1
R Stewart FWD8
2
-
Welington  DEF7
1
-
C Taylor DEF7
1
-
A McCarthy GLK5
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF4
-
A Grönbaek MID4
-
J Lumley GLK3
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
322187
J GvardiolE HaalandS SávioB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gvardiol DEF335
2
-
I Gündogan MID305
1
-
B Silva MID2934
7
-
M Kovacic MID2861
7
-
E Haaland FWD28213
2
-
S Sávio FWD2718
5
-
R Lewis DEF2612
4
1
J Doku FWD2536
1
-
P Foden FWD2572
2
-
K Bruyne MID2437
2
-
R Dias DEF23
5
-
M Nunes MID2315
4
-
Ederson GLK224
2
-
M Akanji DEF22
4
-
J Grealish FWD1911
4
-
S Ortega GLK13
1
-
J McAtee MID133
1
-
O Marmoush FWD126
-
J Stones DEF112
2
-
N Aké  DEF10
-
N González  MID8
3
-
A. Khusanov DEF6
1
-
Rodri MID2
-
O Bobb FWD2
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF1
-