Southampton's team badge Brighton and Hove Albion's team badge

Southampton v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Home advantage is often beneficial in the English Premier League, and Ivan Juric’s Southampton will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion are their visitors to the St. Mary's Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Ivan Juric readies his troops ahead of kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Stats imply both teams are strong in attack, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Brighton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
22%
5.25
17%
4.80
11%
Draw
21%
3.90
3%
4.20
5%
Brighton
57%
1.62
3%
1.65
5%
Brighton 2-1
10%
9.007.50
Draw 1-1
9%
8.507.50
Brighton 2-0
8%
10.00
9%
8.00
11%
Brighton 1-0
7%
10.00
9%
8.00
6%
Brighton 3-1
7%
13.0010.00
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
9%
Southampton 2-1
6%
19.00
12%
13.00
8%
Brighton 3-0
5%
15.00
12%
11.00
8%
Brighton 3-2
4%
23.0017.00
13%
Southampton 1-0
4%
19.0013.00
Brighton 4-1
4%
23.00
12%
17.00
Draw 0-0
3%
15.0012.00
8%
Brighton 4-0
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
Southampton 2-0
3%
34.00
17%
21.00
11%
Southampton 3-2
3%
41.00
21%
26.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1.62
3%
1.60
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
2.30
2%
2.25
2%
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.88
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.40
1%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.62
5%
1.65
5%
BTTS - No
37%
2.20
2%
2.15
4%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
8.50
21%
7.00
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
32%
3.103.00
Home/draw
43%
2.25
7%
2.20
7%
Away/draw
78%
1.17
2%
1.18
3%
Home/away
79%
1.25
2%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.20
6%
1.18
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4.50
10%
4.33
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
2.50
2%
2.45
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
1.53
3%
1.50
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
4.50
4%
4.20
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1.20
1%
1.20
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.07
2%
1.07
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.03
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
15.0012.00
8%
Home DNB
37%
3.75
10%
3.50
13%
Away DNB
72%
1.25
2%
1.25
4%
Southampton win to nil
9%
11.00
10%
-
Brighton win to nil
25%
3.25
4%
-
Southampton / Southampton
11%
8.50
13%
7.00
8%
Southampton / Brighton
4%
21.0017.00
Southampton / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw / Southampton
8%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Draw / Brighton
18%
4.75
5%
4.40
4%
Draw / Draw
13%
7.006.00
Brighton / Southampton
3%
34.0026.00
Brighton / Brighton
32%
2.60
5%
2.50
4%
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Southampton have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 54 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 30 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Brighton lay in 8th place on 37 points in the Premier League league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2417613557 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
May 18
l
 
2-1F
2
Arsenal2515822953 
May 25
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Nottm Forest2414551347 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
4
Chelsea2512761343 
l
 
1-5A
Feb 25
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
5
Man City2412571341 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
6
Newcastle2412571341 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
7
Bournemouth2411761340 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
Feb 25
w
 
1-2F
8
Brighton Away259106037 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
-
-
9
A Villa241077-337 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
Apr 1
d
 
2-2F
10
Fulham24996436 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
3-1A
11
Brentford249411031 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
12
C Palace24798-230 
Apr 2
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
Apr 5
13
Man Utd248511-629 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
14
Spurs2483131127 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 5
w
 
3-2A
May 25
15
Everton24699-527 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
16
West Ham247611-1727 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
17
Wolves245415-1819 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
May 10
18
Leicester254516-3017 
l
 
2-3F
May 3
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
19
Ipswich243714-2716 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
20
Southampton H242319-369 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Southampton3 - 1West Brom
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 0Preston
Southampton3 - 2Watford
Southampton2 - 1Coventry
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Southampton4 - 2Sunderland
Southampton1 - 2Millwall
Southampton1 - 2Hull
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton2 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 3Newcastle
ASouthampton2 - 3Nottm Forest
ASouthampton1 - 3Man Utd
HSouthampton0 - 5Brentford
ASouthampton1 - 2C Palace
HSouthampton0 - 1West Ham
ASouthampton0 - 0Fulham
HSouthampton0 - 5Spurs
ASouthampton0 - 1A Villa
HSouthampton1 - 5Chelsea
ASouthampton1 - 1Brighton
HSouthampton2 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 2Wolves
HSouthampton1 - 0Everton
ASouthampton0 - 1Man City
HSouthampton2 - 3Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 3Arsenal
ASouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
HSouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
Brighton 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest7 - 0Brighton
Man Utd1 - 3Brighton
Ipswich0 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
West Ham1 - 1Brighton
Leicester2 - 2Brighton
Fulham3 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth1 - 2Brighton
Liverpool2 - 1Brighton
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Chelsea4 - 2Brighton
Arsenal1 - 1Brighton
Everton0 - 3Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth3 - 0Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Brentford0 - 0Brighton
Liverpool2 - 1Brighton
Fulham3 - 0Brighton
Sheff Utd0 - 5Brighton
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton0 - 7Nottm Forest
HBrighton0 - 1Everton
ABrighton3 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton2 - 0Ipswich
HBrighton1 - 1Arsenal
ABrighton2 - 2A Villa
HBrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton1 - 3C Palace
ABrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 3Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Southampton
ABrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton1 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton2 - 2Wolves
ABrighton1 - 0Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 2Spurs
ABrighton2 - 4Chelsea
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Brighton have not lost to Southampton in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Southampton since 2006
Southampton
Brighton
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
SOU
2
D
5
BHA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
1 - 3Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Brighton
Southampton2 - 1
League games at Brighton since 2006
Brighton
Southampton
Goals: Scored
14
16
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
SOU
5
D
4
BHA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Southampton
0 - 2Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 0
1 - 2Southampton
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Southampton
Goal Statistics
Southampton 20th Brighton 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Brighton will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Southampton have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278049/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.3
2.1
Attack rating
SOU
BHA
41%
better
view stats
Games scored14
21
Failed to score10
4
Scored first8
14
Goals scored18
38
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game6
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
SOU
BHA
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
19
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first15
10
Goals conceded54
38
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded13
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against2.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+23%

Southampton v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22329
T Harwood-BellisJ AriboK Walker-PetersF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Harwood-Bellis DEF231
8
-
J Aribo MID233
1
-
K Walker-Peters DEF222
5
-
M Fernandes MID2212
7
-
Y Sugawara DEF2111
4
-
C Archer FWD212
-
J Bednarek DEF202
5
-
T Obling FWD202
6
-
F Downes MID181
9
-
A Ramsdale GLK16
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID141
3
-
P Onuachu FWD142
1
-
R Manning DEF13
1
-
A Lallana MID132
4
-
K Sulemana FWD12
-
J Stephens DEF11
2
2
J Bree DEF111
-
N Wood DEF8
2
-
W Smallbone MID8
-
R Fraser FWD8
1
C Taylor DEF7
1
-
A McCarthy GLK5
-
R Stewart FWD4
1
-
J Lumley GLK3
-
Welington  DEF1
1
-
A Grönbaek MID1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23657
B VerbruggenK MitomaJ Pedro C Quomah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mitoma FWD2564
-
G Rutter FWD2443
2
-
B Verbruggen GLK231
5
-
J Hecke DEF231
4
-
C Quomah MID2121
6
1
Y Ayari MID21
3
-
Y Minteh FWD2052
6
-
L Dunk DEF19
4
-
J Veltman DEF19
4
-
J Pedro  FWD1955
3
-
D Welbeck FWD1964
2
-
P Estupiñán DEF181
3
-
S Adingra FWD1721
-
M Wieffer MID1312
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID131
3
-
Igor DEF12
4
-
M O'Riley MID1211
1
-
T Lamptey  DEF1122
-
B Gruda FWD11
-
A Webster DEF7
-
F Kadioglu DEF61
1
-
D Amarilla MID3
-
J Milner  MID3
1
-
J Steele GLK2
-
S March FWD2
1
-