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Southampton v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Apr, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

the St. Mary's Stadium masses welcome Aston Villa's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Ivan Juric's Southampton take on Unai Emery's team in the English Premier League. You'll see statistics supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Premier League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Ivan Juric readies his troops ahead of kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both clubs have the weapons to deliver up top, and have had few problems in finding the back of the net of late. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the fixture, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
22%
4/1-
Draw
21%
16/5
3%
-
A Villa
56%
8/13
1%
-
A Villa 2-1
10%
8/1-
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1-
A Villa 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
A Villa 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
A Villa 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
-
Southampton 2-1
6%
16/1-
A Villa 3-0
6%
14/1-
Southampton 1-0
5%
18/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
-
A Villa 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
-
A Villa 4-1
3%
22/1-
Southampton 2-0
3%
28/1
15%
-
A Villa 4-0
3%
25/1-
Southampton 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
15/8-
Away 1st Goal
54%
2/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - No
39%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
30%
21/10
3%
-
Home/draw
44%
5/4
2%
-
Away/draw
78%
1/6-
Home/away
79%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
13/8
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1/2
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
7/2
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
37%
11/4-
Away DNB
71%
1/4-
Southampton win to nil
9%
9/1-
A Villa win to nil
26%
2/1
8%
-
Southampton / Southampton
10%
15/2-
Southampton / A Villa
4%
20/1-
Southampton / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Southampton
8%
10/1-
Draw / A Villa
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
A Villa / Southampton
3%
33/1-
A Villa / A Villa
33%
8/5
4%
-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Southampton have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 71 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 15 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 12 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 40 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

A Villa lay in 7th place on 48 points in the Premier League league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3022714373 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal30171033061 
May 25
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Nottm Forest3017671557 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
4
Chelsea3015781752 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Man City3015691751 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 22
6
Newcastle2915591050 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
7
A Villa Away301398-148 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Brighton3012117347 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
9
Fulham301299445 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-3A
10
Bournemouth30128101144 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 10
11
Brentford3012513441 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
C Palace2910109340 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
13
Man Utd3010713-437 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
14
Spurs30104161134 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 6
May 18
l
 
4-1F
15
Everton3071310-534 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
16
West Ham309714-1734 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
17
Wolves308517-1729 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
18
Ipswich304818-3320 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Leicester304521-4217 
l
 
2-3F
May 3
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton H302424-4910 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
10
Southampton have not won in 10 consecutive home league games
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Southampton3 - 1West Brom
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 0Preston
Southampton3 - 2Watford
Southampton2 - 1Coventry
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
52
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
D
3
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton1 - 1C Palace
HSouthampton1 - 2Wolves
ASouthampton1 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 4Chelsea
HSouthampton0 - 4Brighton
HSouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
ASouthampton2 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 3Newcastle
ASouthampton2 - 3Nottm Forest
ASouthampton1 - 3Man Utd
HSouthampton0 - 5Brentford
ASouthampton1 - 2C Palace
HSouthampton0 - 1West Ham
ASouthampton0 - 0Fulham
HSouthampton0 - 5Spurs
ASouthampton0 - 1A Villa
HSouthampton1 - 5Chelsea
ASouthampton1 - 1Brighton
HSouthampton2 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 2Wolves
A Villa 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Leicester1 - 2A Villa
West Ham1 - 2A Villa
C Palace5 - 0A Villa
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Man City4 - 1A Villa
West Ham1 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
AA Villa2 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa1 - 0Everton
HA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa2 - 2Brighton
AA Villa0 - 3Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A Villa have beaten Southampton in 4 consecutive league meetings
4
A Villa have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Southampton
League games at Southampton since 1993
Southampton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
36
27
Games: Scored
17 / 21
16 / 21
Clean sheets
5 / 21
4 / 21
SOU
9
D
3
AVL
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
0 - 1A Villa
Southampton1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Southampton2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton6 - 1
2 - 3A Villa
Southampton4 - 1
2 - 3A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3A Villa
Southampton2 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
1 - 4A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton4 - 1
Southampton2 - 0
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Southampton
Goals: Scored
28
21
Games: Scored
16 / 22
12 / 22
Clean sheets
10 / 22
6 / 22
SOU
7
D
6
AVL
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa4 - 0
3 - 4Southampton
1 - 3Southampton
2 - 4Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Southampton
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
A Villa2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Southampton
A Villa3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Southampton of late. It has been 6 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Aston Villa.

Aston Villa's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Southampton 20th A Villa 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that A Villa will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Southampton have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
A Villa have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
2.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278111/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.2
2
Attack rating
SOU
AVL
34%
better
view stats
Games scored18
24
Failed to score12
6
Scored first10
13
Goals scored22
44
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
SOU
AVL
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
25
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first19
16
Goals conceded70
45
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded13
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against2.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%

Southampton v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
284310
K Walker-PetersP OnuachuM FernandesF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Aribo MID293
1
-
K Walker-Peters DEF282
5
-
M Fernandes MID2813
9
-
Y Sugawara DEF2711
5
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF271
8
-
C Archer FWD272
-
T Obling FWD262
8
-
J Bednarek DEF242
6
-
A Ramsdale GLK22
2
-
F Downes MID211
10
-
P Onuachu FWD2041
3
-
L Ugochukwu MID191
4
-
R Manning DEF18
3
-
K Sulemana FWD181
-
J Bree DEF141
-
A Lallana MID142
4
-
J Stephens DEF13
2
2
W Smallbone MID121
1
-
N Wood DEF9
2
-
R Fraser FWD8
1
C Taylor DEF7
1
-
A McCarthy GLK5
-
Welington  DEF5
1
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF4
-
A Grönbaek MID4
-
R Stewart FWD4
1
-
J Lumley GLK3
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301369
Y TielemansO WatkinsO WatkinsM Rogers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Tielemans MID3024
4
-
O Watkins FWD30136
1
-
E Martínez GLK29
3
-
L Digne DEF294
3
-
M Rogers MID2976
9
-
E Konsa DEF261
-
J McGinn MID263
6
-
L Bailey FWD2312
3
-
I Maatsen DEF221
2
-
J Ramsey MID2213
1
-
M Cash DEF2011
7
-
P Torres DEF191
1
-
A Onana MID182
4
-
B Kamara MID18
2
-
R Barkley MID1631
3
-
T Mings DEF10
2
-
L Bogarde MID8
2
-
D Malen FWD71
-
M Rashford FWD612
-
A Disasi DEF5
2
-
A García DEF5
-
M Asensio FWD531
-
R Olsen GLK3
-