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Newcastle United v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 12:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

We’ve English Premier League action to look forward to on Saturday lunch time, as Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side host Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth at the St. James' Park. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Newcastle or Bournemouth are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
49%
13/20
7%
4/6
7%
Draw
23%
31/10
9%
3/1
5%
Bournemouth
28%
15/4
13%
19/5
14%
Draw 1-1
11%
8/1
13%
13/2
7%
Newcastle 2-1
9%
8/113/2
Newcastle 1-0
9%
9/1
11%
7/1
14%
Newcastle 2-0
7%
9/115/2
6%
Bournemouth 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Bournemouth 1-0
6%
18/1
27%
12/1
18%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Newcastle 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
9/1
17%
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1
42%
11/1
20%
Newcastle 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
Bournemouth 2-0
4%
28/1
12%
20/1
24%
Newcastle 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
14/1
12%
Bournemouth 3-1
3%
40/125/1
13%
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
40/125/1
Newcastle 4-1
2%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
11%
4/7
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/8
21%
5/4
15%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/9
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
15/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
42%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
3%
8/13
7%
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
7%
6/5
10%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
21/10
11%
2/1
12%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
5%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
13/26/1
Home/draw
72%
2/11
1%
2/11
3%
Away/draw
51%
6/5
15%
23/20
8%
Home/away
77%
2/92/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/6
4%
2/11
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4/1
25%
17/5
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/8
21%
7/5
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/7
15%
8/15
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
10/3
21%
3/1
24%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/9
10%
1/5
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1
27%
13/2
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/12
5%
1/14
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Home DNB
65%
2/7
1%
1/4
6%
Away DNB
44%
5/2
8%
5/2
13%
Newcastle win to nil
23%
9/4-
Bournemouth win to nil
12%
9/1
25%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
32%
13/8
9%
6/4
7%
Newcastle / Bournemouth
3%
33/125/1
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Newcastle
18%
4/117/5
4%
Draw / Bournemouth
8%
10/1
16%
17/2
12%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
17%
19/4
5%
Bournemouth / Newcastle
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Bournemouth / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Bournemouth are in 7th position in the Premier League on 33 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Bournemouth have conceded 7 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1914412846 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 26
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
2
Arsenal2011722140 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
w
 
2-0F
May 3
3
Nottm Forest2012441040 
Feb 23
w
 
1-3A
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
4
Chelsea2010641536 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 14
5
Newcastle Home2010551235 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
6
Man City201046934 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
w
 
2-1F
May 18
7
Bournemouth A20965733 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
A Villa20956-232 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
May 10
d
 
1-1A
9
Fulham20794330 
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
10
Brighton206104128 
l
 
0-1A
May 3
l
 
1-2A
Feb 25
11
Brentford20839327 
Apr 2
l
 
4-2A
Mar 15
l
 
3-2F
12
Spurs2073101224 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
13
Man Utd20659-523 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-3F
14
West Ham20659-1523 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
15
C Palace20497-721 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
16
Everton19388-1017 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
17
Wolves204412-1416 
Jan 15
w
 
1-2A
Feb 22
w
 
2-4F
18
Ipswich203710-1516 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
Apr 1
w
 
1-2A
19
Leicester203512-2114 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
May 25
l
 
1-0A
20
Southampton201316-326 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Newcastle4 - 0Leicester
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 2West Ham
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Spurs
Newcastle1 - 0Southampton
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
Newcastle5 - 1Sheff Utd
Newcastle4 - 0Spurs
Newcastle1 - 1Everton
Newcastle4 - 3West Ham
Newcastle3 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 2Bournemouth
Newcastle4 - 4Luton
Newcastle2 - 3Man City
Newcastle1 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle3 - 0Fulham
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle2 - 0Man Utd
HNewcastle3 - 0A Villa
ANewcastle4 - 0Ipswich
HNewcastle4 - 0Leicester
ANewcastle2 - 4Brentford
HNewcastle3 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle1 - 1C Palace
HNewcastle0 - 2West Ham
ANewcastle3 - 1Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 0Arsenal
ANewcastle1 - 2Chelsea
HNewcastle0 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle0 - 0Everton
HNewcastle1 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Fulham
ANewcastle2 - 1Wolves
HNewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle1 - 1Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Southampton
Bournemouth 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fulham2 - 2Bournemouth
Man Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
Ipswich1 - 2Bournemouth
Wolves2 - 4Bournemouth
Brentford3 - 2Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
Leicester1 - 0Bournemouth
Liverpool3 - 0Bournemouth
Everton2 - 3Bournemouth
Nottm Forest1 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
Arsenal3 - 0Bournemouth
Wolves0 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
Luton2 - 1Bournemouth
Burnley0 - 2Bournemouth
Newcastle2 - 2Bournemouth
Fulham3 - 1Bournemouth
West Ham1 - 1Bournemouth
Spurs3 - 1Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBournemouth1 - 0Everton
ABournemouth2 - 2Fulham
HBournemouth0 - 0C Palace
ABournemouth3 - 0Man Utd
HBournemouth1 - 1West Ham
ABournemouth2 - 1Ipswich
HBournemouth1 - 0Spurs
ABournemouth4 - 2Wolves
HBournemouth1 - 2Brighton
ABournemouth2 - 3Brentford
HBournemouth2 - 1Man City
ABournemouth1 - 1A Villa
HBournemouth2 - 0Arsenal
ABournemouth0 - 1Leicester
HBournemouth3 - 1Southampton
ABournemouth0 - 3Liverpool
HBournemouth0 - 1Chelsea
ABournemouth3 - 2Everton
HBournemouth1 - 1Newcastle
ABournemouth1 - 1Nottm Forest
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bournemouth have not lost to Newcastle in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
NEW
2
D
2
BOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 1Bournemouth
1 - 3Bournemouth
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
NEW
2
D
4
BOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bournemouth2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Bournemouth on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newcastle United's defensive record is to be admired, Eddie Howe's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Bournemouth makes sense in this context.

Newcastle 5th Bournemouth 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Newcastle have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278012/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
11%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first9
9
Goals scored34
30
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.8
2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
8%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded22
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%

Newcastle v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201367
B GuimarãesA IsakJ MurphyJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hall DEF202
3
-
B Guimarães MID2015
3
-
H Barnes FWD2051
-
T Livramento  DEF19
-
D Burn DEF19
6
-
Joelinton MID1941
7
-
A Gordon FWD1954
1
-
S Tonali MID181
4
-
A Isak FWD18134
1
-
F Schär DEF172
5
1
J Willock MID171
2
-
S Longstaff MID17
2
-
J Murphy FWD1736
2
-
N Pope  GLK15
2
-
K Trippier DEF11
1
-
L Kelly DEF91
2
-
M Almirón FWD7
-
W Osula FWD6
-
M Dúbravka GLK5
-
E Krafth DEF3
-
C Wilson FWD3
1
-
L Miley MID2
-
M Targett DEF1
-
S Botman DEF1
1
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20646
I Zabarnyi J KluivertM TavernierR Christie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Zabarnyi  DEF20
2
-
M Kerkez DEF2013
2
-
L Cook MID1913
4
-
R Christie MID1911
6
-
J Kluivert FWD1962
5
-
Evanilson  FWD195
-
A Semenyo FWD1952
5
-
A Smith DEF18
3
-
E Ünal  FWD1721
2
-
D Ouattara FWD1733
-
M Tavernier MID1514
2
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK14
2
-
D. Huijsen DEF142
3
-
D Brooks  FWD132
1
-
M Senesi DEF11
4
-
T Adams MID10
3
-
P Billing MID10
1
-
J Araujo DEF8
1
-
A Scott MID8
-
L Sinisterra  FWD811
-
M Travers GLK4
-
J Hill DEF41
-
M Aarons DEF3
-