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Manchester United v Southampton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Jan, 20:00 BST, Old Trafford, Manchester

Erik ten Hag's Manchester United side will have home backing in the English Premier League on Thursday night, as Russell Martin's Southampton travel to the Old Trafford. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping , but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Man Utd and Southampton will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Erik ten Hag or Russell Martin has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.17 equating to about a 77% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man Utd 57%	2/7 5%	2/7 3%
Draw 23%	9/2 5%	19/4 5%
Southampton 20%	8/1 29%	17/2 19%
Man Utd 1-0 11%	17/2 27%	13/2
Draw 1-1 11%	11/1 9%	17/2 6%
Man Utd 2-0 10%	13/2 7%	11/2 7%
Man Utd 2-1 10%	9/1 5%	7/1 7%
Draw 0-0 6%	16/1 31%	14/1
Man Utd 3-0 6%	8/1 5%	13/2 6%
Southampton 1-0 6%	25/1 37%	18/1 12%
Man Utd 3-1 6%	11/1 8%	17/2
Southampton 2-1 5%	28/1 26%	20/1 11%
Draw 2-2 5%	22/1 12%	16/1 13%
Southampton 2-0 3%	50/1 24%	33/1 17%
Man Utd 3-2 3%	28/1	18/1 12%
Man Utd 4-0 3%	14/1 12%	10/1 8%
Man Utd 4-1 3%	18/1 17%	12/1
Southampton 3-1 2%	66/1 31%	45/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	8/15 12%	1/2
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	6/4 19%	29/20 2%
Home 1st Goal 55%	2/9 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	10/3 8%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	16/1 31%	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	10/11 5%	10/11 4%
BTTS - No 48%	10/11 9%	5/6 4%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	7/4 14%	17/10
BTTS - Draw 17%	6/1	11/2 8%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	14/1 15%	12/1 18%
Home/draw 80%	1/14 3%	1/16 1%
Away/draw 43%	5/2 17%	5/2 9%
Home/away 77%	1/7 3%	2/15 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1/6 4%	2/13 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	4/1 15%	19/5
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	13/10 16%	6/5 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	8/13 13%	3/5 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	3/1 20%	27/10 1%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/4 7%	1/4
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	6/1 30%	11/2 7%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/10 4%	1/11 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/40 2%	1/66
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	16/1 31%	14/1
Home DNB 73%	1/10 4%	1/14 3%
Away DNB 36%	6/1 27%	6/1 17%
Man Utd win to nil 32%	6/5	-
Southampton win to nil 10%	16/1 31%	-
Man Utd / Man Utd 44%	10/11 7%	17/20 3%
Man Utd / Southampton 2%	50/1	40/1 21%
Man Utd / Draw 4%	20/1 11%	16/1 13%
Draw / Man Utd 21%	3/1	14/5 5%
Draw / Southampton 5%	20/1 24%	14/1
Draw / Draw 10%	8/1 20%	13/2
Southampton / Man Utd 5%	18/1 10%	16/1
Southampton / Southampton 5%	18/1 27%	12/1 18%
Southampton / Draw 4%	20/1	16/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Man Utd have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Man Utd have played 10 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Southampton are in 20th position in the Premier League on 6 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Southampton are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Southampton have conceded 44 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Man Utd Southampton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Liverpool	19	14	4	1	28	46	l 0-3A	d 2-2F	l 2-3A	Mar 8
2	Arsenal	20	11	7	2	21	40	Mar 8	l 2-0A	May 25	l 3-1F
3	Nottm Forest	20	12	4	4	10	40	l 2-3A	Apr 1	l 0-1A	Jan 19
4	Chelsea	20	10	6	4	15	36	d 1-1F	May 18	l 1-5A	Feb 26
5	Newcastle	20	10	5	5	12	35	l 0-2A	Apr 12	Jan 25	l 1-0A
6	Man City	20	10	4	6	9	34	Apr 5	w 1-2A	May 10	l 1-0A
7	Bournemouth	20	9	6	5	7	33	l 0-3A	Apr 26	Feb 15	l 3-1A
8	A Villa	20	9	5	6	-2	32	May 25	d 0-00-0	Apr 12	l 1-0A
9	Fulham	20	7	9	4	3	30	w 1-0F	Jan 26	Apr 26	d 0-00-0
10	Brighton	20	6	10	4	1	28	Jan 19	l 2-1A	Feb 22	d 1-1A
11	Brentford	20	8	3	9	3	27	w 2-1A	May 3	l 0-5A	l 3-1A
12	Spurs	20	7	3	10	12	24	l 0-3A	Feb 16	l 0-5A	Apr 5
13	Man Utd Home	20	6	5	9	-5	23	-	-	l 0-3A	Jan 16
14	West Ham	20	6	5	9	-15	23	May 10	l 2-1A	l 0-1A	Apr 19
15	C Palace	20	4	9	7	-7	21	Feb 2	d 0-00-0	Apr 2	l 2-1F
16	Everton	19	3	8	8	-10	17	w 4-0F	Feb 22	w 1-0F	May 18
17	Wolves	20	4	4	12	-14	16	Apr 19	l 2-0A	Mar 15	l 2-0A
18	Ipswich	20	3	7	10	-15	16	Feb 26	d 1-1F	d 1-1F	Feb 1
19	Leicester	20	3	5	12	-21	14	w 3-0F	Mar 15	l 2-3F	May 3
20	Southampton A	20	1	3	16	-32	6	Jan 16	w 0-3F	-	-

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Man Utd have lost 3 consecutive home league games

Southampton have lost 3 consecutive league games

Southampton have not won in 10 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd	0 - 2	Newcastle
Man Utd	0 - 3	Bournemouth
Man Utd	2 - 3	Nottm Forest
Man Utd	4 - 0	Everton
Man Utd	3 - 0	Leicester
Man Utd	1 - 1	Chelsea
Man Utd	2 - 1	Brentford
Man Utd	0 - 3	Spurs
Man Utd	0 - 3	Liverpool
Man Utd	1 - 0	Fulham
Man Utd	3 - 2	Newcastle
Man Utd	0 - 1	Arsenal
Man Utd	1 - 1	Burnley
Man Utd	4 - 2	Sheff Utd
Man Utd	2 - 2	Liverpool
Man Utd	2 - 0	Everton
Man Utd	1 - 2	Fulham
Man Utd	3 - 0	West Ham
Man Utd	2 - 2	Spurs
Man Utd	3 - 2	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Man Utd	2 - 2	Liverpool
H	Man Utd	0 - 2	Newcastle
A	Man Utd	0 - 2	Wolves
H	Man Utd	0 - 3	Bournemouth
A	Man Utd	2 - 1	Man City
H	Man Utd	2 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Man Utd	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	Man Utd	4 - 0	Everton
A	Man Utd	1 - 1	Ipswich
H	Man Utd	3 - 0	Leicester
H	Man Utd	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Man Utd	1 - 2	West Ham
H	Man Utd	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Man Utd	0 - 0	A Villa
H	Man Utd	0 - 3	Spurs
A	Man Utd	0 - 0	C Palace
A	Man Utd	3 - 0	Southampton
H	Man Utd	0 - 3	Liverpool
A	Man Utd	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Man Utd	1 - 0	Fulham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace	2 - 1	Southampton
Fulham	0 - 0	Southampton
A Villa	1 - 0	Southampton
Brighton	1 - 1	Southampton
Wolves	2 - 0	Southampton
Man City	1 - 0	Southampton
Arsenal	3 - 1	Southampton
Bournemouth	3 - 1	Southampton
Brentford	3 - 1	Southampton
Newcastle	1 - 0	Southampton
Leeds	0 - 1	Southampton
West Brom	0 - 0	Southampton
Leeds	1 - 2	Southampton
Leicester	5 - 0	Southampton
Cardiff	2 - 1	Southampton
Blackburn	0 - 0	Southampton
Ipswich	3 - 2	Southampton
Birmingham	3 - 4	Southampton
West Brom	0 - 2	Southampton
Bristol C	3 - 1	Southampton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Southampton	0 - 5	Brentford
A	Southampton	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Southampton	0 - 1	West Ham
A	Southampton	0 - 0	Fulham
H	Southampton	0 - 5	Spurs
A	Southampton	0 - 1	A Villa
H	Southampton	1 - 5	Chelsea
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Southampton	2 - 3	Liverpool
A	Southampton	0 - 2	Wolves
H	Southampton	1 - 0	Everton
A	Southampton	0 - 1	Man City
H	Southampton	2 - 3	Leicester
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Arsenal
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Bournemouth
H	Southampton	1 - 1	Ipswich
H	Southampton	0 - 3	Man Utd
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Brentford
H	Southampton	0 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Southampton	0 - 1	Newcastle

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Man Utd have not lost to Southampton in 15 consecutive league meetings

Man Utd have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Southampton

Man Utd

Southampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

20 / 24

16 / 24

Clean sheets

8 / 24

4 / 24

MNU

SOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Man Utd	9 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Man Utd	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Man Utd	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Southampton
	0 - 1	Southampton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Man Utd	2 - 1
Man Utd	3 - 0
Man Utd	3 - 2
Man Utd	2 - 1
Man Utd	6 - 1
Man Utd	5 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Man Utd	2 - 1
Man Utd	1 - 0
Man Utd	2 - 1
Man Utd	4 - 1
Man Utd	2 - 1
Man Utd	2 - 0
Man Utd	2 - 1

Southampton

Man Utd

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

18 / 25

22 / 25

Clean sheets

3 / 25

7 / 25

MNU

SOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
	0 - 3	Man Utd
	0 - 1	Man Utd
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Man Utd
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Man Utd
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Man Utd
	1 - 2	Man Utd
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Man Utd
	1 - 2	Man Utd
Southampton	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Man Utd
	1 - 3	Man Utd
Southampton	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Man Utd
	0 - 3	Man Utd
Southampton	1 - 0
Southampton	6 - 3
Southampton	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Man Utd
	0 - 1	Man Utd

Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Southampton on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for Southampton of late. It has been 8 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Manchester United.

	Man Utd 13th	Southampton 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Man Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-28 Southampton have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season

28%

better

MNU

SOU

view stats

Games scored	12		10
Failed to score	8		10
Scored first	7		5
Goals scored	23		12
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.6
Avg. shots per game	9		6
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate for	12		9
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+28%

26%

better

MNU

SOU

view stats

Games conceded	14		18
Clean sheets	6		2
Conceded first	11		14
Goals conceded	28		44
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.6		2.4
KickOff rating		+26%

Man Utd v Southampton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	6	6
A Onana	B Fernandes	B Fernandes	L Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Onana GLK	20			-
D Dalot DEF	20		1	4 -
N Mazraoui DEF	20		1	1 -
J Zirkzee FWD	20	3	1	1 -
B Fernandes MID	19	4	6	2 2
A Garnacho FWD	19	3	1	1 -
M Ligt DEF	18	1		3 -
A Diallo FWD	18	3	6	3 -
L Martínez DEF	17	1	1	6 -
M Rashford FWD	15	4	1	2 -
R Höjlund FWD	15	2		1 -
Casemiro MID	14	1		1 -
M Ugarte MID	14			5 -
K Mainoo MID	14			5 -
H Maguire DEF	13			5 -
C Eriksen MID	11			2 -
M Mount MID	8			2 -
L Yoro DEF	7			1 -
J Evans DEF	6			1 -
Antony FWD	6			-
V Lindelöf DEF	5			1 -
T Malacia DEF	2			1 -
L Shaw DEF	2			-
T. Collier MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	17	6	34
B Fernandes	A Garnacho	B Fernandes	B Fernandes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Fernandes MID	4	14	6	34
M Rashford FWD	4	9	1	12
J Zirkzee FWD	3	8	1	7
A Garnacho FWD	3	17	1	9
A Diallo FWD	3	10	6	21
R Höjlund FWD	2	6		7
M Ligt DEF	1	7		2
L Martínez DEF	1	5	1	6
Casemiro MID	1	5		14
A Onana GLK				1
L Yoro DEF		1
T Malacia DEF				1
Antony FWD		2		1
M Ugarte MID				5
M Mount MID		2		2
C Eriksen MID				12
H Maguire DEF		1		3
K Mainoo MID		1		11
D Dalot DEF		4	1	11
N Mazraoui DEF		2	1	4
T. Collier MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1099	63	123
L Martínez	N Mazraoui	N Mazraoui

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Martínez DEF	1099	34	54
B Fernandes MID	937	41	91
N Mazraoui DEF	915	63	123
D Dalot DEF	887	46	83
M Ligt DEF	876	14	54
A Onana GLK	710	1	7
K Mainoo MID	568	32	84
A Diallo FWD	544	29	82
Casemiro MID	539	39	72
H Maguire DEF	521	11	39
M Ugarte MID	397	40	70
C Eriksen MID	373	11	14
A Garnacho FWD	340	13	46
M Rashford FWD	310	7	29
J Zirkzee FWD	213	8	29
J Evans DEF	193	7	22
R Höjlund FWD	163	2	40
L Yoro DEF	156	9	10
L Shaw DEF	101	2	2
M Mount MID	87	6	11
T Malacia DEF	46	1	4
Antony FWD	38	5	10
V Lindelöf DEF	35	3	5
T. Collier MID	19	4	7

Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	2	2	7
T Harwood-Bellis	J Aribo	K Walker-Peters	T Harwood-Bellis

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	19	1		7 -
J Aribo MID	19	2		-
C Archer FWD	19	2		-
T Obling FWD	19	2		5 -
K Walker-Peters DEF	18		2	4 -
M Fernandes MID	18	1	1	5 -
Y Sugawara DEF	17	1	1	3 -
A Armstrong FWD	17	2	2	4 -
J Bednarek DEF	16			4 -
F Downes MID	16	1		7 -
A Ramsdale GLK	13			1 -
R Manning DEF	11			1 -
A Lallana MID	11		2	4 -
J Stephens DEF	10			2 2
L Ugochukwu MID	10			2 -
B Díaz FWD	10			1 -
P Onuachu FWD	9			1 -
K Sulemana FWD	9			-
N Wood DEF	7			2 -
C Taylor DEF	7			1 -
J Bree DEF	7			-
R Fraser FWD	7			1
A McCarthy GLK	4			-
W Smallbone MID	4			-
R Stewart FWD	4			1 -
J Lumley GLK	3			-
S Edozie FWD	2			1 -
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD	2			1 -
M Cornet FWD	2			1 -
R Edwards DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	8	2	12
J Aribo	A Armstrong	K Walker-Peters	M Fernandes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Archer FWD	2	7
A Armstrong FWD	2	8	2	7
T Obling FWD	2	7		9
J Aribo MID	2	6		8
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	1	4		5
F Downes MID	1	3		5
Y Sugawara DEF	1	3	1	10
M Fernandes MID	1	7	1	12
C Taylor DEF				1
R Stewart FWD				1
W Smallbone MID		1
R Fraser FWD		1		2
J Bree DEF		1		6
B Díaz FWD		1
N Wood DEF				1
K Sulemana FWD				1
P Onuachu FWD		4		3
L Ugochukwu MID				4
J Stephens DEF				1
A Lallana MID			2	3
R Manning DEF				12
J Bednarek DEF				1
K Walker-Peters DEF		5	2	7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1292	44	100
T Harwood-Bellis	M Fernandes	M Fernandes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	1292	13	53
J Bednarek DEF	1155	17	56
K Walker-Peters DEF	915	21	79
F Downes MID	730	32	72
M Fernandes MID	607	44	100
J Stephens DEF	603	15	21
J Aribo MID	507	23	68
Y Sugawara DEF	500	24	42
A Ramsdale GLK	495		5
N Wood DEF	360	9	25
T Obling FWD	354	22	88
R Manning DEF	267	14	46
A Armstrong FWD	233	12	25
A Lallana MID	231	7	21
L Ugochukwu MID	192	17	33
J Bree DEF	187	4	10
B Díaz FWD	156	3	21
C Archer FWD	145	8	34
C Taylor DEF	145	7	15
J Lumley GLK	135		3
W Smallbone MID	101	7	10
A McCarthy GLK	99		1
R Fraser FWD	85	6	13
P Onuachu FWD	83	3	45
K Sulemana FWD	55	5	11
R Stewart FWD	45		10
S Edozie FWD	29	3	6
M Cornet FWD	19	5	9
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD	7	1	3
R Edwards DEF	5

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Chelsea v Bournemouth

Nottm Forest v Liverpool

Man Utd v Southampton

Thu 16th Jan, 20:00

Newcastle v Bournemouth

Sat 18th Jan, 12:30

Brentford v Liverpool

Nottm Forest v Southampton

Southampton v Newcastle

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Wolves v Arsenal

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Bournemouth v Nottm Forest

Manchester United v Southampton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Man Utd have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Southampton are in 20th position in the Premier League on 6 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Southampton are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Man Utd v Southampton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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