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Manchester City v Southampton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Oct, 15:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

the Etihad Stadium faithful welcome Southampton's travelling contingent on Saturday afternoon, as Pep Guardiola's Manchester City clash with Russell Martin's charges in the English Premier League. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

Best Tip: Man City to win

We're predicting Man City will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Etihad Stadium.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
76%
1/9
4%
1/8
1%
Draw
14%
15/2
6%
9/1
Southampton
10%
20/1
19%
18/1
Man City 2-0
9%
13/211/2
Man City 2-1
9%
12/117/2
Man City 3-0
9%
13/2
7%
11/2
Man City 3-1
8%
11/1
8%
17/2
Man City 1-0
7%
11/115/2
6%
Draw 1-1
6%
18/114/1
Man City 4-0
6%
17/2
12%
7/1
7%
Man City 4-1
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw 2-2
4%
33/1
17%
25/1
Man City 3-2
4%
33/1
17%
22/1
Man City 5-0
3%
14/1
15%
10/1
Man City 5-1
3%
22/116/1
Southampton 2-1
3%
50/133/1
Man City 4-2
3%
40/125/1
Draw 0-0
2%
22/1
10%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
4/11
5%
1/3
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
11/5
6%
21/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/7
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
9/2
8%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
11/10
7%
6/5
BTTS - No
43%
4/6
8%
8/13
BTTS - Home Win
39%
13/8
9%
17/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
12%
9/1
9%
10/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
28/1
29%
22/1
Home/draw
90%
1/661/100
Away/draw
24%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Home/away
86%
1/12
3%
1/18
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/10
3%
1/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
6/111/2
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
10/11
3%
5/6
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
10/11
3%
10/11
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
2/19/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
2/5
2%
2/5
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
4/119/5
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/6
4%
1/6
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/661/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
20/120/1
Home DNB
86%
1/40
1%
1/66
1%
Away DNB
20%
16/1
19%
12/1
Man City win to nil
37%
4/5
10%
-
Southampton win to nil
4%
28/1
15%
-
Man City / Man City
56%
1/2
6%
10/21
3%
Man City / Southampton
1%
80/1
20%
55/1
Man City / Draw
3%
28/122/1
Draw / Man City
20%
3/116/5
3%
Draw / Southampton
3%
40/125/1
Draw / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Southampton / Man City
5%
18/1
10%
16/1
11%
Southampton / Southampton
3%
40/120/1
Southampton / Draw
3%
33/125/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Man City
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Southampton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Feb 22
Dec 1
 Liverpool76011118 
Nov 24
Mar 8
-
-
 Man City Home7520917 
May 10
Oct 26
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
 Arsenal7520917 
May 25
l
 
3-1F
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
 Chelsea7421814 
Dec 4
Feb 26
Apr 26
Dec 21
 A Villa7421314 
Apr 12
Dec 7
Mar 15
Nov 9
 Brighton7331312 
Feb 22
Nov 29
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
 Newcastle7331112 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
May 25
 Fulham7322211 
Apr 26
Dec 22
Nov 23
Feb 25
 Spurs7313610 
Dec 15
Apr 5
Dec 4
Mar 8
 Nottm Forest7241110 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
w
 
2-1A
Jan 14
 Brentford7313010 
Jan 4
l
 
3-1A
Jan 4
w
 
1-3F
 West Ham7223-18 
Dec 26
Apr 19
May 18
Nov 2
 Bournemouth7223-28 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
Dec 15
Apr 5
 Man Utd7223-38 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 16
Apr 2
Dec 29
 Leicester7133-36 
Oct 19
May 3
Dec 26
Apr 19
 Everton7124-85 
Nov 2
May 18
w
 
4-1A
Jan 19
 Ipswich7043-84 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Apr 12
Dec 7
 C Palace7034-53 
Apr 2
Dec 29
Oct 26
May 10
 Southampton A7016-111 
-
-
May 3
Oct 20
 Wolves7016-121 
Mar 15
Nov 9
Win / draw / win form
4
Southampton have lost 4 consecutive away league games
34
Man City have not lost in 34 consecutive home league games
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
34
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
4
Southampton 19TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Man City have not lost to Southampton in 12 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Southampton
Goals: Scored
42
21
Games: Scored
16 / 19
15 / 19
Clean sheets
4 / 19
3 / 19
MCI
12
D
4
SOU
3
League games at Southampton since 1993
Southampton
Man City
Goals: Scored
17
29
Games: Scored
10 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
9 / 19
MCI
10
D
5
SOU
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.8 is decent for Manchester City in their meeting with Southampton, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 16 consecutive English Premier League matches.

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Southampton fans, as should a 8 English Premier League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Man City 2nd Southampton 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Southampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277876/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
2.8
0.9
Attack rating
60%
better
MCI
SOU
view stats
Games scored7
4
Failed to score0
3
Scored first4
2
Goals scored17
4
Avg. goals scored2.4
0.6
Avg. shots per game13
7
Avg. shots per goal5
12
Conversion rate for18
9
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
34%
better
MCI
SOU
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first3
5
Goals conceded8
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against20%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
2
KickOff rating
+34%

Man City v Southampton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
71033
EdersonE HaalandB SilvaEderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ederson GLK71
3
-
J Gvardiol DEF71
-
R Dias DEF7
3
-
M Akanji DEF7
1
-
M Kovacic MID73
2
-
B Silva MID73
2
-
E Haaland FWD710
1
-
R Lewis DEF62
-
J Grealish MID61
2
-
I Gündogan MID6
-
J Doku FWD61
-
K Walker DEF5
-
S Sávio FWD52
1
-
J Stones DEF41
1
-
P Foden MID4
-
K Bruyne MID411
1
-
M Nunes MID41
-
Rodri MID2
-
N Aké  DEF1
-
J McAtee MID1
-
Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7123
Y SugawaraY SugawaraA LallanaF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sugawara DEF71
1
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF71
2
-
J Bednarek DEF7
2
-
F Downes MID7
3
-
C Archer FWD71
-
T Obling FWD71
2
-
J Aribo MID6
-
M Fernandes MID61
1
-
B Díaz FWD6
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK5
-
K Walker-Peters DEF5
1
-
A Armstrong FWD5
1
-
J Stephens DEF4
1
1
C Taylor DEF4
1
-
A Lallana MID42
2
-
R Stewart FWD4
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID3
-
W Smallbone MID3
-
R Fraser FWD3
-
A McCarthy GLK2
-
M Cornet FWD2
1
-
S Edozie FWD2
1
-
R Manning DEF1
-
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD1
-
P Onuachu FWD1
-