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Manchester City v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 15:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City are in English Premier League action on Saturday afternoon, as Pep Guardiola attempts to outsmart Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side at the Etihad Stadium. All the odds are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Premier League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both happiness and misery to both home and away fans. We predict both Man City and Newcastle to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate winner of the fixture seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
44%
7/10
8%
7/10
Draw
23%
10/316/5
Newcastle
33%
29/10
22%
7/2
Draw 1-1
10%
9/1
11%
7/1
Man City 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
13/2
Newcastle 2-1
8%
14/1
21%
11/1
Draw 2-2
7%
14/1
12%
10/1
Man City 1-0
6%
12/1
44%
17/2
Man City 2-0
6%
11/1
33%
17/2
Newcastle 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Man City 3-1
5%
12/19/1
Newcastle 2-0
4%
28/1
15%
20/1
Man City 3-2
4%
18/1
17%
12/1
Newcastle 3-1
4%
28/1
29%
22/1
Draw 0-0
4%
20/1
40%
14/1
Newcastle 3-2
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
Man City 3-0
3%
16/1
31%
11/1
Man City 4-1
2%
22/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
4/9
14%
4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
7/4
25%
13/8
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/2
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/4
19%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
40%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
1/2
14%
10/21
BTTS - No
34%
6/4
25%
6/4
BTTS - Home Win
26%
15/8
7%
17/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
9%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5/1
33%
5/1
Home/draw
67%
1/4
7%
1/5
Away/draw
56%
11/10
9%
23/20
Home/away
77%
1/52/9
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/8
7%
2/15
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5/1
33%
17/4
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
11/10
20%
21/20
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/11
15%
7/10
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
5/2
22%
23/10
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
3/10
8%
3/10
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
5/1
33%
19/4
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/8
5%
1/8
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/66
2%
1/80
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/1
40%
14/1
Home DNB
60%
1/3
9%
2/7
Away DNB
49%
9/4
19%
23/10
Man City win to nil
18%
11/4
36%
-
Newcastle win to nil
13%
9/1-
Man City / Man City
31%
7/4
10%
6/4
Man City / Newcastle
3%
28/1
29%
22/1
Man City / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Man City
16%
9/2
22%
18/5
Draw / Newcastle
8%
9/1
17%
17/2
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
7%
11/2
Newcastle / Man City
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
12%
6/1
26%
11/2
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man City have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 11 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 6th position in the Premier League on 41 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 7 goals, scored 9, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2317513556 
Feb 23
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3F
Feb 26
2
Arsenal2414822750 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 18
3
Nottm Forest2414551347 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
Feb 23
w
 
1-3A
4
Chelsea2412751643 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 10
l
 
2-1A
5
Man City Home2412571341 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
6
Newcastle Away2412571341 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
-
-
7
Bournemouth2411761340 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
8
A Villa241077-337 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
9
Fulham24996436 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
10
Brighton248106-334 
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 3
11
Brentford249411031 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 2
l
 
4-2A
12
C Palace24798-230 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
13
Man Utd248511-629 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 5
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
14
Spurs2483131127 
l
 
0-4A
Feb 26
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
15
West Ham247611-1727 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 10
16
Everton23689-526 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
17
Wolves245415-1819 
May 3
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
18
Leicester244515-2817 
Apr 2
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
19
Ipswich243714-2716 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-6F
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
20
Southampton242319-369 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
4
Newcastle have won 4 consecutive away league games
Man City 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Newcastle 6TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
15
Man City have beaten Newcastle in 15 consecutive home league meetings
20
Man City have not lost to Newcastle in 20 consecutive home league meetings
5
Man City have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive home league meetings with Newcastle
League games at Man City since 1994
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
60
13
Games: Scored
21 / 24
11 / 24
Clean sheets
13 / 24
3 / 24
MCI
19
D
4
NEW
1
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
33
42
Games: Scored
16 / 25
20 / 25
Clean sheets
5 / 25
9 / 25
MCI
12
D
6
NEW
7
Goal Statistics

Manchester City have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Man City 5th Newcastle 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Newcastle have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278037/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Man City v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241965
E HaalandE HaalandS SávioB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Haaland FWD24192
2
-
J Gvardiol DEF235
1
-
B Silva MID2324
5
-
I Gündogan MID211
1
-
M Akanji DEF20
3
-
M Kovacic MID2041
5
-
R Lewis DEF1912
4
1
P Foden FWD1972
2
-
S Sávio FWD1916
2
-
K Bruyne MID1726
2
-
M Nunes MID164
2
-
Ederson GLK152
3
-
J Doku FWD1534
-
J Grealish FWD151
3
-
R Dias DEF14
3
-
J Stones DEF102
1
-
S Ortega GLK9
1
-
N Aké  DEF9
-
J McAtee MID71
-
Rodri MID2
-
O Marmoush FWD2
-
J. Simpson-Pusey DEF1
1
-
A. Khusanov DEF1
1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241779
B GuimarãesA IsakJ MurphyJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hall DEF243
3
-
B Guimarães MID2426
3
-
T Livramento  DEF23
-
D Burn DEF23
7
-
Joelinton MID2341
9
-
A Gordon FWD2366
2
-
S Tonali MID2211
5
-
A Isak FWD22175
1
-
J Willock MID211
2
-
J Murphy FWD2147
2
-
F Schär DEF202
5
1
H Barnes FWD2051
-
S Longstaff MID18
2
-
N Pope  GLK15
2
-
K Trippier DEF14
2
-
M Dúbravka GLK9
-
W Osula FWD9
-
L Miley MID5
-
C Wilson FWD4
1
-
S Botman DEF3
1
-
E Krafth DEF3
-
M Targett DEF1
-