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Manchester City v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 16:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester United pay English Premier League rivals Manchester City a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Ruben Amorim leads his men into an away clash with Pep Guardiola & co. at the Etihad Stadium. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Man Utd get ready for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After reviewing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both sides know they way to goal and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
57%
1.67
6%
1.67
2%
Draw
22%
4.00
2%
4.20
5%
Man Utd
22%
4.75
14%
4.60
2%
Draw 1-1
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
Man City 2-1
10%
9.008.00
Man City 1-0
9%
11.009.00
Man City 2-0
9%
11.00
10%
9.00
5%
Man City 3-1
7%
13.0011.00
Man City 3-0
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Man Utd 2-1
6%
17.00
11%
13.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Man Utd 1-0
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
Man City 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Man City 4-1
3%
23.0017.00
11%
Man Utd 2-0
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
Man City 4-0
3%
29.00
26%
19.00
10%
Man Utd 3-1
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.57
3%
1.53
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.38
5%
2.38
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.53
2%
1.53
1%
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.50
4%
2.62
No 1st Goal
3%
17.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.571.60
2%
BTTS - No
41%
2.252.25
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.00
4%
2.90
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7.50
12%
6.50
Home/draw
78%
1.18
4%
1.18
2%
Away/draw
43%
2.15
7%
2.15
Home/away
78%
1.221.22
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.004.60
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.38
3%
2.30
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.57
3%
1.55
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.33
8%
3.90
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.22
2%
1.22
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00
14%
7.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08
2%
1.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
13.00
Home DNB
72%
1.29
6%
1.29
Away DNB
37%
3.50
13%
3.40
3%
Man City win to nil
27%
3.40
5%
-
Man Utd win to nil
9%
10.00
9%
-
Man City / Man City
32%
2.60
8%
2.50
Man City / Man Utd
3%
34.0026.00
Man City / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Man City
17%
5.004.50
2%
Draw / Man Utd
8%
11.00
8%
9.50
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
7.00
7%
6.00
Man Utd / Man City
5%
21.00
11%
15.00
12%
Man Utd / Man Utd
11%
8.00
11%
7.00
Man Utd / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool330049 
Nov 8
Feb 7
May 2
Oct 19
2
Chelsea321067 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Sep 20
Apr 18
3
Arsenal320156 
Apr 18
Sep 21
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
4
Spurs320146 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
Feb 7
Nov 8
5
Sunderland320126 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Oct 4
May 9
6
Everton320126 
Oct 18
May 2
Nov 22
Feb 21
7
Bournemouth320106 
Nov 1
May 17
Dec 13
Mar 21
8
C Palace312035 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Feb 28
Nov 29
9
Man Utd311104 
Sep 14
Jan 17
-
-
10
Nottm Forest3111-14 
Mar 4
Dec 27
May 17
Nov 1
11
Brighton3111-14 
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
Oct 25
May 24
12
Leeds3111-44 
Nov 29
Feb 28
Apr 11
Jan 3
13
Man City310213 
-
-
Jan 17
Sep 14
14
Burnley3102-23 
Sep 27
Apr 25
w
 
3-2F
Jan 7
15
Brentford3102-23 
May 9
Oct 5
Apr 25
Sep 27
16
West Ham3102-43 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Dec 3
Feb 11
17
Newcastle3021-12 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Dec 27
Mar 4
18
Fulham3021-22 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
19
A Villa3012-41 
May 24
Oct 26
Mar 14
Dec 20
20
Wolves3003-60 
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Dec 30
Dec 6
Win / draw / win form
6
Man Utd have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Man City 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Man Utd 9TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
44
39
Games: Scored
18 / 28
23 / 28
Clean sheets
5 / 28
10 / 28
MCI
11
D
3
MNU
14
League games at Man Utd since 1992
Man Utd
Man City
Goals: Scored
40
37
Games: Scored
20 / 28
19 / 28
Clean sheets
9 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
9
D
7
MNU
12
Goal Statistics
Man City 13th Man Utd 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Man Utd have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
2
1.1
Attack rating
11%
better
MCI
MNU
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored5
4
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
10
Avg. XG for1.7
2.6
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
22%
better
MCI
MNU
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded4
4
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
22%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Man City v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
J TraffordE HaalandR LewisR Nouri
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK3
-
J Stones DEF3
-
R Lewis DEF31
-
R Nouri DEF3
1
-
R Dias DEF3
-
T Reijnders MID311
1
-
B Silva MID3
-
J Doku FWD3
-
E Haaland FWD33
-
O Bobb FWD31
-
O Marmoush FWD31
-
A. Khusanov DEF2
1
-
N. O'Reilly MID2
1
-
N González  MID2
1
-
M Nunes MID2
-
R Cherki MID21
-
Rodri MID2
-
N Aké  DEF1
-
P Foden FWD1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
A BayındırB FernandesD DalotCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bayındır GLK3
-
M Ligt DEF3
-
L Yoro DEF3
-
L Shaw DEF3
-
D Dalot DEF31
-
Casemiro MID3
1
-
B Fernandes MID31
1
-
M Mount  MID3
-
B Sesko FWD3
-
B Mbeumo FWD31
-
M Cunha FWD3
-
A Diallo FWD3
-
H Maguire DEF2
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF2
1
-
M Ugarte MID2
-
N Mazraoui  DEF1
-
A. Heaven DEF1
-
K Mainoo MID1
-
J Zirkzee FWD1
-