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Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Pep Guardiola and Fabian Hürzeler meet in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as Manchester City face Brighton and Hove Albion at the Etihad Stadium. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Man City and Brighton to score 3 goals or more combined during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
50%
1.70
17%
1.67
16%
Draw
22%
4.33
13%
4.33
10%
Brighton
28%
4.33
28%
4.40
27%
Draw 1-1
9%
9.50
5%
8.00
6%
Man City 2-1
9%
9.507.50
Brighton 2-1
7%
15.00
29%
12.00
20%
Draw 2-2
7%
15.00
21%
11.00
15%
Man City 2-0
6%
12.00
41%
9.50
27%
Man City 1-0
6%
12.00
26%
9.50
27%
Man City 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
10.00
5%
Brighton 1-0
5%
21.0015.00
Man City 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
15.00
12%
Man City 3-0
4%
17.00
55%
12.00
26%
Brighton 2-0
3%
29.00
29%
21.00
9%
Brighton 3-1
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
21%
Brighton 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
21.00
28%
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
Man City 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1.50
4%
1.44
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
2.62
10%
2.60
13%
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.44
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.62
23%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
1.50
14%
1.50
14%
BTTS - No
34%
2.50
25%
2.40
20%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2.882.75
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75
21%
4.80
13%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
6.50
32%
6.00
33%
Home/draw
72%
1.20
7%
1.20
7%
Away/draw
50%
2.10
20%
2.15
20%
Home/away
78%
1.20
3%
1.22
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.14
3%
1.14
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
5.50
10%
5.25
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
2.20
8%
2.10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
1.67
6%
1.67
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
4.00
8%
3.50
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.25
2%
1.29
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
7.00
13%
6.00
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.10
2%
1.10
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
17.0015.00
15%
Home DNB
65%
1.30
10%
1.29
10%
Away DNB
43%
3.40
24%
3.30
28%
Man City win to nil
20%
3.50
34%
-
Brighton win to nil
10%
10.00
9%
-
Man City / Man City
32%
2.62
19%
2.45
17%
Man City / Brighton
3%
29.00
29%
26.00
24%
Man City / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Draw / Man City
17%
5.00
11%
4.60
10%
Draw / Brighton
8%
10.00
33%
9.50
21%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.506.50
7%
Brighton / Man City
5%
19.0015.00
Brighton / Brighton
12%
7.50
38%
6.50
28%
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.00
21%
13.00
13%
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man City have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Brighton are in 7th position in the Premier League on 46 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 25 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Brighton have conceded 18 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2921714270 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
May 18
l
 
2-1F
2
Arsenal28151032855 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Nottm Forest2815671251 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
4
Chelsea2814771749 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
5
Man City Home2814591547 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
6
Newcastle281459947 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
0-1F
7
Brighton Away2812106646 
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
-
-
8
A Villa291298-445 
Apr 28
l
 
2-1A
Apr 2
d
 
2-2F
9
Bournemouth2812881344 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
10
Fulham281198342 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
11
C Palace281099339 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 5
12
Brentford2811512438 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
13
Spurs28104141434 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
May 25
14
Man Utd289712-634 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 6
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
15
Everton287129-433 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
16
West Ham289613-1633 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
17
Wolves286517-1923 
May 3
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 10
18
Ipswich283817-3217 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-6F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
19
Leicester284519-3717 
Apr 2
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
20
Southampton282323-489 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
4
Brighton have won 4 consecutive league games
Man City 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
Man City4 - 1West Ham
Man City1 - 1Everton
Man City1 - 2Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Nottm Forest
Man City0 - 4Spurs
Man City1 - 0Southampton
Man City3 - 2Fulham
Man City2 - 2Arsenal
Man City2 - 1Brentford
Man City4 - 1Ipswich
Man City3 - 1West Ham
Man City5 - 1Wolves
Man City5 - 1Luton
Man City4 - 1A Villa
Man City0 - 0Arsenal
Man City3 - 1Man Utd
Man City1 - 0Brentford
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
HMan City3 - 1Chelsea
AMan City6 - 0Ipswich
AMan City2 - 2Brentford
HMan City4 - 1West Ham
AMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City1 - 1Everton
AMan City1 - 2A Villa
HMan City1 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 2C Palace
HMan City3 - 0Nottm Forest
AMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City0 - 4Spurs
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
AMan City1 - 2Bournemouth
HMan City1 - 0Southampton
Brighton 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Nottm Forest7 - 0Brighton
Man Utd1 - 3Brighton
Ipswich0 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
West Ham1 - 1Brighton
Leicester2 - 2Brighton
Fulham3 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth1 - 2Brighton
Liverpool2 - 1Brighton
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Chelsea4 - 2Brighton
Arsenal1 - 1Brighton
Everton0 - 3Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth3 - 0Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Brentford0 - 0Brighton
Liverpool2 - 1Brighton
Fulham3 - 0Brighton
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton2 - 1Fulham
HBrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton4 - 0Southampton
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton0 - 7Nottm Forest
HBrighton0 - 1Everton
ABrighton3 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton2 - 0Ipswich
HBrighton1 - 1Arsenal
ABrighton2 - 2A Villa
HBrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton1 - 3C Palace
ABrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 3Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Southampton
ABrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton1 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton2 - 2Wolves
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Man City have beaten Brighton in 7 consecutive home league meetings
7
Man City have not lost to Brighton in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Man City since 2018
Man City
Brighton
Goals: Scored
18
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
MCI
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City2 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 0
Man City1 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 1
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
8
23
Games: Scored
5 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
3 / 8
MCI
5
D
1
BHA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton2 - 1
0 - 4Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Man City
Brighton3 - 2
0 - 5Man City
1 - 4Man City
0 - 2Man City
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Brighton and Hove Albion's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Manchester City have conceded in each of their last 6 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.5 for F. Hürzeler's side suggests that run should continue.

Man City 5th Brighton 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278082/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
2
1.5
Attack rating
3%
better
MCI
BHA
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score4
4
Scored first15
16
Goals scored53
46
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
4%
better
MCI
BHA
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded38
40
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%

Man City v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
272075
E HaalandE HaalandS SávioB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gvardiol DEF275
1
-
E Haaland FWD27203
2
-
B Silva MID2524
5
-
M Kovacic MID2441
5
-
I Gündogan MID242
1
-
S Sávio FWD2317
2
-
P Foden FWD2372
2
-
R Lewis DEF2212
4
1
M Akanji DEF20
3
-
Ederson GLK193
3
-
K Bruyne MID1926
2
-
M Nunes MID194
3
-
J Doku FWD1935
-
R Dias DEF17
3
-
J Grealish FWD161
3
-
J Stones DEF112
1
-
N Aké  DEF10
-
J McAtee MID102
-
S Ortega GLK9
1
-
O Marmoush FWD63
-
A. Khusanov DEF5
1
-
N González  MID4
1
-
Rodri MID2
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26867
B VerbruggenJ Pedro J Pedro C Quomah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mitoma FWD2874
-
G Rutter FWD2754
2
-
B Verbruggen GLK261
5
-
J Hecke DEF2611
5
-
C Quomah MID2421
6
1
Y Ayari MID241
3
-
Y Minteh FWD2353
6
-
J Pedro  FWD2286
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF211
3
-
D Welbeck FWD2174
2
-
L Dunk DEF19
4
-
J Veltman DEF19
4
-
S Adingra FWD1921
-
M Wieffer MID1612
3
-
J Hinshelwood MID162
3
-
T Lamptey  DEF1322
-
Igor DEF12
4
-
M O'Riley MID1211
1
-
B Gruda FWD121
-
A Webster DEF10
-
F Kadioglu DEF61
1
-
D Amarilla MID6
-
S March FWD4
1
-
J Milner  MID3
1
-
J Steele GLK2
-
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