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Chelsea v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Oct, 14:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

It's a long trek for Eddie Howe's Newcastle United side on Sunday afternoon, as they visit the Stamford Bridge for a English Premier League showdown with Enzo Maresca's Chelsea. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Chelsea or Newcastle are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
44%
1.85
1%
1.91
Draw
25%
4.003.80
3%
Newcastle
32%
3.70
6%
3.70
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
9.007.00
7%
Chelsea 2-1
9%
9.508.00
Chelsea 1-0
9%
13.00
8%
9.50
Newcastle 2-1
8%
15.00
15%
11.00
Newcastle 1-0
7%
19.00
12%
13.00
8%
Chelsea 2-0
7%
13.0011.00
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0010.00
Draw 0-0
6%
21.00
11%
13.00
Newcastle 2-0
5%
26.00
13%
17.00
Chelsea 3-1
5%
15.0011.00
Chelsea 3-0
4%
19.0015.00
Newcastle 3-1
3%
29.0019.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
21.0015.00
Newcastle 3-2
3%
29.0019.00
Newcastle 3-0
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.50
1%
1.50
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.62
7%
2.50
4%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.53
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.40-
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.44
2%
1.48
1%
BTTS - No
43%
2.62
5%
2.50
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3.10
3%
3.00
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.20
5%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5.505.25
Home/draw
68%
1.29
3%
1.29
Away/draw
56%
1.91
6%
1.85
Home/away
75%
1.22
3%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.14
1%
1.15
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5.50
10%
5.00
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.20
2%
2.15
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.67
6%
1.62
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.003.60
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.25
2%
1.25
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7.006.50
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.10
3%
1.10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.02
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17.00
11%
13.00
Home DNB
61%
1.40
1%
1.44
Away DNB
49%
2.75
5%
2.62
1%
Chelsea win to nil
22%
4.00-
Newcastle win to nil
15%
9.00
13%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
28%
3.002.90
Chelsea / Newcastle
3%
29.0023.00
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Chelsea
16%
5.505.00
Draw / Newcastle
10%
9.008.00
Draw / Draw
13%
7.005.75
4%
Newcastle / Chelsea
4%
21.0017.00
Newcastle / Newcastle
14%
6.005.50
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Chelsea
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Newcastle
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 3
Oct 20
 Liverpool76011118 
Dec 4
Feb 26
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
 Man City7520917 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
Nov 10
Mar 15
 Arsenal7520917 
Nov 2
May 18
-
-
 Chelsea Home7421814 
May 10
Oct 27
Dec 1
Feb 22
 A Villa7421314 
Dec 26
Apr 19
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
 Brighton7331312 
Oct 19
May 3
Oct 27
May 10
 Newcastle Away7331112 
-
-
Dec 26
Apr 19
 Fulham7322211 
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
Apr 2
Dec 8
 Spurs7313610 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
May 25
 Nottm Forest7241110 
Feb 22
Nov 10
Dec 15
Apr 5
 Brentford7313010 
Apr 2
Dec 7
Feb 1
w
 
0-3F
 West Ham7223-18 
Nov 25
Mar 8
Jan 14
w
 
0-1F
 Bournemouth7223-28 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
May 18
Nov 3
 Man Utd7223-38 
Apr 12
Dec 30
Mar 8
Nov 23
 Leicester7133-36 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Apr 26
Dec 22
 Everton7124-85 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
Dec 30
 Ipswich7043-84 
Apr 26
Dec 21
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
 C Palace7034-53 
Mar 15
Nov 30
Feb 26
Dec 4
 Southampton7016-111 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Jan 20
w
 
2-6F
 Wolves7016-121 
Jan 15
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
Chelsea4 - 2Brighton
Chelsea1 - 1C Palace
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Chelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea5 - 0West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Spurs
Chelsea6 - 0Everton
Chelsea4 - 3Man Utd
Chelsea2 - 2Burnley
Chelsea3 - 2Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 4Wolves
Chelsea1 - 0Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1C Palace
Chelsea2 - 0Sheff Utd
Chelsea3 - 2Brighton
Chelsea4 - 4Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Arsenal
Chelsea0 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
HChelsea4 - 2Brighton
AChelsea3 - 0West Ham
AChelsea1 - 0Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 1C Palace
AChelsea6 - 2Wolves
HChelsea0 - 2Man City
HChelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
AChelsea2 - 1Brighton
AChelsea3 - 2Nottm Forest
HChelsea5 - 0West Ham
HChelsea2 - 0Spurs
AChelsea2 - 2A Villa
AChelsea0 - 5Arsenal
HChelsea6 - 0Everton
AChelsea2 - 2Sheff Utd
HChelsea4 - 3Man Utd
HChelsea2 - 2Burnley
HChelsea3 - 2Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
Newcastle 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Everton0 - 0Newcastle
Fulham3 - 1Newcastle
Wolves1 - 2Newcastle
Bournemouth1 - 1Newcastle
Brentford2 - 4Newcastle
Man Utd3 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
C Palace2 - 0Newcastle
Fulham0 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea3 - 2Newcastle
Arsenal4 - 1Newcastle
Nottm Forest2 - 3Newcastle
A Villa1 - 3Newcastle
Liverpool4 - 2Newcastle
Luton1 - 0Newcastle
Spurs4 - 1Newcastle
Everton3 - 0Newcastle
Bournemouth2 - 0Newcastle
Wolves2 - 2Newcastle
West Ham2 - 2Newcastle
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle0 - 0Everton
HNewcastle1 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Fulham
ANewcastle2 - 1Wolves
HNewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle1 - 1Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Southampton
ANewcastle4 - 2Brentford
ANewcastle2 - 3Man Utd
HNewcastle1 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle4 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle5 - 1Sheff Utd
ANewcastle0 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 0Spurs
ANewcastle1 - 0Fulham
HNewcastle1 - 1Everton
HNewcastle4 - 3West Ham
ANewcastle2 - 3Chelsea
HNewcastle3 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle1 - 4Arsenal
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Chelsea have not lost to Newcastle in 11 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
56
16
Games: Scored
27 / 29
13 / 29
Clean sheets
16 / 29
2 / 29
CHE
21
D
7
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea5 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea4 - 0
Chelsea5 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
39
32
Games: Scored
19 / 29
20 / 29
Clean sheets
9 / 29
10 / 29
CHE
9
D
6
NEW
14
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 2
0 - 3Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Newcastle United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 4th Newcastle 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Chelsea have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Newcastle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277877/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
26%
better
CHE
NEW
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
2
Goals scored16
8
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for22
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
CHE
NEW
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded8
7
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%

Chelsea v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7655
R SánchezC PalmerC PalmerW Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK7
1
-
W Fofana DEF7
5
-
L Colwill DEF7
2
-
M Cucurella  DEF7
5
-
M Caicedo MID71
2
-
C Palmer MID765
3
-
N Jackson FWD743
2
-
P Neto FWD71
2
-
C Nkunku  FWD71
-
E Fernández MID6
1
-
N Madueke FWD64
-
M Gusto DEF5
1
-
J Félix FWD51
1
-
R Veiga DEF4
1
-
M Mudryk FWD4
-
J Sancho FWD43
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF3
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID3
-
A Disasi DEF2
-
R Lavia MID2
-
M Guiu FWD1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7324
N Pope H BarnesJ MurphyJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK7
-
L Hall DEF7
2
-
T Livramento  DEF7
-
D Burn DEF7
3
-
Joelinton MID71
4
-
B Guimarães MID71
2
-
J Murphy FWD72
1
-
A Gordon FWD72
-
H Barnes FWD731
-
S Longstaff MID6
1
-
K Trippier DEF5
-
F Schär DEF51
2
1
L Kelly DEF51
1
-
J Willock MID51
-
S Tonali MID5
1
-
A Isak FWD511
-
E Krafth DEF3
-
M Almirón FWD3
-
W Osula FWD1
-