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Chelsea v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Dec, 19:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Thomas Frank guides his Brentford team to the Stamford Bridge in the English Premier League on Sunday evening, with Enzo Maresca's Chelsea waiting for them. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


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Best Tip: Chelsea to win

We are predicting Chelsea will come out on top after 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Stamford Bridge.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
64%
1/3
5%
1/3
8%
Draw
20%
9/2
10%
19/4
10%
Brentford
16%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Chelsea 2-0
10%
9/115/2
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9/17/1
7%
Chelsea 1-0
10%
12/117/2
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Chelsea 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
8/1
10%
Chelsea 3-1
7%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Brentford 2-1
4%
22/116/1
13%
Brentford 1-0
4%
33/1
17%
20/1
24%
Chelsea 4-0
4%
16/1
11%
11/1
8%
Chelsea 4-1
4%
16/111/1
8%
Chelsea 3-2
3%
20/114/1
Brentford 2-0
2%
50/1
24%
28/1
12%
Chelsea 4-2
2%
28/118/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/11
3%
7/20
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
11/5
7%
2/1
7%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/4
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
13/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/73/5
2%
BTTS - No
46%
5/45/4
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/8
5%
13/10
6%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
9%
5/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
10%
17/2
12%
Home/draw
84%
1/12
2%
1/12
3%
Away/draw
36%
9/4
18%
11/5
14%
Home/away
80%
1/7
3%
2/15
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/10
1%
1/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
6/1
8%
5/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
10/11
5%
17/20
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
10/11
6%
17/20
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
2/1
12%
15/8
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/5
5%
4/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
4/1
9%
19/5
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/6
3%
2/13
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/801/200
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Home DNB
78%
1/8
2%
1/9
3%
Away DNB
30%
5/1
9%
19/4
20%
Chelsea win to nil
34%
7/4-
Brentford win to nil
7%
16/1
13%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
43%
20/21
5%
10/11
7%
Chelsea / Brentford
2%
40/133/1
17%
Chelsea / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Chelsea
19%
7/216/5
3%
Draw / Brentford
5%
18/1
27%
12/1
8%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
Brentford / Chelsea
5%
16/114/1
Brentford / Brentford
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
22%
Brentford / Draw
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 8 goals at home.

Brentford are in 9th position in the Premier League on 23 points having played 15 matches so far this season. Brentford are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Brentford have conceded 9 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Brentford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1411211835 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
Jan 18
l
 
2-0A
2
Chelsea Home159421731 
-
-
Apr 5
Dec 15
3
Arsenal158521429 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
Jan 1
Apr 12
4
Man City15834627 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
Jan 14
l
 
2-1F
5
Nottm Forest15744125 
d
 
1-1A
May 25
Dec 21
Apr 26
6
A Villa15744025 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
Mar 8
l
 
3-1A
7
Brighton15663324 
w
 
4-2A
Feb 14
Apr 19
Dec 27
8
Bournemouth15735324 
Jan 14
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
Mar 15
9
Brentford Away15726323 
Dec 15
Apr 5
-
-
10
Fulham15654223 
Dec 26
Apr 19
May 18
l
 
2-1F
11
Spurs156271220 
Apr 2
w
 
3-4A
Feb 2
l
 
3-1F
12
Newcastle15555-220 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
4-2F
Apr 2
13
Man Utd15546119 
May 18
d
 
1-1A
May 3
l
 
2-1F
14
West Ham15537-818 
Feb 3
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
15
Everton14356-714 
Apr 26
Dec 22
Feb 25
d
 
0-00-0
16
Leicester15357-914 
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1A
Feb 21
17
C Palace15276-613 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
w
 
2-1F
Jan 26
18
Ipswich15168-139 
Apr 12
Dec 30
w
 
4-3A
May 10
19
Wolves152310-159 
Jan 20
w
 
2-6F
w
 
5-3F
May 25
20
Southampton151212-205 
Feb 26
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-1F
Jan 4
Win / draw / win form
4
Chelsea have won 4 consecutive league games
7
Chelsea have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
7
Brentford have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Chelsea 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Brentford 9TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Brentford have beaten Chelsea in 3 consecutive away league meetings
5
Brentford have not lost to Chelsea in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 2022
Chelsea
Brentford
Goals: Scored
1
8
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
BRE
3
League games at Brentford since 2021
Brentford
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
CHE
1
D
2
Goal Statistics

Chelsea's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Chelsea 2nd Brentford 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Brentford scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Chelsea have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277951/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Brentford
2.1
1
Attack rating
7%
better
CHE
BRE
view stats
Games scored14
13
Failed to score1
2
Scored first8
9
Goals scored35
31
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for21
25
Avg. XG for2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
18%
better
CHE
BRE
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded18
28
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+18%

Chelsea v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151166
M CaicedoC PalmerC PalmerM Cucurella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Caicedo MID1512
3
-
C Palmer MID15116
3
-
R Sánchez GLK14
3
-
L Colwill DEF14
3
-
M Cucurella  DEF141
6
-
E Fernández MID1433
1
-
N Madueke FWD1452
3
-
C Nkunku  FWD1421
1
-
N Jackson FWD1483
4
-
P Neto FWD1312
5
-
W Fofana DEF12
6
-
M Gusto DEF121
2
-
R Lavia MID91
3
-
J Sancho FWD923
1
-
J Félix FWD911
2
-
R Veiga DEF7
2
-
M Mudryk FWD7
-
T Adarabioyo DEF5
1
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID5
-
R James  DEF4
-
B Badiashile  DEF4
-
A Disasi DEF31
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
M Guiu FWD1
-
Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15953
M FlekkenB MbeumoM DamsgaardK Lewis-Potter
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK151
1
-
E Pinnock DEF152
2
-
N Collins DEF1521
2
-
K Schade MID1541
1
-
M Damsgaard FWD1525
1
-
K Lewis-Potter FWD151
3
-
B Mbeumo FWD1592
2
-
V Janelt MID1413
1
-
F Carvalho MID1411
1
-
S Berg DEF13
1
-
C Nörgaard MID1212
2
1
Y Wissa FWD1281
1
-
M Roerslev DEF111
1
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID11
1
-
K Ajer DEF8
3
-
M Jensen MID81
1
-
Y. Konak MID4
-
I Thiago FWD4
-
B Mee DEF3
-
P Maghoma MID2
-
R Trevitt MID1
-