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Burnley v Nottingham Forest : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Sep, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Scott Parker's Burnley side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo's Nottingham Forest visit the Turf Moor. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Burnley and Nottm Forest combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of it coming in. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Nottm Forest coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
25%
27/10
16%
-
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
-
Nottm Forest
49%
1/1
5%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
Nottm Forest 1-0
12%
7/1-
Nottm Forest 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
-
Nottm Forest 2-0
9%
9/1
9%
-
Burnley 1-0
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1-
Burnley 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Nottm Forest 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
-
Nottm Forest 3-0
5%
18/1
10%
-
Burnley 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Nottm Forest 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
Burnley 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Nottm Forest 4-1
2%
40/1-
Nottm Forest 4-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/10
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5-
BTTS - No
49%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3
4%
-
Home/draw
51%
4/5
6%
-
Away/draw
75%
2/7
5%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/2
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
3/10
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
43%
13/8
11%
-
Away DNB
67%
4/9
6%
-
Burnley win to nil
14%
5/1
9%
-
Nottm Forest win to nil
28%
12/5
3%
-
Burnley / Burnley
13%
11/2
8%
-
Burnley / Nottm Forest
3%
25/1-
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Burnley
10%
15/2
13%
-
Draw / Nottm Forest
16%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2-
Nottm Forest / Burnley
3%
33/1-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
27%
9/4
7%
-
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool330049 
Sep 14
Jan 17
Feb 21
Nov 22
2
Chelsea321067 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Oct 18
May 2
3
Arsenal320156 
Nov 1
May 17
Jan 17
Sep 13
4
Spurs320146 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
Dec 13
Mar 21
5
Sunderland320126 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
Sep 27
Apr 25
6
Everton320126 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Dec 30
Dec 6
7
Bournemouth320106 
Mar 14
Dec 20
May 24
Oct 26
8
C Palace312035 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
9
Man Utd311104 
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
Nov 1
May 17
10
Nottm Forest3111-14 
Sep 20
Apr 18
-
-
11
Brighton3111-14 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Nov 29
Feb 28
12
Leeds3111-44 
Oct 18
May 2
Nov 8
Feb 7
13
Man City310213 
Apr 25
Sep 27
Dec 27
Mar 4
14
Burnley3102-23 
-
-
Apr 18
Sep 20
15
Brentford3102-23 
Feb 28
Nov 29
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
16
West Ham3102-43 
Feb 7
Nov 8
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
17
Newcastle3021-12 
Dec 30
Dec 6
May 9
Oct 5
18
Fulham3021-22 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Mar 14
Dec 20
19
A Villa3012-41 
May 9
Oct 5
Apr 11
Jan 3
20
Wolves3003-60 
May 24
Oct 26
Feb 11
Dec 3
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Burnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Burnley2 - 0Hull
Burnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Burnley0 - 0QPR
Burnley0 - 0Preston
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
ABurnley2 - 1Cardiff
HBurnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
ABurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley2 - 0Hull
HBurnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABurnley0 - 0Portsmouth
Nottm Forest 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
West Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
Spurs1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
Ipswich2 - 4Nottm Forest
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Fulham2 - 1Nottm Forest
Bournemouth5 - 0Nottm Forest
Wolves0 - 3Nottm Forest
Everton0 - 2Nottm Forest
Brentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
Man Utd2 - 3Nottm Forest
Man City3 - 0Nottm Forest
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Leicester1 - 3Nottm Forest
Chelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
Brighton2 - 2Nottm Forest
Liverpool0 - 1Nottm Forest
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
HNottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
HNottm Forest2 - 2Leicester
ANottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
HNottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
ANottm Forest2 - 1Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 1Everton
ANottm Forest1 - 2A Villa
HNottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
ANottm Forest4 - 2Ipswich
HNottm Forest1 - 0Man City
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest3 - 4Newcastle
ANottm Forest1 - 2Fulham
HNottm Forest7 - 0Brighton
ANottm Forest0 - 5Bournemouth
HNottm Forest3 - 2Southampton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2000
Burnley
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
BRN
8
D
2
NFO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
1 - 2Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley5 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley5 - 0
Burnley1 - 0
0 - 3Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley1 - 0
League games at Nottm Forest since 2000
Nottm Forest
Burnley
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
BRN
2
D
4
NFO
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nottm Forest2 - 0
0 - 2Burnley
Nottm Forest2 - 0
1 - 2Burnley
Nottm Forest1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nottm Forest2 - 0
Nottm Forest1 - 0
Nottm Forest5 - 0
Goal Statistics
Burnley 14th Nottm Forest 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Nottm Forest will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Nottm Forest have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1
1.5
Attack rating
2%
better
BRN
NFO
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored4
4
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
17%
better
BRN
NFO
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded6
5
Avg. goals conceded2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded13
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against2.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+17%

Burnley v Nottm Forest Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyJ CullenK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK3
-
K Walker DEF3
1
-
Q Hartman DEF3
-
H Ekdal DEF3
-
M Estève DEF3
-
O Sonne DEF3
-
L Ugochukwu MID3
-
H Mejbri MID3
-
J Cullen MID311
-
J Laurent MID3
1
-
J Larsen  FWD31
-
L Tchaouna FWD3
1
-
J Anthony FWD321
1
-
L Foster FWD31
1
-
J Worrall DEF2
-
Z Flemming FWD2
-
M Edwards FWD1
-
Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
M SelsC WoodE AndersonM Sels
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Sels GLK3
1
-
N Milenković DEF3
-
O Aina  DEF3
1
-
N Williams DEF3
1
-
Murillo DEF3
1
-
E Anderson MID31
-
I Sangaré MID3
-
M Gibbs-White MID31
-
C Wood FWD32
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD31
-
D Ndoye FWD311
-
I Jesus FWD3
-
J McAtee MID2
-
O Hutchinson MID2
-
R Yates MID2
-
A Kalimuendo FWD2
-
J Silva FWD1
-