Burnley's team badge Leeds United's team badge

Burnley v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley and their manager Scott Parker will be looking to get one over on Daniel Farke and his Leeds United side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Turf Moor in the English Premier League. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Burnley and Leeds have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
32%
3.25
30%
3.20
Draw
27%
3.30
3%
3.25
2%
Leeds
42%
2.20
12%
2.30
Draw 1-1
13%
7.006.00
8%
Leeds 1-0
11%
8.00
16%
7.00
Burnley 1-0
9%
10.00
5%
8.00
6%
Leeds 2-1
9%
10.00
9%
9.00
Draw 0-0
8%
9.00
18%
7.50
6%
Leeds 2-0
8%
12.00
20%
10.00
Burnley 2-1
7%
13.00
18%
11.00
Burnley 2-0
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Leeds 3-1
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Leeds 3-0
3%
23.00
21%
17.00
Burnley 3-1
3%
29.00
26%
23.00
10%
Leeds 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Burnley 3-0
2%
41.00
41%
26.00
Burnley 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.20
15%
2.15
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.67
13%
1.65
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.20
13%
2.25
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.83
6%
1.85
No 1st Goal
5%
9.00
18%
7.00
7%
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.91
9%
1.91
3%
BTTS - No
49%
1.91
5%
1.80
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6.50
30%
6.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.004.80
4%
Home/draw
58%
1.67
11%
1.60
1%
Away/draw
68%
1.33
11%
1.33
1%
Home/away
73%
1.33
2%
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.40
8%
1.40
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.00
14%
2.80
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4.00
18%
3.80
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.25
6%
1.22
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9.00
50%
7.50
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.07
5%
1.07
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
19.00
46%
15.00
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02
2%
1.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.08
3%
1.07
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.00
27%
7.50
6%
Home DNB
50%
2.20
20%
2.20
Away DNB
60%
1.62
11%
1.60
Burnley win to nil
17%
5.50
22%
-
Leeds win to nil
23%
3.75
17%
-
Burnley / Burnley
16%
5.50
27%
5.00
Burnley / Leeds
3%
29.0021.00
Burnley / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw / Burnley
12%
7.50
15%
6.50
Draw / Leeds
15%
5.50
15%
5.25
Draw / Draw
18%
5.00
9%
4.33
4%
Leeds / Burnley
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Leeds / Leeds
22%
3.75
13%
3.60
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal75111116 
Nov 1
May 17
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
2
Liverpool7502415 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Dec 6
Dec 30
3
Spurs7421814 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 9
4
Bournemouth7421314 
Mar 14
Dec 20
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
5
Man City7412913 
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
Feb 28
Nov 29
6
C Palace7331412 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Dec 20
Mar 14
7
Chelsea7322411 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Dec 3
Feb 11
8
Everton7322211 
Dec 27
Mar 4
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
9
Sunderland7322111 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
Mar 4
Dec 27
10
Man Utd7313-210 
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
Jan 3
Apr 11
11
Newcastle723219 
Dec 30
Dec 6
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
12
Brighton723209 
Apr 11
Jan 3
May 17
Nov 1
13
A Villa7232-19 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
Nov 23
Feb 21
14
Fulham7223-38 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
15
Leeds7223-48 
Oct 18
May 2
-
-
16
Brentford7214-37 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Mar 21
Dec 13
17
Nottm Forest7124-75 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
Feb 7
Nov 9
18
Burnley7115-84 
-
-
May 2
Oct 18
19
West Ham7115-104 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Oct 24
May 24
20
Wolves7025-92 
May 24
Oct 26
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Burnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Burnley2 - 0Hull
Burnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
ABurnley2 - 1Cardiff
HBurnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Coventry0 - 2Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Stoke0 - 2Leeds
Preston1 - 1Leeds
Blackburn1 - 0Leeds
Swansea3 - 4Leeds
Millwall1 - 0Leeds
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
ALeeds1 - 1Luton
HLeeds2 - 2Swansea
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds0 - 1Portsmouth
HLeeds1 - 1West Brom
ALeeds3 - 1Sheff Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2005
Burnley
Leeds
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
BRN
3
D
2
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Leeds
Burnley2 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
Burnley2 - 1
1 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Burnley
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
BRN
3
D
1
LEE
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
0 - 1Burnley
Leeds3 - 1
Leeds1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Burnley
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
1 - 2Burnley
Goal Statistics
Burnley 18th Leeds 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
12%
better
BRN
LEE
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score2
3
Scored first1
1
Goals scored7
7
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
12
Avg. XG for0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
BRN
LEE
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded15
11
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded13
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
20%
Avg. XG against2.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+17%

Burnley v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK7
-
K Walker DEF7
2
-
Q Hartman DEF72
1
-
M Estève DEF7
-
J Laurent MID7
1
-
J Cullen MID711
-
L Tchaouna FWD7
1
-
J Anthony FWD741
2
-
L Foster FWD711
2
-
H Ekdal DEF6
-
L Ugochukwu MID61
1
1
H Mejbri MID6
-
J Larsen  FWD51
-
J Worrall DEF4
-
Florentino MID4
1
-
Z Flemming FWD4
-
O Sonne DEF3
-
A Broja  FWD3
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF1
-
B Humphreys DEF1
-
M Edwards FWD1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7212
G Gudmundsson N OkaforJ Bogle J Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF7
1
-
J Rodon DEF71
-
J Bogle  DEF71
2
-
P Struijk DEF7
-
B Aaronson MID7
1
-
S Longstaff MID711
-
A Stach MID711
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD71
-
J Harrison FWD6
-
E Ampadu DEF5
2
-
A Tanaka MID5
-
N Okafor FWD52
2
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD51
-
K Darlow GLK4
-
I Gruev MID4
-
D James FWD4
-
W Gnonto FWD4
1
-
L Perri GLK3
-
J Justin  DEF3
-
J Piroe FWD3
-
S Byram DEF1
-