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Burnley v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Nov, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Arsenal pay English Premier League counterparts Burnley a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Mikel Arteta guides his side into an away clash with Scott Parker & co. at the Turf Moor. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Burnley and Arsenal during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
23%
9.509.50
Draw
29%
6.005.50
Arsenal
47%
1.291.30
Arsenal 1-0
16%
7.006.00
Draw 0-0
13%
13.0012.00
Draw 1-1
13%
12.0010.00
Burnley 1-0
10%
23.0017.00
Arsenal 2-0
10%
6.005.75
Arsenal 2-1
8%
10.008.50
Burnley 2-1
5%
34.0023.00
Arsenal 3-0
4%
8.007.50
Burnley 2-0
4%
51.0034.00
Arsenal 3-1
3%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
3%
29.0021.00
Arsenal 4-0
1%
13.0012.00
Burnley 3-1
1%
81.0051.00
Arsenal 3-2
1%
41.0026.00
Arsenal 4-1
1%
21.0017.00
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
1.731.73
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
2.102.00
Home 1st Goal
39%
3.754.20
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.291.29
No 1st Goal
9%
13.0011.00
BTTS - Yes
39%
2.252.25
BTTS - No
61%
1.571.57
BTTS - Home Win
8%
21.0015.00
BTTS - Draw
16%
8.007.00
BTTS - Away Win
15%
3.403.30
Home/draw
53%
3.753.40
Away/draw
77%
1.061.06
Home/away
71%
1.131.14
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
4.003.70
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
3.002.80
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1.401.40
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
5.005.00
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1.171.14
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
11.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
44%
9.007.00
Away DNB
68%
1.071.07
Burnley win to nil
16%
15.00-
Arsenal win to nil
32%
1.83-
Burnley / Burnley
5%
21.0013.00
Burnley / Arsenal
4%
23.0019.00
Burnley / Draw
4%
26.0019.00
Draw / Burnley
4%
23.0015.00
Draw / Arsenal
21%
4.003.80
Draw / Draw
11%
8.007.00
Arsenal / Burnley
2%
51.0046.00
Arsenal / Arsenal
45%
1.831.85
Arsenal / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn zero and won 2. Burnley have conceded 14 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 2 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 22 points in the Premier League league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal97111322 
Nov 1
May 17
-
-
2
Bournemouth9531518 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Apr 11
Jan 3
3
Spurs95221017 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
Nov 23
Feb 21
4
Sunderland9522417 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
Feb 7
Nov 8
5
Man City95131016 
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
6
Man Utd9513116 
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
7
Liverpool9504215 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Jan 7
l
 
1-0A
8
A Villa9432115 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
Dec 30
Dec 6
9
Chelsea9423614 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Feb 28
Nov 30
10
C Palace9342313 
Dec 3
Feb 11
w
 
1-0F
May 24
11
Brentford9414013 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Dec 3
Feb 11
12
Newcastle9333112 
Dec 30
Dec 6
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
13
Brighton9333-112 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Dec 27
Mar 4
14
Everton9324-311 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Mar 14
Dec 21
15
Leeds9324-511 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
16
Burnley9315-510 
-
-
May 17
Nov 1
17
Fulham9225-58 
Dec 13
Mar 21
May 2
w
 
0-1F
18
Nottm Forest9126-125 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
19
West Ham9117-134 
Feb 7
Nov 8
w
 
2-0F
May 9
20
Wolves9027-122 
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Dec 13
Mar 21
Win / draw / win form
4
Arsenal have won 4 consecutive league games
6
Arsenal have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
3
Arsenal have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Burnley 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Burnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Burnley2 - 0Hull
Burnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fulham0 - 1Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Ipswich0 - 4Arsenal
Everton1 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 1Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Leicester0 - 2Arsenal
Wolves0 - 1Arsenal
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brentford1 - 3Arsenal
C Palace1 - 5Arsenal
Fulham1 - 1Arsenal
West Ham2 - 5Arsenal
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Bournemouth2 - 0Arsenal
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal1 - 0C Palace
AArsenal1 - 0Fulham
HArsenal2 - 0West Ham
AArsenal2 - 1Newcastle
HArsenal1 - 1Man City
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal0 - 1Liverpool
HArsenal5 - 0Leeds
AArsenal1 - 0Man Utd
AArsenal2 - 1Southampton
HArsenal1 - 0Newcastle
AArsenal2 - 2Liverpool
HArsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal2 - 2C Palace
AArsenal4 - 0Ipswich
HArsenal1 - 1Brentford
AArsenal1 - 1Everton
HArsenal2 - 1Fulham
HArsenal1 - 0Chelsea
AArsenal1 - 1Man Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Arsenal have not lost to Burnley in 9 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
3
14
Games: Scored
3 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
6 / 9
D
3
ARS
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 5Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Arsenal since 2010
Arsenal
Burnley
Goals: Scored
21
6
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
BRN
1
D
1
ARS
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Burnley
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Burnley look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Arsenal haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches, and it could be a long afternoon for Scott Parker's men.

Burnley 16th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 65% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Burnley have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
0.8
1.3
Attack rating
BRN
ARS
18%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
6
Goals scored12
16
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game6
10
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
18
Avg. XG for0.8
2
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
BRN
ARS
60%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
3
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded17
3
Avg. goals conceded1.9
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded13
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
15
Conversion rate against14%
7%
Avg. XG against2.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+60%

Burnley v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9443
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyQ HartmanJ Anthony
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK9
-
K Walker DEF91
2
-
Q Hartman DEF94
1
-
M Estève DEF9
-
J Cullen MID911
-
J Laurent MID9
1
-
J Anthony FWD941
3
-
L Ugochukwu MID82
1
1
H Mejbri MID81
1
-
L Tchaouna FWD81
1
-
L Foster FWD821
2
-
H Ekdal DEF7
-
J Larsen  FWD71
-
Florentino MID61
1
-
Z Flemming FWD62
-
J Worrall DEF4
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF3
-
O Sonne DEF3
-
A Broja  FWD3
-
B Humphreys DEF1
-
M Edwards FWD1
-
A Barnes FWD1
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9323
D RayaV GyökeresR CalafioriR Calafiori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK9
1
-
R Calafiori DEF912
3
-
J Timber DEF921
2
-
G Magalhães DEF911
-
M Zubimendi MID92
1
-
D Rice MID912
-
V Gyökeres FWD93
1
-
W Saliba DEF8
-
M Merino MID81
-
G Martinelli FWD81
-
E Eze MID712
-
B Saka FWD72
-
L Trossard FWD711
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF6
1
-
C Mosquera DEF6
-
M Ødegaard MID61
-
N Madueke FWD5
-
E Nwaneri MID4
-
M. Dowman FWD2
-
B White DEF1
-
P Hincapié DEF1
-
C Nörgaard MID1
-
K Havertz FWD1
-