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Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 14:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Newcastle United are away on Sunday afternoon, as manager Eddie Howe takes his team to visit Brighton and Hove Albion and Fabian Hürzeler at the Amex Stadium in the English Premier League. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both joy and sadness to each set of fans. We predict both Brighton and Newcastle to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the fixture seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's our recommendation.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
36%
2.62-
Draw
24%
3.60-
Newcastle
40%
2.45-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
Newcastle 2-1
9%
11.00-
Brighton 2-1
8%
11.00-
Newcastle 1-0
8%
13.00-
Brighton 1-0
7%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00-
Newcastle 2-0
6%
17.00-
Brighton 2-0
5%
17.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
15.00-
Newcastle 3-1
5%
19.00-
Brighton 3-1
4%
21.00-
Newcastle 3-2
3%
23.00-
Newcastle 3-0
3%
29.00-
Brighton 3-2
3%
26.00-
Brighton 3-0
3%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.62-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.30-
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.05-
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.80-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.50-
BTTS - No
40%
2.50-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.00-
Home/draw
60%
1.53-
Away/draw
64%
1.44-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.53-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.20-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00-
Home DNB
53%
1.91-
Away DNB
57%
1.80-
Brighton win to nil
16%
5.50-
Newcastle win to nil
19%
5.00-
Brighton / Brighton
20%
4.50-
Brighton / Newcastle
4%
23.00-
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Brighton
13%
7.00-
Draw / Newcastle
14%
6.50-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.50-
Newcastle / Brighton
3%
26.00-
Newcastle / Newcastle
22%
4.00-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Brighton have conceded 31 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Newcastle lay in 5th place on 59 points in the Premier League league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newcastle have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Newcastle have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3324724479 
May 19
l
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal34181333467 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 18
3
Man City3418792361 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
4
Nottm Forest3318691460 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
w
 
4-3A
w
 
1-3A
5
Newcastle Away33185101859 
May 4
w
 
0-1F
-
-
6
Chelsea3316981857 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
May 11
l
 
2-1A
7
A Villa341699557 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-1A
8
Bournemouth331310101249 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
9
Fulham3313911348 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
10
Brighton Home3312129048 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 4
11
Brentford3313713646 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
12
C Palace34111211-445 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Everton3381411-638 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
14
Man Utd3310815-838 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Wolves3311517-1338 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
16
Spurs33114181037 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
17
West Ham339915-1836 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Ipswich334920-3821 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
19
Leicester334623-4618 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
20
Southampton332526-5411 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 2Leicester
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Brighton1 - 3C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 2Wolves
Brighton3 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 2Nottm Forest
Brighton0 - 0Ipswich
Brighton2 - 1Man Utd
Brighton0 - 2Man Utd
Brighton1 - 2Chelsea
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Brighton0 - 4Man City
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton2 - 4Brentford
HBrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 2C Palace
HBrighton0 - 3A Villa
ABrighton2 - 2Man City
HBrighton2 - 1Fulham
HBrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton4 - 0Southampton
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton0 - 7Nottm Forest
HBrighton0 - 1Everton
ABrighton3 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton2 - 0Ipswich
HBrighton1 - 1Arsenal
ABrighton2 - 2A Villa
HBrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton1 - 3C Palace
ABrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 3Fulham
Newcastle 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 2Newcastle
Ipswich0 - 4Newcastle
Brentford4 - 2Newcastle
C Palace1 - 1Newcastle
Nottm Forest1 - 3Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 1Newcastle
Everton0 - 0Newcastle
Fulham3 - 1Newcastle
Wolves1 - 2Newcastle
Bournemouth1 - 1Newcastle
Brentford2 - 4Newcastle
Man Utd3 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle1 - 4A Villa
HNewcastle5 - 0C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 1Man Utd
ANewcastle3 - 0Leicester
HNewcastle2 - 1Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 0West Ham
ANewcastle0 - 2Liverpool
HNewcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
ANewcastle0 - 4Man City
HNewcastle1 - 2Fulham
ANewcastle3 - 1Southampton
HNewcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
HNewcastle3 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle2 - 0Man Utd
HNewcastle3 - 0A Villa
ANewcastle4 - 0Ipswich
HNewcastle4 - 0Leicester
ANewcastle2 - 4Brentford
HNewcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Brighton have not lost to Newcastle in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
BHA
3
D
4
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Brighton
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
5 / 9
BHA
3
D
3
NEW
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 1Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 3Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Brighton 10th Newcastle 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Brighton have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+14
Newcastle have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278138/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
BHA
NEW
7%
better
view stats
Games scored28
28
Failed to score5
5
Scored first17
16
Goals scored53
62
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
20
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
BHA
NEW
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
22
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded53
44
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against20%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+15%

Brighton v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29868
B VerbruggenJ Pedro J Pedro C Quomah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mitoma FWD3173
1
-
B Verbruggen GLK291
6
-
J Hecke DEF2911
6
1
G Rutter FWD2853
2
-
C Quomah MID2721
7
1
Y Ayari MID271
4
-
J Pedro  FWD2586
4
-
Y Minteh FWD2554
8
-
P Estupiñán DEF2411
3
-
D Welbeck FWD2484
3
-
S Adingra FWD2221
-
L Dunk DEF21
4
-
J Veltman DEF19
4
-
M Wieffer MID1912
4
-
J Hinshelwood MID192
5
-
B Gruda FWD151
-
M O'Riley MID1411
1
-
T Lamptey  DEF1322
-
Igor DEF12
4
-
A Webster DEF11
-
D Amarilla MID9
-
F Kadioglu DEF61
2
-
S March FWD5
2
-
J Milner  MID3
1
-
J Steele GLK2
-
E Cashin DEF1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32211010
B GuimarãesA IsakJ MurphyJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Guimarães MID3246
5
-
T Livramento  DEF311
1
-
D Burn DEF31
9
-
S Tonali MID3032
6
-
J Murphy FWD29810
3
-
A Isak FWD29216
1
-
F Schär DEF283
6
1
Joelinton MID2843
10
-
A Gordon FWD2866
2
-
L Hall DEF276
4
-
J Willock MID272
2
-
H Barnes FWD2793
-
S Longstaff MID24
3
-
N Pope  GLK22
2
-
K Trippier DEF211
2
-
C Wilson FWD12
1
-
L Miley MID111
-
W Osula FWD11
-
M Dúbravka GLK10
-
E Krafth DEF8
-
S Botman DEF3
1
-
M Targett DEF1
-