Brighton and Hove Albion's team badge Newcastle United's team badge

Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 15:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Brighton and Hove Albion and Newcastle United clash at the Amex Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with both Fabian Hürzeler and Eddie Howe seeking a win in the English Premier League. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both Brighton and Newcastle's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
38%
29/20
3%
8/5
4%
Draw
26%
13/512/5
Newcastle
37%
13/8
3%
17/10
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/211/2
Brighton 1-0
9%
9/1
9%
15/2
6%
Newcastle 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Brighton 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Newcastle 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
8%
17/2
5%
Brighton 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Newcastle 2-0
6%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
9%
Brighton 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Newcastle 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Brighton 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Newcastle 3-0
3%
28/122/1
Brighton 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Newcastle 3-2
3%
28/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/55/6
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/110/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
10/1119/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/2121/20
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
8%
17/2
5%
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/64/6
1%
BTTS - No
44%
11/1011/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/4
6%
18/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/1
5%
19/5
Home/draw
63%
4/9
4%
4/9
Away/draw
62%
8/151/2
Home/away
74%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/42/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/15/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/12/1
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/57/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/29/2
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/71/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/110/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/201/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
8/1
5%
Home DNB
56%
4/54/5
Away DNB
54%
10/1110/11
Brighton win to nil
19%
7/2-
Newcastle win to nil
19%
4/1-
Brighton / Brighton
21%
3/13/1
Brighton / Newcastle
3%
28/122/1
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Brighton
13%
11/25/1
4%
Draw / Newcastle
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
15%
5/119/5
4%
Newcastle / Brighton
3%
25/122/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
19%
7/210/3
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal75111116 
Mar 4
Dec 27
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Liverpool7502415 
Mar 21
Dec 13
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
3
Spurs7421814 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
Dec 3
Feb 11
4
Bournemouth7421314 
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
5
Man City7412913 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
Nov 22
Feb 21
6
C Palace7331412 
Feb 7
Nov 9
Jan 3
Apr 11
7
Chelsea7322411 
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
Dec 20
Mar 14
8
Everton7322211 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
Feb 28
Nov 29
9
Sunderland7322111 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Mar 21
Dec 13
10
Man Utd7313-210 
May 24
Oct 25
Mar 4
Dec 27
11
Newcastle723219 
Oct 18
May 2
-
-
12
Brighton723209 
-
-
May 2
Oct 18
13
A Villa7232-19 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Jan 24
d
 
0-00-0
14
Fulham7223-38 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
Oct 25
May 24
15
Leeds7223-48 
Nov 1
May 17
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
16
Brentford7214-37 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Feb 7
Nov 9
17
Nottm Forest7124-75 
Feb 28
Nov 30
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
Burnley7115-84 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Dec 6
Dec 30
19
West Ham7115-104 
Dec 6
Dec 30
May 17
Nov 2
20
Wolves7025-92 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Win / draw / win form
3
Newcastle have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
7
Brighton have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
6
Newcastle have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
4
Newcastle have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games
3
Newcastle have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Brighton 12TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Brighton3 - 2West Ham
Brighton2 - 2Leicester
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Brighton1 - 3C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 2Wolves
Brighton3 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 2Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton1 - 1Wolves
ABrighton3 - 1Chelsea
HBrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton1 - 2Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton0 - 2Everton
HBrighton1 - 1Fulham
ABrighton4 - 1Spurs
HBrighton3 - 2Liverpool
ABrighton2 - 0Wolves
HBrighton1 - 1Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 2West Ham
ABrighton2 - 4Brentford
HBrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 2C Palace
HBrighton0 - 3A Villa
ABrighton2 - 2Man City
HBrighton2 - 1Fulham
HBrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton4 - 0Southampton
Newcastle 11TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 2Newcastle
Ipswich0 - 4Newcastle
Brentford4 - 2Newcastle
C Palace1 - 1Newcastle
Nottm Forest1 - 3Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 1Newcastle
Everton0 - 0Newcastle
Fulham3 - 1Newcastle
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 2Arsenal
ANewcastle0 - 0Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle0 - 0A Villa
HNewcastle0 - 1Everton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle2 - 0Chelsea
ANewcastle1 - 1Brighton
HNewcastle3 - 0Ipswich
ANewcastle1 - 4A Villa
HNewcastle5 - 0C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 1Man Utd
ANewcastle3 - 0Leicester
HNewcastle2 - 1Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 0West Ham
ANewcastle0 - 2Liverpool
HNewcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Brighton have not lost to Newcastle in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
BHA
3
D
5
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Brighton1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Brighton
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
5 / 9
BHA
3
D
3
NEW
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 1Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 3Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Brighton 12th Newcastle 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Newcastle have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
27%
better
BHA
NEW
view stats
Games scored6
4
Failed to score1
3
Scored first2
3
Goals scored10
6
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
BHA
NEW
56%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
2
Clean sheets0
5
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded10
5
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+56%

Brighton v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7223
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK7
-
J Hecke DEF71
2
-
L Dunk DEF7
3
-
C Quomah MID7
2
-
Y Ayari MID71
-
B Gruda MID711
-
Y Minteh FWD712
-
D Welbeck FWD72
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF6
2
-
M Cuyper DEF61
1
-
D Amarilla MID6
2
-
K Mitoma FWD611
1
-
G Rutter FWD61
1
-
J Milner  MID51
1
-
M Wieffer MID51
3
-
J Veltman DEF4
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID3
-
S Tzimas FWD31
-
D Coppola DEF2
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7312
N Pope N WoltemadeD BurnD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK7
1
-
D Burn DEF71
2
-
S Tonali MID71
-
A Elanga FWD7
-
W Osula FWD71
-
H Barnes FWD7
-
T Livramento  DEF61
-
K Trippier DEF6
-
B Guimarães MID62
2
-
J Murphy FWD61
-
S Botman DEF5
-
Joelinton MID5
2
-
L Miley MID5
-
F Schär DEF4
-
M Thiaw DEF4
1
-
N Woltemade FWD43
-
A Gordon FWD4
1
L Hall DEF3
-
J Lascelles DEF2
-
J Ramsey MID2
-
J Willock MID2
-