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Brighton and Hove Albion v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Nov, 15:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Daniel Farke takes his Leeds United troops to the Amex Stadium in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, with Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion their rivals. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Brighton and Leeds's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
58%
1.851.83
Draw
22%
3.753.80
Leeds
20%
4.004.00
Draw 1-1
10%
7.507.00
Brighton 1-0
10%
9.007.50
Brighton 2-1
10%
9.508.00
Brighton 2-0
10%
10.009.00
Brighton 3-1
6%
17.0013.00
Brighton 3-0
6%
17.0013.00
Leeds 1-0
5%
15.0011.00
Leeds 2-1
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Brighton 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Brighton 4-1
3%
34.0023.00
Brighton 4-0
3%
34.0023.00
Leeds 2-0
3%
23.0017.00
Leeds 3-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.801.75
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.001.95
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.621.62
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.382.50
No 1st Goal
3%
12.0011.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.701.73
BTTS - No
45%
2.052.00
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.753.50
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.504.80
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7.007.00
Home/draw
80%
1.221.25
Away/draw
42%
1.911.95
Home/away
78%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.003.60
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.002.88
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.401.36
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.505.25
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.141.13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.0010.00
Home DNB
73%
1.361.36
Away DNB
36%
3.002.90
Brighton win to nil
30%
3.40-
Leeds win to nil
10%
7.00-
Brighton / Brighton
29%
3.002.80
Brighton / Leeds
3%
34.0029.00
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Brighton
17%
5.004.80
Draw / Leeds
9%
9.008.50
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Leeds / Brighton
4%
23.0019.00
Leeds / Leeds
12%
7.006.50
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Premier League league table. Brighton are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in every game. Brighton are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept zero clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Brighton have outscored their opponents by 14 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Brighton have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Leeds are in 15th position in the Premier League on 11 points having played 9 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Leeds have conceded 9 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal97111322 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
2
Bournemouth9531518 
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
3
Spurs95221017 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
l
 
1-2A
May 9
4
Sunderland9522417 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Mar 4
Dec 27
5
Man City95131016 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
Feb 28
Nov 29
6
Man Utd9513116 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
Jan 3
Apr 11
7
Liverpool9504215 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Dec 6
Dec 30
8
A Villa9432115 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Nov 23
Feb 21
9
Chelsea9423614 
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
Dec 3
Feb 11
10
C Palace9342313 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Dec 21
Mar 14
11
Brentford9414013 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Mar 21
Dec 14
12
Newcastle9333112 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
13
Brighton9333-112 
-
-
May 17
Nov 1
14
Everton9324-311 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
15
Leeds9324-511 
Nov 1
May 17
-
-
16
Burnley9315-510 
Jan 3
Apr 11
May 2
l
 
2-0A
17
Fulham9225-58 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
18
Nottm Forest9126-125 
Feb 28
Nov 30
Feb 7
Nov 8
19
West Ham9117-134 
Dec 7
Dec 30
w
 
2-1F
May 24
20
Wolves9027-122 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
8
Brighton have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Brighton 13TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Brighton3 - 2West Ham
Brighton2 - 2Leicester
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Brighton1 - 3C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 2Wolves
Brighton3 - 2Spurs
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton2 - 4Man Utd
HBrighton2 - 1Newcastle
ABrighton1 - 1Wolves
ABrighton3 - 1Chelsea
HBrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton1 - 2Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton0 - 2Everton
HBrighton1 - 1Fulham
ABrighton4 - 1Spurs
HBrighton3 - 2Liverpool
ABrighton2 - 0Wolves
HBrighton1 - 1Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 2West Ham
ABrighton2 - 4Brentford
HBrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 2C Palace
HBrighton0 - 3A Villa
ABrighton2 - 2Man City
HBrighton2 - 1Fulham
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Coventry0 - 2Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Stoke0 - 2Leeds
Preston1 - 1Leeds
Blackburn1 - 0Leeds
Swansea3 - 4Leeds
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
ALeeds1 - 1Luton
HLeeds2 - 2Swansea
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds0 - 1Portsmouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Brighton have not lost to Leeds in 9 consecutive home league meetings
7
Brighton have kept a clean sheet in 7 consecutive home league meetings with Leeds
League games at Brighton since 2004
Brighton
Leeds
Goals: Scored
20
12
Games: Scored
10 / 14
6 / 14
Clean sheets
8 / 14
4 / 14
BHA
8
D
3
LEE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton4 - 0
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 3Leeds
0 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Brighton2 - 1
Brighton1 - 0
League games at Leeds since 2005
Leeds
Brighton
Goals: Scored
18
19
Games: Scored
11 / 14
12 / 14
Clean sheets
2 / 14
3 / 14
BHA
5
D
6
LEE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Brighton
Leeds2 - 0
1 - 2Brighton
0 - 2Brighton
Leeds2 - 1
1 - 2Brighton
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Leeds United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Brighton 13th Leeds 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.9
1
Attack rating
35%
better
BHA
LEE
view stats
Games scored8
5
Failed to score1
4
Scored first3
2
Goals scored14
9
Avg. goals scored1.6
1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
BHA
LEE
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded15
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
21%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%

Brighton v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9523
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK9
-
J Hecke DEF91
2
-
L Dunk DEF9
3
-
C Quomah MID9
3
-
Y Ayari MID91
-
Y Minteh FWD912
-
D Welbeck FWD95
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF8
3
-
M Cuyper DEF81
1
-
D Amarilla MID8
2
-
G Rutter FWD82
1
-
J Milner  MID711
1
-
M Wieffer MID71
3
-
B Gruda FWD711
-
K Mitoma FWD611
1
-
S Tzimas FWD51
-
J Veltman DEF4
2
-
D Coppola DEF3
-
J Hinshelwood MID3
-
C. Kostoulas FWD21
-
T Watson FWD1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9222
G Gudmundsson J RodonS LongstaffJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF9
1
-
J Rodon DEF92
-
J Bogle  DEF91
2
-
S Longstaff MID912
-
B Aaronson MID91
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD91
-
P Struijk DEF8
1
-
A Stach MID811
1
-
J Harrison FWD8
-
A Tanaka MID7
-
E Ampadu MID7
2
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD71
-
N Okafor FWD62
2
-
D James FWD6
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
I Gruev MID5
1
-
L Perri GLK4
1
-
J Justin  DEF4
1
-
J Piroe FWD4
-
W Gnonto FWD4
1
-
J Bijol DEF1
-
S Byram DEF1
-