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Brighton and Hove Albion v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Feb, 20:00 BST, Broadfield Stadium, Crawley

Brighton and Hove Albion and their manager Fabian Hürzeler will be hoping for victory against Enzo Maresca and his Chelsea side on Friday night, as the pair meet at the Broadfield Stadium in the English Premier League. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Brighton and Chelsea will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookies have it available at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
32%
21/1019/10
4%
Draw
24%
12/511/4
1%
Chelsea
44%
6/55/4
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Chelsea 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Chelsea 1-0
8%
12/1
18%
9/1
Brighton 2-1
8%
12/117/2
Brighton 1-0
7%
16/1
31%
11/1
9%
Chelsea 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1
15%
9/1
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
Chelsea 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Brighton 2-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Chelsea 3-0
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
Brighton 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
14/1
Chelsea 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
16/1
Brighton 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/15
12%
1/2
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
6/4
19%
29/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/9
8%
10/21
BTTS - No
40%
13/8
16%
8/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/4
14%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
23%
13/5
10%
12/5
6%
Home/draw
56%
4/613/20
3%
Away/draw
68%
4/112/5
Home/away
76%
3/101/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/7
7%
2/13
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/2
27%
19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
6/5
20%
6/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/6
16%
8/13
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
3/1
20%
27/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/4
7%
1/4
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
6/1
30%
11/2
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/10
4%
1/11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Home DNB
49%
6/511/10
2%
Away DNB
61%
8/1313/20
3%
Brighton win to nil
15%
6/1
17%
-
Chelsea win to nil
21%
4/1
15%
-
Brighton / Brighton
18%
15/4
5%
7/2
4%
Brighton / Chelsea
4%
22/116/1
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Brighton
12%
13/211/2
Draw / Chelsea
14%
5/19/2
4%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
Chelsea / Brighton
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
Chelsea / Chelsea
23%
11/412/5
3%
Chelsea / Draw
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
9%
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Brighton have conceded 24 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Chelsea lay in 4th place on 43 points in the Premier League league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 12 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2317513556 
May 18
l
 
2-1F
May 3
l
 
2-1A
2
Arsenal2414822750 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
3
Nottm Forest2414551347 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 25
4
Chelsea Away2412751643 
Feb 14
l
 
4-2F
-
-
5
Man City2412571341 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
6
Newcastle2412571341 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 10
7
Bournemouth2411761340 
Feb 25
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
8
A Villa241077-337 
Apr 1
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
9
Fulham24996436 
Mar 8
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 19
10
Brighton Home248106-334 
-
-
w
 
4-2A
Feb 14
11
Brentford249411031 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
Apr 5
12
C Palace24798-230 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
13
Man Utd248511-629 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
May 18
d
 
1-1A
14
Spurs2483131127 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
Apr 2
w
 
3-4A
15
West Ham247611-1727 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-3F
16
Everton23689-526 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
17
Wolves245415-1819 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-6F
18
Leicester244515-2817 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
19
Ipswich243714-2716 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
20
Southampton242319-369 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
Feb 25
w
 
1-5F
Win / draw / win form
5
Brighton have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Chelsea 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Chelsea have beaten Brighton in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2018
Brighton
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
9
14
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
BHA
1
D
2
CHE
4
League games at Chelsea since 2017
Chelsea
Brighton
Goals: Scored
16
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
BHA
1
D
2
CHE
5
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Brighton 10th Chelsea 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Brighton have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Chelsea have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278040/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
BHA
CHE
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BHA
CHE
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Brighton v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22657
B VerbruggenD WelbeckJ Pedro C Quomah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mitoma FWD2454
-
G Rutter FWD2343
2
-
B Verbruggen GLK22
5
-
J Hecke DEF221
4
-
C Quomah MID2021
6
1
Y Ayari MID20
3
-
L Dunk DEF19
4
-
Y Minteh FWD1932
5
-
P Estupiñán DEF181
3
-
J Veltman DEF18
4
-
J Pedro  FWD1855
3
-
D Welbeck FWD1862
2
-
S Adingra FWD1621
-
M Wieffer MID1312
2
-
Igor DEF12
4
-
J Hinshelwood MID121
3
-
M O'Riley MID1111
1
-
B Gruda FWD11
-
T Lamptey  DEF1022
-
A Webster DEF6
-
F Kadioglu DEF61
1
-
J Milner  MID3
1
-
J Steele GLK2
-
D Amarilla MID2
-
S March FWD2
1
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241468
M CaicedoC PalmerC PalmerM Cucurella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Caicedo MID2412
6
-
C Palmer MID24146
4
-
N Jackson FWD2395
5
-
L Colwill DEF221
5
-
M Cucurella  DEF2221
7
1
E Fernández MID2234
4
-
N Madueke FWD2273
3
-
R Sánchez GLK21
4
-
P Neto FWD2122
6
-
M Gusto DEF201
3
-
C Nkunku  FWD2021
1
-
J Sancho FWD1824
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF121
2
-
W Fofana DEF12
6
-
J Félix FWD1211
2
-
R Lavia MID101
4
-
R James  DEF81
1
-
M Mudryk FWD7
-
A Disasi DEF61
1
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID61
-
B Badiashile  DEF4
-
F Jörgensen GLK3
-
T Chalobah DEF31
-
M Guiu FWD3
-
J. Acheampong DEF2
-
T. George FWD1
1
-