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Brighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 2nd Apr, 19:45 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Unai Emery leads his Aston Villa troops to the Amex Stadium in the English Premier League on Wednesday evening, with Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion their challengers. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
55%
1.95
11%
2.00
5%
Draw
23%
4.00
5%
3.80
1%
A Villa
22%
3.40
18%
3.40
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.50
6%
7.00
Brighton 1-0
10%
12.009.00
Brighton 2-1
10%
9.50
5%
8.00
Brighton 2-0
9%
13.00
13%
10.00
A Villa 1-0
6%
17.00
13%
12.00
9%
Brighton 3-1
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
A Villa 2-1
6%
13.00
8%
10.00
Draw 0-0
6%
17.0012.00
Brighton 3-0
6%
21.00
9%
15.00
Draw 2-2
5%
13.0010.00
9%
A Villa 2-0
3%
23.00
21%
17.00
13%
Brighton 3-2
3%
21.00
9%
15.00
12%
Brighton 4-1
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
Brighton 4-0
3%
41.0023.00
12%
A Villa 3-1
2%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.571.55
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.382.30
5%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.57
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.38
13%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.531.53
1%
BTTS - No
45%
2.382.40
4%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.25
13%
3.25
7%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
11%
5.50
16%
5.25
5%
Home/draw
78%
1.30
7%
1.30
2%
Away/draw
45%
1.80
8%
1.80
4%
Home/away
77%
1.22
2%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.171.18
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5.004.50
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.38
5%
2.30
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.57
3%
1.55
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.334.00
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.221.22
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8.007.00
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.081.08
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.03
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
Home DNB
71%
1.44
14%
1.48
3%
Away DNB
38%
2.62
25%
2.50
9%
Brighton win to nil
29%
4.00
11%
-
A Villa win to nil
11%
7.00
17%
-
Brighton / Brighton
26%
3.20
15%
3.00
6%
Brighton / A Villa
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Brighton
16%
5.50
8%
5.00
5%
Draw / A Villa
10%
8.50
13%
7.50
7%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.505.75
5%
A Villa / Brighton
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
A Villa / A Villa
15%
6.00
26%
5.25
5%
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 7 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Brighton have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

Brighton have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

A Villa are in 9th position in the Premier League on 45 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 3. A Villa have conceded 21 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2921714270 
May 18
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal29161032958 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Nottm Forest2916671454 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
4
Chelsea2914781649 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Man City2914691548 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 28
6
Newcastle281459947 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
7
Brighton Home2912116647 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Apr 2
8
Fulham291298545 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
May 3
w
 
1-3A
9
A Villa Away291298-445 
Apr 2
d
 
2-2F
-
-
10
Bournemouth2912891244 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 10
11
Brentford2912512541 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
C Palace281099339 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 5
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
13
Man Utd2910712-337 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
14
Spurs29104151234 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
May 18
l
 
4-1F
15
Everton297139-434 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
16
West Ham299713-1634 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
17
Wolves297517-1826 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
18
Ipswich293818-3417 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Leicester294520-4017 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton292324-499 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
3
Brighton have won 3 consecutive home league games
5
Brighton have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Brighton 7TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Brighton1 - 3C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 2Wolves
Brighton3 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 2Nottm Forest
Brighton0 - 0Ipswich
Brighton2 - 1Man Utd
Brighton0 - 2Man Utd
Brighton1 - 2Chelsea
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Brighton0 - 4Man City
Brighton0 - 3Arsenal
Brighton1 - 0Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton2 - 2Man City
HBrighton2 - 1Fulham
HBrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton4 - 0Southampton
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton0 - 7Nottm Forest
HBrighton0 - 1Everton
ABrighton3 - 1Man Utd
ABrighton2 - 0Ipswich
HBrighton1 - 1Arsenal
ABrighton2 - 2A Villa
HBrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton1 - 3C Palace
ABrighton2 - 2Leicester
ABrighton1 - 3Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Southampton
ABrighton2 - 1Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton1 - 2Liverpool
A Villa 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Leicester1 - 2A Villa
West Ham1 - 2A Villa
C Palace5 - 0A Villa
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Man City4 - 1A Villa
West Ham1 - 1A Villa
Luton2 - 3A Villa
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
AA Villa2 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa1 - 0Everton
HA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa2 - 2Brighton
AA Villa0 - 3Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa1 - 4Spurs
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brighton since 2016
Brighton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
BHA
1
D
3
AVL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton1 - 0
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A Villa since 2017
A Villa
Brighton
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
BHA
1
D
2
AVL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
Draw2 - 2Draw
A Villa6 - 1
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa2 - 0
1 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Brighton 7th A Villa 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.0
goals
0.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Brighton have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
A Villa have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278085/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
0
0
Attack rating
14%
better
BHA
AVL
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score4
6
Scored first16
12
Goals scored48
41
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
10%
better
BHA
AVL
view stats
Games conceded22
25
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded42
45
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Brighton v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27868
B VerbruggenJ Pedro J Pedro C Quomah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mitoma FWD2974
1
-
G Rutter FWD2854
2
-
B Verbruggen GLK271
6
-
J Hecke DEF2711
5
-
C Quomah MID2521
7
1
Y Ayari MID251
3
-
Y Minteh FWD2453
6
-
J Pedro  FWD2386
4
-
P Estupiñán DEF2211
3
-
D Welbeck FWD2274
2
-
S Adingra FWD2021
-
L Dunk DEF19
4
-
J Veltman DEF19
4
-
M Wieffer MID1712
4
-
J Hinshelwood MID172
3
-
T Lamptey  DEF1322
-
B Gruda FWD131
-
Igor DEF12
4
-
M O'Riley MID1211
1
-
A Webster DEF11
-
D Amarilla MID7
-
F Kadioglu DEF61
1
-
S March FWD4
1
-
J Milner  MID3
1
-
J Steele GLK2
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291368
Y TielemansO WatkinsO WatkinsM Rogers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Tielemans MID2924
4
-
O Watkins FWD29136
-
E Martínez GLK28
2
-
L Digne DEF284
3
-
M Rogers MID2874
8
-
E Konsa DEF251
-
J McGinn MID253
6
-
L Bailey FWD2312
3
-
I Maatsen DEF221
2
-
J Ramsey MID2113
1
-
M Cash DEF1911
7
-
P Torres DEF18
1
-
A Onana MID172
4
-
B Kamara MID17
2
-
R Barkley MID1631
3
-
T Mings DEF10
2
-
L Bogarde MID8
2
-
D Malen FWD6
-
A García DEF5
-
M Rashford FWD52
-
A Disasi DEF4
1
-
M Asensio FWD42
-
R Olsen GLK3
-